Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Neom – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

King Saud University Stadium (Riyadh).

Saudi Professional League - Round 25
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App
Asia	JACO Middle East
Australia	Channel 10
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	QQ Sports
Czech-republic	Strike, Strike
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
India	FanCode, FanCode
Mexico	FOX One, Fox Sports
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV5, Sport TV6
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 5
Turkey	S Sport+
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.85	0.74
Ball possession
57%	43%
Total shots
25	6
Shots on target
10	2
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
8	1
Passes
83% (357/430)	75% (253/338)
Yellow cards
3	2
Expected goals (xG)
2.85	0.74
xG on target (xGOT)
4.20	0.82
Total shots
25	6
Shots on target
10	2
Shots off target
10	2
Blocked shots
5	2
Shots inside the box
18	4
Shots outside the box
7	2
Hit the woodwork
1	2
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
8	1
Touches in opposition box
62	11
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	2
Free kicks
12	15
Passes
83% (357/430)	75% (253/338)
Long passes
55% (21/38)	30% (20/66)
Passes in final third
77% (158/205)	43% (28/65)
Crosses
17% (4/24)	13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.24	0.46
Throw ins
21	15
Fouls
15	12
Tackles
63% (10/16)	69% (9/13)
Duels won
48	43
Clearances
22	37
Interceptions
10	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	9
xGOT faced
0.82	4.20
Goals prevented
0.82	3.20

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Al Haji A. 🟨,
27', Brozovic M. 🟨,
33', Kone A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Hawsawi I. ↓, Abdi F. ↑,
64', Boushal N. ↓, Al Ghannam S. ↑,
64', Al Hamdan A. ↓, Ghareeb A. ↑,
67', Al Haji A. ↓, Al Faraj S. ↑,
84', Al Burayk M. ↓, Al Ali H. ↑,
87', Martinez I. 🟨,
90', Ghareeb A. 🟨,
90+1', Brozovic M. ↓, Al Khaibari A. ↑,
90+1', Martinez I. ↓, Yahya A. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 0, Simakan M. ⚽, Joao Felix (A),
90+8', Angelo ↓, Al Hassan A. ↑,

Chances of winning

Al-Nassr Riyadh
71.9%

Draw
17.9%

Neom
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.9%

16.8%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.4%

15.8%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Neom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neom than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Al-Nassr Riyadh - Neom Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.31)	5.42 ↓ (5.51)	10.03 ↑ (7.48)	0.4% (8.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Al-Nassr Riyadh - Neom?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Al-Nassr will win (votes: 10 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Nassr: 100% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Nassr Riyadh will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 8).
Al-Nassr is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Neom's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Al-Nassr is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Nassr won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Nassr Riyadh won against Neom?

Al-Nassr Riyadh has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Neom won against Al-Nassr Riyadh?

Neom has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Nassr Riyadh - Neom were as follows:

08.11.2025 Neom - Al-Nassr Riyadh 1:3

Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh

28.02.2026 Al-Feiha - Al-Nassr Riyadh 1:3 ✺

25.02.2026 Al-Najma - Al-Nassr Riyadh 0:5 ✺

21.02.2026 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Hazem 4:0 ✺

18.02.2026 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Arkadag 1:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Al Fateh - Al-Nassr Riyadh 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Neom

28.02.2026 Neom - Al-Kholood 1:2 ✺

25.02.2026 Al-Feiha - Neom 1:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Al-Khaleej - Neom 0:1 ✺

12.02.2026 Al-Qadisiya - Neom 1:0 ✺

06.02.2026 Neom - Al-Riyadh 1:0 ✺

Saudi Professional League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Nassr	26	22	1	3	71:19	52	67
2	Al Hilal	26	19	7	0	67:23	44	64
3	Al Ahli SC	26	19	5	2	51:19	32	62
4	Al Qadsiah	26	18	6	2	62:25	37	60
5	Al Taawon	26	13	6	7	47:33	14	45
6	Al Ittihad	26	12	6	8	41:34	7	42
7	Al Ettifaq	26	11	6	9	36:44	-8	39
8	Neom SC	26	9	6	11	31:36	-5	33
9	Al Fayha	26	9	6	11	34:41	-7	33
10	Al Hazem	26	8	7	11	29:47	-18	31
11	Al Khaleej	26	8	6	12	44:44	0	30
12	Al Shabab	26	7	8	11	33:39	-6	29
13	Al Fateh	26	7	7	12	34:47	-13	28
14	Al Kholood	26	8	1	17	34:48	-14	25
15	Damac	26	4	10	12	24:42	-18	22
16	Al Riyadh	26	4	7	15	25:49	-24	19
17	Al Okhdood	26	3	4	19	22:57	-35	13
18	Al Najma	26	1	5	20	23:61	-38	8

Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1