Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls
Result
2:0
12/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: De Oliveira M. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.380.61
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
74% (345/464)74% (314/424)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.380.61
xG on target (xGOT)
2.320.10
Total shots
178
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
95
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
2416
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
74% (345/464)74% (314/424)
Long passes
34% (21/61)29% (19/65)
Passes in final third
64% (103/160)62% (69/111)
Crosses
35% (6/17)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.290.97
Throw-ins
2815
Fouls
1211
Tackles
68% (13/19)31% (4/13)
Duels won
6352
Clearances
2116
Interceptions
1625
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.102.32
Goals prevented
0.100.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Vassilev I. ,
  • 24', 2 - 0, Damiani B. , Sullivan Q. (A), Baribo T. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Edelman D. , Donkor R. ,
  • 46', Eile N. , Valencia O. ,
  • 62', Lukic J. 🟨,
  • 62', Harriel N. 🟨,
  • 73', Sullivan Q. , Westfield F. ,
  • 73', Damiani B. , Olivas S. ,
  • 73', Stroud P. , Hall J. ,
  • 83', Valencia O. 🟨,
  • 86', Carmona W. , Bogacz W. ,
  • 86', Duncan K. , Gjengaar D. ,
  • 87', Vassilev I. , Bedoya A. ,
  • 87', Baribo T. , Rafanello J. ,
  • 90+4', Gjengaar D. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Harriel N. , Donovan C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Philadelphia Union
52.6%
Draw
25.1%
New York Red Bulls
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 27.1% 28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 26.9% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Philadelphia Union's performance.
  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New York Red Bulls might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Philadelphia Union that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New York Red Bulls could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (2.1)
    3.76
    (3.45)
    4.22
    (3.28)
    5.5%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls?
  • Users Predictions: Philadelphia Union will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.93%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Philadelphia Union will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 4.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Philadelphia is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Edwards R. (Red Card) Harper C. (Knee Injury) Morgan L. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Philadelphia: Bueno J. (Hamstring Injury) Uhre M. (Hip Injury) Westfield F. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Morales M. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:14. (average 1.5:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:10. (average 1.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls were as follows:
    09.07.2025 Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls Postponed
    31.08.2024 New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union 0:2
    06.07.2024 Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls 0:0
    03.09.2023 Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls 4:1
    08.08.2023 Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls 2:1
    Latest results of Philadelphia Union
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC25144749:321746
    2Vancouver Whitecaps23126539:261342
    3Minnesota United24118540:271341
    4Seattle Sounders23107637:33437
    5Portland Timbers24107733:32137
    6Los Angeles FC22106639:281136
    7Colorado Rapids24861030:36-630
    8Austin FC2286817:24-730
    9San Jose Earthquakes2478946:42429
    10Real Salt Lake23841124:29-528
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas24671135:45-1025
    13Sporting Kansas City23661136:42-624
    14St. Louis City23461323:38-1518
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati24153639:31848
    2Philadelphia Union24145540:231747
    3Nashville SC25145642:271547
    4Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    5Inter Miami21125449:341541
    6Orlando City25118646:331341
    7New York City24115834:29538
    8Charlotte241121141:39235
    9New York Red Bulls2496939:35433
    10Chicago Fire2395944:40432
    11New England Revolution24671131:35-425
    12Toronto FC23561225:30-521
    13Atlanta Utd23481127:43-1620
    14DC United24471320:45-2519
    15CF Montreal25461523:46-2318

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)