New York Red Bulls 2 vs Toronto FC II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

MSU Soccer Park (New York, NY).

MLS Next Pro
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Next Pro

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.02	0.39
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
5	2
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
11	7
Passes
90% (437/488)	84% (337/401)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02	0.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.93	0.73
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
8	4
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
8	3
Shots outside the Box
8	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
11	7
Touches in opposition box
25	8
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
8	11
Passes
90% (437/488)	84% (337/401)
Long passes
64% (23/36)	50% (19/38)
Passes in final third
80% (121/151)	62% (36/58)
Crosses
20% (4/20)	12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.88	0.36
Throw-ins
28	7
Fouls
11	8
Tackles
69% (9/13)	68% (17/25)
Duels won
28	48
Clearances
13	22
Interceptions
8	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.73	1.93
Goals prevented
-0.27	-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Fortier T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Benedetti N. ↓, Scuro R. ↑,
46', Kapor S. ↓, Ythallo ↑,
55', Stokes A. 🟨,
58', Edwards N. ↓, Iliadis C. ↑,
58', Bossenberry A. ↓, McDonald P. ↑,
66', Barrow D. ↓, Nolan J. ↑,
72', 1 - 0, Rojas A. ⚽, Jimenez M. (A),
79', Nelich D. ↓, Rosborough T. ↑,
79', Mina J. ↓, Sserwadda S. ↑,
82', Fortier T. ↓, Nugent J. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Sullivan M. ⚽,
84', Jimenez M. ↓, Mitchell R. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Rojas A. ⚽,
90+2', Worth N. ↓, Jarvis A. ↑,

Chances of winning

New York Red Bulls 2
49.1%

Draw
24.1%

Toronto FC II
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

24.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

24%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Red Bulls 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New York Red Bulls 2's performance.

Toronto FC II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toronto FC II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York Red Bulls 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto FC II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

New York Red Bulls 2 - Toronto FC II Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.27)	3.87 ↑ (3.73)	3.5 ↑ (2.55)	7% (10.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
New York Red Bulls 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New York Red Bulls 2 won 4.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
New York Red Bulls 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
New York Red Bulls 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, New York Red Bulls 2 won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:16. (average 1.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, New York Red Bulls 2 won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.9:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has New York Red Bulls 2 won against Toronto FC II?

New York Red Bulls 2 has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC II won against New York Red Bulls 2?

Toronto FC II has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls 2 - Toronto FC II were as follows:

11.07.2025 Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2 2:3

22.09.2024 New York Red Bulls 2 - Toronto FC II 2:0

28.07.2024 Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2 4:3

09.06.2024 New York Red Bulls 2 - Toronto FC II 2:1

01.09.2023 Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2 0:3

Latest results of New York Red Bulls 2

01.10.2025 Cincinnati 2 - New York Red Bulls 2 2:1 ✺

21.09.2025 New York Red Bulls 2 - Inter Miami II 1:2 ✺

13.09.2025 Huntsville City - New York Red Bulls 2 2:3 ✺

31.08.2025 New York Red Bulls 2 - Columbus Crew 2 7:4 ✺

24.08.2025 New York Red Bulls 2 - Chicago Fire II 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Toronto FC II

26.09.2025 Toronto FC II - Philadelphia Union II 1:2 ✺

19.09.2025 Toronto FC II - Columbus Crew 2 0:0 ✺

12.09.2025 New England Revolution II - Toronto FC II 2:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Toronto FC II - New York City II 3:0 ✺

20.08.2025 Philadelphia Union II - Toronto FC II 2:3 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2026

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New England Revolution II	4	2	2	0	0	5:2	10
2	New York Red Bulls II	4	2	0	2	0	9:4	8
3	Columbus Crew 2	4	2	1	0	1	7:6	8
4	Philadelphia Union II	4	2	1	0	1	4:3	8
5	Connecticut FC	4	2	0	0	2	7:8	6
6	Toronto FC II	4	1	0	1	2	7:4	4
7	New York City II	3	0	1	1	1	1:6	3
8	Cincinnati 2	4	0	0	0	4	2:8	0

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Crown Legacy	4	4	0	0	0	17:3	12
2	Orlando City B	4	2	1	0	1	10:10	8
3	Atlanta United 2	4	2	0	1	1	7:6	7
4	Chicago Fire II	4	1	2	0	1	4:4	7
5	Huntsville	4	1	1	0	2	8:14	5
6	Chattanooga	4	1	0	1	2	8:10	4
7	Inter Miami II	4	0	0	2	2	5:11	2
8	Carolina Core	3	0	0	1	2	3:5	1

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Real Monarchs	4	2	2	0	0	12:6	10
2	San Jose Earthquakes II	4	2	0	1	1	9:4	7
3	Ventura County	3	1	1	0	1	8:7	5
4	Portland Timbers 2	3	1	1	0	1	2:6	5
5	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	4	1	0	1	2	6:8	4
6	Los Angeles FC 2	4	0	1	2	1	7:10	4
7	Tacoma Defiance	4	0	1	1	2	2:7	3

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Houston Dynamo 2	4	4	0	0	0	13:0	12
2	St. Louis City 2	4	3	1	0	0	12:4	11
3	Austin FC II	4	2	0	1	1	6:6	7
4	Minnesota 2	4	2	0	0	2	6:7	6
5	North Texas	4	1	0	1	2	5:6	4
6	Sporting Kansas City II	4	0	1	0	3	2:12	2
7	Colorado Rapids 2	4	0	0	1	3	4:11	1

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Crown Legacy	4	4	0	0	0	17:3	12
2	New England Revolution II	4	2	2	0	0	5:2	10
3	New York Red Bulls II	4	2	0	2	0	9:4	8
4	Columbus Crew 2	4	2	1	0	1	7:6	8
5	Philadelphia Union II	4	2	1	0	1	4:3	8
6	Orlando City B	4	2	1	0	1	10:10	8
7	Atlanta United 2	4	2	0	1	1	7:6	7
8	Chicago Fire II	4	1	2	0	1	4:4	7
9	Connecticut FC	4	2	0	0	2	7:8	6
10	Huntsville	4	1	1	0	2	8:14	5
11	Toronto FC II	4	1	0	1	2	7:4	4
12	Chattanooga	4	1	0	1	2	8:10	4
13	New York City II	3	0	1	1	1	1:6	3
14	Inter Miami II	4	0	0	2	2	5:11	2
15	Carolina Core	3	0	0	1	2	3:5	1
16	Cincinnati 2	4	0	0	0	4	2:8	0

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Houston Dynamo 2	4	4	0	0	0	13:0	12
2	St. Louis City 2	4	3	1	0	0	12:4	11
3	Real Monarchs	4	2	2	0	0	12:6	10
4	San Jose Earthquakes II	4	2	0	1	1	9:4	7
5	Austin FC II	4	2	0	1	1	6:6	7
6	Minnesota 2	4	2	0	0	2	6:7	6
7	Ventura County	3	1	1	0	1	8:7	5
8	Portland Timbers 2	3	1	1	0	1	2:6	5
9	North Texas	4	1	0	1	2	5:6	4
10	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	4	1	0	1	2	6:8	4
11	Los Angeles FC 2	4	0	1	2	1	7:10	4
12	Tacoma Defiance	4	0	1	1	2	2:7	3
13	Sporting Kansas City II	4	0	1	0	3	2:12	2
14	Colorado Rapids 2	4	0	0	1	3	4:11	1

Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)