New York Red Bulls 2 vs Inter Miami II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2 penalties
21/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.721.62
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
2014
Shots on target
106
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
83% (361/437)83% (376/451)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.721.62
xG on target (xGOT)
2.811.93
Total shots
2014
Shots on target
106
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
137
Shots outside the Box
77
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
3720
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1616
Passes
83% (361/437)83% (376/451)
Long passes
57% (17/30)65% (42/65)
Passes in final third
71% (91/129)66% (71/108)
Crosses
13% (1/8)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.240.94
Throw-ins
1812
Fouls
1616
Tackles
67% (8/12)63% (10/16)
Duels won
4043
Clearances
2619
Interceptions
1217
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
59
xGOT faced
1.932.81
Goals prevented
0.931.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Dos Santos M. , Worth N. (A),
  • 28', Worth N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 59', Zeltzer-Zubida I. , Plambeck P. ,
  • 62', Gutierrez J. , Jarvis A. ,
  • 62', Mitchell R. , Jimenez M. ,
  • 72', Flores A. , Ledesma S. ,
  • 76', 1 - 1, Rey D. ,
  • 78', Mosquera R. , Nelich D. ,
  • 78', Worth N. , Scuro R. ,
  • 80', Benedetti N. (Pen),
  • 85', Hall T. , Ristano A. ,
  • 85', Rey D. , Rodriguez M. ,
  • 90+4', Rojas A. , Rodriguez B. ,
  • 90+6', Ristano A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 🟨,
  • Penalties (2 - 4)
  • 1, Sumalla D. (Pen),
  • 1, Jimenez M. (Pen),
  • 2, Saja M. (Pen),
  • 2, Scuro R. (Pen),
  • 3, Almeida N. (Pen),
  • 3, Mehmeti A. (Pen),
  • 4, Plambeck P. (Pen),
  • 4, Nelich D. (Pen),

Chances of winning


New York Red Bulls 2
70.1%
Draw
16.2%
Inter Miami II
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.8% 16.4% 15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.6% 15.5% 15%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Red Bulls 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Inter Miami II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami II than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • New York Red Bulls 2 - Inter Miami II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.35)
    5.68
    (5.58)
    6.72
    (5.81)
    8.7%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.25
    What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls 2 - Inter Miami II?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
    • New York Red Bulls 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • New York Red Bulls 2 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Inter Miami II is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Inter Miami II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, New York Red Bulls 2 is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, New York Red Bulls 2 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New York Red Bulls 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls 2 - Inter Miami II were as follows:
    03.05.2024 Inter Miami II - New York Red Bulls 2 1:2
    24.03.2024 New York Red Bulls 2 - Inter Miami II 4:3
    02.07.2023 Inter Miami II - New York Red Bulls 2 0:3
    21.05.2023 New York Red Bulls 2 - Inter Miami II 1:0
    Latest results of Inter Miami II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II110004:23
    2Connecticut FC110003:13
    3Philadelphia Union II110001:03
    4New England Revolution II101001:12
    5New York City II000000:00
    6Toronto FC II100010:10
    7Columbus Crew 2100012:40
    8Cincinnati 2100011:30


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy110004:13
    2Huntsville110003:13
    3Chicago Fire II101001:12
    4Atlanta United 2100101:11
    5Inter Miami II100101:11
    6Carolina Core000000:00
    7Orlando City B100011:30
    8Chattanooga100011:40


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County110004:23
    2Portland Timbers 2110002:13
    3Real Monarchs101002:22
    4Los Angeles FC 2101002:22
    5Tacoma Defiance100102:21
    6San Jose Earthquakes II100011:20
    7Vancouver Whitecaps 2100012:40


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2110004:03
    2Minnesota 2110004:23
    3Houston Dynamo 2110002:03
    4North Texas100102:21
    5Austin FC II100012:40
    6Colorado Rapids 2100010:20
    7Sporting Kansas City II100010:40


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy110004:13
    2New York Red Bulls II110004:23
    3Huntsville110003:13
    4Connecticut FC110003:13
    5Philadelphia Union II110001:03
    6Chicago Fire II101001:12
    7New England Revolution II101001:12
    8Atlanta United 2100101:11
    9Inter Miami II100101:11
    10New York City II000000:00
    11Carolina Core000000:00
    12Toronto FC II100010:10
    13Columbus Crew 2100012:40
    14Orlando City B100011:30
    15Cincinnati 2100011:30
    16Chattanooga100011:40


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2110004:03
    2Ventura County110004:23
    3Minnesota 2110004:23
    4Houston Dynamo 2110002:03
    5Portland Timbers 2110002:13
    6Real Monarchs101002:22
    7Los Angeles FC 2101002:22
    8Tacoma Defiance100102:21
    9North Texas100102:21
    10San Jose Earthquakes II100011:20
    11Vancouver Whitecaps 2100012:40
    12Austin FC II100012:40
    13Colorado Rapids 2100010:20
    14Sporting Kansas City II100010:40

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