Result
3:0
15/11/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Referee: Dopka G. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.16 | 1.04 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (124/206) | 78% (324/417) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.16 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.57 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (124/206) | 78% (324/417) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (16/59) | 37% (25/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (53/100) | 57% (61/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 50% (6/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 3.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 39', 1 - 0, Calheira T. ⚽, Webber J. (A),
- 43', Noel V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 57', 2 - 0, Calheira T. ⚽,
- 66', Hurst G. ↓, Archimede L. ↑,
- 66', Maples T. ↓, Lindsey J. ↑,
- 66', Akale M. ↓, Amang T. ↑,
- 66', Zelalem G. ↓, Rivas S. ↑,
- 73', Bailey Z. 🟨,
- 74', Elmedkhar K. ↓, Damm O. ↑,
- 74', Stauffer L. ↓, St.Clair H. ↑,
- 76', 3 - 0, Webber J. ⚽, Dalou A. (A),
- 82', Bailey Z. ↓, Jabang O. ↑,
- 87', Dalou A. ↓, Lukic S. ↑,
- 90+2', Calheira T. ↓, Amann T. ↑,
- 90+2', Ian ↓, Cissoko A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tulsa
48.7% | Draw
26.5% | New Mexico United
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Tulsa - New Mexico United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↑
(1.86) |
3.55 ↓
(3.58) |
3.78 ↓
(3.83) |
6.5%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 2.
- Tulsa is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- New Mexico is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- In this match, Tulsa is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tulsa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Tulsa won against New Mexico United?
Tulsa has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New Mexico United won against Tulsa?
New Mexico United has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tulsa - New Mexico United were as follows:
13.09.2025
New Mexico United
-
Tulsa
0:1
09.08.2025
Tulsa
-
New Mexico United
5:2
12.10.2024
Tulsa
-
New Mexico United
1:1
14.08.2024
New Mexico United
-
Tulsa
3:3
26.08.2023
New Mexico United
-
Tulsa
2:1
Latest results of New Mexico United
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Detroit | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Charleston | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Miami FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Pittsburgh | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 | Brooklyn | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Loudoun | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 1 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Orange County SC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 14 |
| 2 | El Paso | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | San Antonio | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Oakland Roots | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | New Mexico | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | Phoenix Rising | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 | Lexington | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Tulsa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
