Result
1:1
22/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 20
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Tefera D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 64', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Arba Minch
26.9% | Draw
34.9% | Negele Arsi Ketema
38.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arba Minch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Negele Arsi Ketema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Negele Arsi Ketema might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Negele Arsi Ketema than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Negele Arsi Ketema could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Arba Minch - Negele Arsi Ketema Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.36 ↓
(3.65) |
2.59 ↓
(2.89) |
2.37 ↑
(2.08) |
10.6%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 3).
- Arba Minch is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Negele Arsi Ketema is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Negele Arsi Ketema will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arba Minch won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Arba Minch won against Negele Arsi Ketema?
Arba Minch has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Negele Arsi Ketema won against Arba Minch?
Negele Arsi Ketema has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arba Minch - Negele Arsi Ketema were as follows:
18.10.2025
Negele Arsi Ketema
-
Arba Minch
1:1
Latest results of Arba Minch
Latest results of Negele Arsi Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 32:17 | 15 | 48 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 25:18 | 7 | 42 |
| 3 | Hawassa | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Mechal | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 33:21 | 12 | 40 |
| 5 | Fasil Kenema | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Ethio Electric | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 20:15 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Ethiopia Bunna | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 25:25 | 0 | 36 |
| 8 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 26 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 35 |
| 9 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 35:32 | 3 | 34 |
| 10 | Adama City | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 24:27 | -3 | 33 |
| 11 | Hadiya Hossana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 22:27 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | Dire Dawa | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 32 |
| 13 | Welayta Dicha | 26 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 27:26 | 1 | 31 |
| 14 | Sheger Ketema | 26 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 31 |
| 15 | St. George | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 31 |
| 16 | Ethiopian Insurance | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20:20 | 0 | 29 |
| 17 | Welwalo Adigrat | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 19:26 | -7 | 29 |
| 18 | Shire Endaselassie | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 17:21 | -4 | 28 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 15:29 | -14 | 23 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 18:31 | -13 | 22 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
