Tulsa vs New Mexico United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
15/11/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Dopka G. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaESPN+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.161.04
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
199
Shots on target
90
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
13
Passes
60% (124/206)78% (324/417)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
3.161.04
xG on target (xGOT)
3.570.00
Total shots
199
Shots on target
90
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
166
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
3421
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
60% (124/206)78% (324/417)
Long passes
27% (16/59)37% (25/67)
Passes in final third
53% (53/100)57% (61/107)
Crosses
14% (2/14)50% (6/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.811.27
Throw-ins
2322
Fouls
1215
Tackles
75% (9/12)82% (9/11)
Duels won
5043
Clearances
2625
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.003.57
Goals prevented
0.000.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 39', 1 - 0, Calheira T. , Webber J. (A),
  • 43', Noel V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 57', 2 - 0, Calheira T. ,
  • 66', Hurst G. , Archimede L. ,
  • 66', Maples T. , Lindsey J. ,
  • 66', Akale M. , Amang T. ,
  • 66', Zelalem G. , Rivas S. ,
  • 73', Bailey Z. 🟨,
  • 74', Elmedkhar K. , Damm O. ,
  • 74', Stauffer L. , St.Clair H. ,
  • 76', 3 - 0, Webber J. , Dalou A. (A),
  • 82', Bailey Z. , Jabang O. ,
  • 87', Dalou A. , Lukic S. ,
  • 90+2', Calheira T. , Amann T. ,
  • 90+2', Ian , Cissoko A. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tulsa
48.7%
Draw
26.5%
New Mexico United
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 25.9% 24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8% 24.5% 22.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Tulsa - New Mexico United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (1.86)
    3.55
    (3.58)
    3.78
    (3.83)
    6.5%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 2.
    • Tulsa is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • New Mexico is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Tulsa is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tulsa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tulsa - New Mexico United were as follows:
    13.09.2025 New Mexico United - Tulsa 0:1
    09.08.2025 Tulsa - New Mexico United 5:2
    12.10.2024 Tulsa - New Mexico United 1:1
    14.08.2024 New Mexico United - Tulsa 3:3
    26.08.2023 New Mexico United - Tulsa 2:1
    Latest results of Tulsa
    Latest results of New Mexico United
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston00000:000
    2Tampa Bay00000:000
    3Pittsburgh00000:000
    4Indy Eleven00000:000
    5Detroit00000:000
    6Louisville City00000:000
    7Miami FC00000:000
    8Hartford Athletic00000:000
    9Birmingham00000:000
    10Loudoun00000:000
    11Rhode Island00000:000
    12Sporting Jax00000:000
    13Brooklyn00000:000


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC00000:000
    2New Mexico00000:000
    3Sacramento Republic00000:000
    4FC Tulsa00000:000
    5Colorado Springs00000:000
    6San Antonio00000:000
    7Phoenix Rising00000:000
    8Oakland Roots00000:000
    9Monterey Bay00000:000
    10Las Vegas Lights00000:000
    11El Paso00000:000
    12Lexington00000:000

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