Toronto FC II vs New York Red Bulls 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Next Pro Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2
Result
2:3 penalties
11/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.101.98
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
621
Shots on target
38
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
82% (332/405)87% (475/545)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.101.98
xG on target (xGOT)
1.441.09
Total shots
621
Shots on target
38
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
512
Shots outside the Box
19
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
1242
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
96
Passes
82% (332/405)87% (475/545)
Long passes
41% (25/61)71% (17/24)
Passes in final third
67% (61/91)82% (160/194)
Crosses
33% (3/9)13% (3/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.992.74
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
69
Tackles
80% (16/20)50% (8/16)
Duels won
3932
Clearances
2411
Interceptions
1313
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
1.091.44
Goals prevented
-0.91-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Ayari H. , Chisholm M. (A),
  • 36', 2 - 0, Nugent J. , Henry M. (A), Bossenberry A. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 56', Stojadinovic M. 🟥,
  • 61', De Rosario A. 🟨,
  • 61', Chisholm M. 🟨,
  • 61', Collahuazo J. 🟨,
  • 61', Rojas A. 🟨,
  • 62', Jimenez M. , Mitchell R. ,
  • 62', Schwarz B. , Kasule I. ,
  • 71', Henry M. , Edwards N. ,
  • 71', Kapor S. , Chukwu R. ,
  • 71', Ayari H. , Olguin L. ,
  • 73', 2 - 1, Mosquera R. ,
  • 80', Bossenberry A. , Fortier T. ,
  • 84', Kasule I. 🟨,
  • 84', Nugent J. , Nolan J. ,
  • 85', Rojas A. , Rosborough T. ,
  • 90+2', Jarvis A. , Nelich D. ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 2, Rosborough T. , Mosquera R. (A),
  • Penalties (3 - 4)
  • 1, McDonald P. (Pen),
  • 1, Kasule I. (Pen),
  • 2, Sullivan M. (Pen),
  • 2, Mosquera R. (Pen),
  • 3, Edwards N. (Pen),
  • 3, Mitchell R. (Pen),
  • 4, Chisholm M. (Pen),
  • 4, Nelich D. (Pen),
  • 5, Nolan J. (Pen),
  • 5, Rosborough T. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Toronto FC II
28.3%
Draw
24.5%
New York Red Bulls 2
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.9% 24.1% 45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 23.7% 45.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • New York Red Bulls 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.23
    (2.96)
    3.74
    (3.79)
    1.94
    (2.03)
    9.4%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • New York Red Bulls 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • New York Red Bulls 2 could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 1.1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2 were as follows:
    22.09.2024 New York Red Bulls 2 - Toronto FC II 2:0
    28.07.2024 Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2 4:3
    09.06.2024 New York Red Bulls 2 - Toronto FC II 2:1
    01.09.2023 Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2 0:3
    09.08.2023 New York Red Bulls 2 - Toronto FC II 1:2
    Latest results of Toronto FC II
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2251622564:5254
    2Philadelphia Union II251253553:2849
    3New England Revolution II241252545:3048
    4Chicago Fire II251242762:4546
    5Toronto FC II2510141032:3836
    6New York City II259241049:5335
    7Cincinnati 2245701227:3529
    8Columbus Crew 2255131634:5720


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga241143639:3544
    2Huntsville251142848:3143
    3Carolina Core25844939:3836
    4Orlando City B259321134:4735
    5Atlanta United 224726937:3931
    6Crown Legacy266351244:5329
    7Inter Miami II256051436:6223


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Town FC241242652:3246
    2Real Monarchs251044744:3842
    3Vancouver Whitecaps 22511311057:4640
    4Ventura County251024946:4438
    5Los Angeles FC II259211343:5332
    6Portland Timbers 2258241142:4932
    7Tacoma Defiance247221353:6127


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2251641456:3357
    2Colorado Rapids 2251314748:3745
    3Minnesota 2251024939:3838
    4Austin FC II25935831:3138
    5North Texas259421038:4937
    6Houston Dynamo 2258421135:3934
    7Sporting Kansas City II253231726:6016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2 ✔ 251622564:5254
    2Philadelphia Union II ✔ 251253553:2849
    3New England Revolution II ✔ 241252545:3048
    4Chicago Fire II ✔ 251242762:4546
    5Chattanooga241143639:3544
    6Huntsville251142848:3143
    7Toronto FC II2510141032:3836
    8Carolina Core25844939:3836
    9New York City II259241049:5335
    10Orlando City B259321134:4735
    11Atlanta United 224726937:3931
    12Crown Legacy266351244:5329
    13Cincinnati 2245701227:3529
    14Inter Miami II256051436:6223
    15Columbus Crew 2255131634:5720


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2 ✔ 251641456:3357
    2Town FC ✔ 241242652:3246
    3Colorado Rapids 2 ✔ 251314748:3745
    4Real Monarchs251044744:3842
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 22511311057:4640
    6Ventura County251024946:4438
    7Minnesota 2251024939:3838
    8Austin FC II25935831:3138
    9North Texas259421038:4937
    10Houston Dynamo 2258421135:3934
    11Los Angeles FC II259211343:5332
    12Portland Timbers 2258241142:4932
    13Tacoma Defiance247221353:6127
    14Sporting Kansas City II253231726:6016

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    New York Red Bulls 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New England Revolution II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Chicago Fire II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    St. Louis City 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Town FC is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Colorado Rapids 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)