BFA Vilnius vs Neptūnas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Lithuanian Division 2 BFA Vilnius - Neptūnas
Result
1:5
18/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • I Lyga - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
latviaLatviaFutbols TV

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 7', Osipovic A. 🟨,
  • 15', 0 - 1, Zubauskas D. ,
  • 30', 1 - 1, Pranckus P. ,
  • 38', 1 - 2, Badmus O. ,
  • 45', 1 - 3, Bondarev N. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 52', 🟨,
  • 57', 🟨,
  • 57', 1 - 4, ,
  • 87', 🟨,
  • 88', 1 - 5, ,

Chances of winning


BFA Vilnius
29.5%
Draw
25.7%
Neptūnas
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.2% 25.1% 44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1% 25% 44.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • BFA Vilnius has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Neptūnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFA Vilnius than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Neptūnas aligns with the current prediction.
  • BFA Vilnius - Neptūnas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.09
    (3.01)
    3.55
    (3.63)
    2.04
    (2.04)
    9.7%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 3).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, BFA won 0.
    • BFA has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Neptūnas is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • BFA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, BFA has had a series of away games.
    • Neptūnas might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, BFA won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.3:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, BFA won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:9. (average 1.8:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between BFA Vilnius - Neptūnas were as follows:
    13.06.2025 Neptūnas - BFA Vilnius 2:0
    30.08.2024 BFA Vilnius - Neptūnas 0:5
    05.04.2024 Neptūnas - BFA Vilnius 2:2
    30.09.2023 BFA Vilnius - Neptūnas 2:2
    13.05.2023 Neptūnas - BFA Vilnius 1:0
    Latest results of BFA Vilnius
    Latest results of Neptūnas
    03.10.2025 Neptūnas - Ekranas 2:1
    19.09.2025 Neptūnas - Nevėžis 1:0
    30.08.2025 Jonava - Neptūnas 0:2
    Lithuanian Division 2 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Transinvest ✔ 27241277:195873
    2Neptunas27184561:263558
    3Tauras Taurage27177353:193458
    4Babrungas27157552:341852
    5BFA Vilnius27146740:32848
    6Jonava27118826:21541
    7Zalgiris 227118849:43641
    8Atmosfera271251045:321341
    9FK Minija271031426:38-1233
    10Hegelmann Litauen 227861334:46-1230
    11Kauno Zalgiris 227831639:49-1027
    12Nevezis Kedainiai27651628:51-2323
    13Ekranas27721833:55-2223
    14FK Panevezys 227631826:67-4121
    15BE1 NFA27561625:50-2521
    16Siauliai 227621934:66-3220

          Promotion ~ A Lyga
          Promotion ~ A Lyga (Promotion: )
          I Lyga (Relegation)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Transinvest is Qualified for A Lyga