Philadelphia Union II vs New York City II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:3
05/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.441.91
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
229
Shots on target
125
Big Chances
64
Corner Kicks
103
Passes
70% (218/312)81% (414/511)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.441.91
xG on target (xGOT)
4.232.87
Total shots
229
Shots on target
125
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
176
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
12
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
64
Corner Kicks
103
Touches in opposition box
3819
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
70% (218/312)81% (414/511)
Long passes
36% (18/50)36% (21/59)
Passes in final third
61% (70/114)57% (57/100)
Crosses
35% (8/23)0% (0/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.370.61
Throw-ins
2012
Fouls
1510
Tackles
100% (12/12)82% (9/11)
Duels won
3646
Clearances
1229
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
28
xGOT faced
2.874.23
Goals prevented
-0.130.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 22', Elias P. 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 0, Anderson M. , Sequera G. (A),
  • 33', 1 - 1, Garfield Reid S. , Musu S. (A),
  • 36', Pariano N. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 2, Ponce J. , Lacher J. (A),
  • 45', 2 - 2, Pierre N. , Olney C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 61', 3 - 2, Korzeniowski S. , Olney C. (A),
  • 62', Griffin J. , Benitez O. ,
  • 62', Sullivan C. , LeBlanc K. ,
  • 62', Korzeniowski S. , Olivas S. ,
  • 62', Davis E. , Jakupovic M. ,
  • 64', Elias P. , Sunjic L. ,
  • 72', Lacher J. , Guarino E. ,
  • 72', Musu S. , De Pinho L. ,
  • 74', Anderson M. , Probst N. ,
  • 80', 3 - 3, Garfield Reid S. ,
  • 90+5', 4 - 3, Pierre N. ,

Chances of winning


Philadelphia Union II
69.2%
Draw
17.8%
New York City II
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.8% 19.3% 14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4% 18.3% 14.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Philadelphia Union II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • New York City II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union II than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Philadelphia Union II - New York City II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.39)
    5.2
    (4.75)
    7.17
    (6.14)
    7.8%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union II - New York City II?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
    • Philadelphia II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia II won 4.
    • Philadelphia II is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • New York City II has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • New York City II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Philadelphia II is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Philadelphia II will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia II won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.9:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia II won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 1.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union II - New York City II were as follows:
    26.07.2025 New York City II - Philadelphia Union II 0:2
    23.04.2025 New York City II - Philadelphia Union II 1:4
    20.10.2024 Philadelphia Union II - New York City II 1:0
    23.09.2024 Philadelphia Union II - New York City II 4:3
    19.07.2024 New York City II - Philadelphia Union II 2:1
    Latest results of New York City II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New England Revolution II422005:210
    2New York Red Bulls II420209:48
    3Columbus Crew 2421017:68
    4Philadelphia Union II421014:38
    5Connecticut FC420027:86
    6Toronto FC II410127:44
    7New York City II301111:63
    8Cincinnati 2400042:80


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy4400017:312
    2Orlando City B4210110:108
    3Atlanta United 2420117:67
    4Chicago Fire II412014:47
    5Huntsville411028:145
    6Chattanooga410128:104
    7Inter Miami II400225:112
    8Carolina Core300123:51


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Real Monarchs4220012:610
    2San Jose Earthquakes II420119:47
    3Ventura County412018:77
    4Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 2410126:84
    6Los Angeles FC 2401217:104
    7Tacoma Defiance401122:73


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 24400013:012
    2St. Louis City 24310012:411
    3Austin FC II420116:67
    4Minnesota 2420026:76
    5North Texas410125:64
    6Sporting Kansas City II401032:122
    7Colorado Rapids 2400134:111


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy4400017:312
    2New England Revolution II422005:210
    3New York Red Bulls II420209:48
    4Columbus Crew 2421017:68
    5Philadelphia Union II421014:38
    6Orlando City B4210110:108
    7Atlanta United 2420117:67
    8Chicago Fire II412014:47
    9Connecticut FC420027:86
    10Huntsville411028:145
    11Toronto FC II410127:44
    12Chattanooga410128:104
    13New York City II301111:63
    14Inter Miami II400225:112
    15Carolina Core300123:51
    16Cincinnati 2400042:80


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 24400013:012
    2St. Louis City 24310012:411
    3Real Monarchs4220012:610
    4San Jose Earthquakes II420119:47
    5Austin FC II420116:67
    6Ventura County412018:77
    7Minnesota 2420026:76
    8Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    9North Texas410125:64
    10Vancouver Whitecaps 2410126:84
    11Los Angeles FC 2401217:104
    12Tacoma Defiance401122:73
    13Sporting Kansas City II401032:122
    14Colorado Rapids 2400134:111

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)