Result
5:2
09/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Scheer J. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 1.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (139/215) | 86% (431/501) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (139/215) | 86% (431/501) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (14/56) | 40% (19/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 40% (25/63) | 78% (114/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 10% (3/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.02 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 6 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 4 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.79 | 2.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.21 | -2.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 13', Cissoko A. 🟨,
- 18', 1 - 0, Calheira T. (Pen),
- 34', 1 - 1, Hurst G. ⚽,
- 41', 1 - 2, Jabang O. ⚽, Lindsey J. (A),
- 45+1', Zelalem G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 46', Amann T. ↓, Elmedkhar K. ↑,
- 46', 2 - 2, St.Clair H. ⚽,
- 51', 3 - 2, Marcos Serrato ⚽, Rogers A. (A),
- 54', 4 - 2, Elmedkhar K. ⚽, Calheira T. (A),
- 55', Marcos Serrato 🟨,
- 61', St.Clair H. ↓, Stauffer L. ↑,
- 62', Calheira T. 🟨,
- 63', Zelalem G. ↓, Pondeca T. ↑,
- 71', Marcos Serrato ↓, Dalou A. ↑,
- 71', Webber J. ↓, Colli G. ↑,
- 75', Hurst G. ↓, Amang T. ↑,
- 75', Akale M. ↓, Rivas S. ↑,
- 76', Bailey Z. ↓, Vargas M. ↑,
- 76', Lindsey J. ↓, Harris D. ↑,
- 78', Cissoko A. ↓, Pierre D. ↑,
- 84', 5 - 2, Dalou A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Tulsa
46.3% | Draw
27% | New Mexico United
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tulsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Tulsa - New Mexico United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↓
(2.16) |
3.43 ↓
(3.45) |
3.48 ↑
(3) |
7.9%
(8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 1.
- Tulsa is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- New Mexico has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- New Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Tulsa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tulsa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tulsa won against New Mexico United?
Tulsa has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New Mexico United won against Tulsa?
New Mexico United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tulsa - New Mexico United were as follows:
12.10.2024
Tulsa
-
New Mexico United
1:1
14.08.2024
New Mexico United
-
Tulsa
3:3
26.08.2023
New Mexico United
-
Tulsa
2:1
Latest results of New Mexico United
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 42:17 | 25 | 48 |
| 2 | Charleston | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 41:21 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 33 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 31:29 | 2 | 31 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 20:19 | 1 | 28 |
| 6 | Detroit | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 28 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29:23 | 6 | 26 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 32:37 | -5 | 23 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15:23 | -8 | 21 |
| 10 | Miami FC | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 21:34 | -13 | 20 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24:33 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Tampa Bay | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 22:31 | -9 | 18 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29:17 | 12 | 31 |
| 3 | El Paso | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33:27 | 6 | 31 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 25:26 | -1 | 29 |
| 5 | Phoenix Rising | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 | Lexington | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 28 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 27 |
| 8 | New Mexico | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 24 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 23:29 | -6 | 24 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 24:32 | -8 | 21 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17:39 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
