New York Red Bulls 2 vs Toronto FC II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

MSU Soccer Park (New York, NY).

MLS Next Pro
Where to Watch on TV:


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Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.02	0.39
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
5	2
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
11	7
Passes
90% (437/488)	84% (337/401)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02	0.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.93	0.73
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
8	4
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
8	3
Shots outside the Box
8	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
11	7
Touches in opposition box
25	8
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
8	11
Passes
90% (437/488)	84% (337/401)
Long passes
64% (23/36)	50% (19/38)
Passes in final third
80% (121/151)	62% (36/58)
Crosses
20% (4/20)	12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.88	0.36
Throw-ins
28	7
Fouls
11	8
Tackles
69% (9/13)	68% (17/25)
Duels won
28	48
Clearances
13	22
Interceptions
8	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.73	1.93
Goals prevented
-0.27	-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Fortier T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Benedetti N. ↓, Scuro R. ↑,
46', Kapor S. ↓, Ythallo ↑,
55', Stokes A. 🟨,
58', Edwards N. ↓, Iliadis C. ↑,
58', Bossenberry A. ↓, McDonald P. ↑,
66', Barrow D. ↓, Nolan J. ↑,
72', 1 - 0, Rojas A. ⚽, Jimenez M. (A),
79', Nelich D. ↓, Rosborough T. ↑,
79', Mina J. ↓, Sserwadda S. ↑,
82', Fortier T. ↓, Nugent J. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Sullivan M. ⚽,
84', Jimenez M. ↓, Mitchell R. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Rojas A. ⚽,
90+2', Worth N. ↓, Jarvis A. ↑,

Chances of winning

New York Red Bulls 2
49.1%

Draw
24.1%

Toronto FC II
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

24.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

24%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Red Bulls 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New York Red Bulls 2's performance.

Toronto FC II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toronto FC II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York Red Bulls 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto FC II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

New York Red Bulls 2 - Toronto FC II Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.27)	3.87 ↑ (3.73)	3.5 ↑ (2.55)	7% (10.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
New York Red Bulls 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New York Red Bulls 2 won 4.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
New York Red Bulls 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
New York Red Bulls 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, New York Red Bulls 2 won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:16. (average 1.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, New York Red Bulls 2 won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.9:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has New York Red Bulls 2 won against Toronto FC II?

New York Red Bulls 2 has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC II won against New York Red Bulls 2?

Toronto FC II has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls 2 - Toronto FC II were as follows:

11.07.2025 Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2 2:3

22.09.2024 New York Red Bulls 2 - Toronto FC II 2:0

28.07.2024 Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2 4:3

09.06.2024 New York Red Bulls 2 - Toronto FC II 2:1

01.09.2023 Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2 0:3

Latest results of New York Red Bulls 2

01.10.2025 Cincinnati 2 - New York Red Bulls 2 2:1 ✺

21.09.2025 New York Red Bulls 2 - Inter Miami II 1:2 ✺

13.09.2025 Huntsville City - New York Red Bulls 2 2:3 ✺

31.08.2025 New York Red Bulls 2 - Columbus Crew 2 7:4 ✺

24.08.2025 New York Red Bulls 2 - Chicago Fire II 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Toronto FC II

26.09.2025 Toronto FC II - Philadelphia Union II 1:2 ✺

19.09.2025 Toronto FC II - Columbus Crew 2 0:0 ✺

12.09.2025 New England Revolution II - Toronto FC II 2:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Toronto FC II - New York City II 3:0 ✺

20.08.2025 Philadelphia Union II - Toronto FC II 2:3 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2026

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls II	5	3	0	2	0	11:5	11
2	Philadelphia Union II	5	3	1	0	1	8:4	11
3	Columbus Crew 2	6	3	1	0	2	10:9	11
4	New England Revolution II	5	2	2	0	1	6:4	10
5	Connecticut FC	5	2	0	0	3	8:11	6
6	Toronto FC II	5	1	0	2	2	10:7	5
7	Cincinnati 2	5	1	0	0	4	3:8	3
8	New York City II	4	0	1	1	2	1:7	3

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Crown Legacy	6	5	1	0	0	22:6	17
2	Chattanooga	6	3	0	1	2	13:11	10
3	Atlanta United 2	6	3	0	1	2	9:8	10
4	Chicago Fire II	5	1	3	0	1	4:4	9
5	Orlando City B	5	2	1	0	2	11:13	8
6	Huntsville	5	1	1	1	2	8:14	6
7	Inter Miami II	6	0	1	2	3	6:14	4
8	Carolina Core	5	0	0	2	3	5:10	2

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Ventura County	6	3	2	0	1	11:7	13
2	San Jose Earthquakes II	5	3	0	1	1	10:4	10
3	Real Monarchs	5	2	2	0	1	12:8	10
4	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	6	2	0	1	3	10:12	7
5	Los Angeles FC 2	5	1	1	2	1	10:12	7
6	Portland Timbers 2	4	1	1	1	1	2:6	6
7	Tacoma Defiance	6	0	1	1	4	3:10	3

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	6	4	2	0	0	16:6	16
2	Houston Dynamo 2	5	4	1	0	0	14:1	14
3	North Texas	6	2	1	1	2	11:9	9
4	Austin FC II	5	2	0	2	1	7:7	8
5	Minnesota 2	5	2	0	0	3	6:8	6
6	Sporting Kansas City II	7	0	1	1	5	5:20	3
7	Colorado Rapids 2	5	0	0	2	3	6:13	2

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Crown Legacy	6	5	1	0	0	22:6	17
2	New York Red Bulls II	5	3	0	2	0	11:5	11
3	Philadelphia Union II	5	3	1	0	1	8:4	11
4	Columbus Crew 2	6	3	1	0	2	10:9	11
5	Chattanooga	6	3	0	1	2	13:11	10
6	Atlanta United 2	6	3	0	1	2	9:8	10
7	New England Revolution II	5	2	2	0	1	6:4	10
8	Chicago Fire II	5	1	3	0	1	4:4	9
9	Orlando City B	5	2	1	0	2	11:13	8
10	Connecticut FC	5	2	0	0	3	8:11	6
11	Huntsville	5	1	1	1	2	8:14	6
12	Toronto FC II	5	1	0	2	2	10:7	5
13	Inter Miami II	6	0	1	2	3	6:14	4
14	Cincinnati 2	5	1	0	0	4	3:8	3
15	New York City II	4	0	1	1	2	1:7	3
16	Carolina Core	5	0	0	2	3	5:10	2

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	6	4	2	0	0	16:6	16
2	Houston Dynamo 2	5	4	1	0	0	14:1	14
3	Ventura County	6	3	2	0	1	11:7	13
4	San Jose Earthquakes II	5	3	0	1	1	10:4	10
5	Real Monarchs	5	2	2	0	1	12:8	10
6	North Texas	6	2	1	1	2	11:9	9
7	Austin FC II	5	2	0	2	1	7:7	8
8	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	6	2	0	1	3	10:12	7
9	Los Angeles FC 2	5	1	1	2	1	10:12	7
10	Minnesota 2	5	2	0	0	3	6:8	6
11	Portland Timbers 2	4	1	1	1	1	2:6	6
12	Tacoma Defiance	6	0	1	1	4	3:10	3
13	Sporting Kansas City II	7	0	1	1	5	5:20	3
14	Colorado Rapids 2	5	0	0	2	3	6:13	2

Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)