Result
1:1
20/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 15
- Referee: Novikov N. (Rus)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Kokoev D. ⚽,
- 36', Zhigulev I. 🟨,
- 41', Tolstopyatov N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Shiltsov K. ↓, Sukhomlinov D. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 1, Aliev S. ⚽,
- 54', Nikolaev O. 🟨,
- 59', Antonov A. ↓, Zarypbekov E. ↑,
- 63', Sitdikov M. 🟨,
- 65', Sitdikov M. ↓, Musalov M. ↑,
- 65', Mashukov I. ↓, Dzhamilov S. ↑,
- 77', Nikolaev O. ↓, Lozhkin V. ↑,
- 82', Zhigulev I. ↓, Pomeshkin K. ↑,
- 90+2', Morozov K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chernomorets Novorossiysk 43.2% | Draw 30.1% | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.18 ↓ (2.25) |
3.13 ↑ (2.85) |
3.53 ↑ (3.4) |
6.2% (8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Chernomorets will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Neftekhimik will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chernomorets: 11.9% – 76.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chernomorets Novorossiysk will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 9).
- In recent matches, Chernomorets has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Neftekhimik is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Chernomorets will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chernomorets won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Chernomorets Novorossiysk won against Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk?
Chernomorets Novorossiysk has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk won against Chernomorets Novorossiysk?
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk were as follows:
19.05.2025
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
-
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
0:2
19.10.2024
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
-
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
0:0
26.11.2023
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
-
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
0:1
06.08.2023
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
-
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
1:1
Latest results of Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Latest results of Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 35:16 | 19 | 59 |
| 2 | Rodina Moscow | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 48:24 | 24 | 55 |
| 3 | Ural | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 41:27 | 14 | 49 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 36:22 | 14 | 45 |
| 5 | S. Kostroma | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 40:33 | 7 | 44 |
| 6 | Kamaz | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 41:28 | 13 | 40 |
| 7 | Chelyabinsk | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 37:31 | 6 | 39 |
| 8 | Yenisey | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 27:32 | -5 | 37 |
| 9 | Neftekhimik | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 31:32 | -1 | 36 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 38:34 | 4 | 36 |
| 11 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 36 |
| 12 | Torpedo Moscow | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:34 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | SKA Khabarovsk | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 31:37 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Ulyanovsk | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 31:41 | -10 | 31 |
| 15 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 32:39 | -7 | 29 |
| 16 | Ufa | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 29:35 | -6 | 28 |
| 17 | FK Chayka | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 26:63 | -37 | 19 |
| 18 | Saratov | 28 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 12:36 | -24 | 16 |
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