New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union
Result
1:0
16/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Pekmic I. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.331.24
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
12
Passes
70% (275/392)68% (251/371)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.331.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.620.92
Total shots
711
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
1622
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
813
Passes
70% (275/392)68% (251/371)
Long passes
35% (23/65)30% (24/79)
Passes in final third
52% (55/105)57% (78/136)
Crosses
29% (2/7)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.430.55
Throw-ins
2934
Fouls
138
Tackles
64% (7/11)83% (19/23)
Duels won
6665
Clearances
3823
Interceptions
138
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.920.62
Goals prevented
0.92-0.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Blake A. , Rick A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Donovan C. , Damiani B. ,
  • 58', Ngoma S. , Gjengaar D. ,
  • 61', Uhre M. , Baribo T. ,
  • 61', Bedoya A. , Sullivan Q. ,
  • 67', Damiani B. (Pen),
  • 74', 1 - 0, Nealis D. , Choupo-Moting E. M. (A), Forsberg E. (A2)
  • 77', Nealis D. 🟨,
  • 78', Bueno J. , Jean Jacques D. ,
  • 82', Forsberg E. , Hall J. ,
  • 90', Carmona W. , Nealis S. ,
  • 90', Choupo-Moting E. M. , Bogacz W. ,
  • 90+6', Bogacz W. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York Red Bulls
34.6%
Draw
26.8%
Philadelphia Union
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.5% 27.2% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4% 27.9% 35.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.71
    (2.61)
    3.54
    (3.5)
    2.47
    (2.62)
    5.6%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 2 - 50%). Philadelphia (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 0.
    • NY Red Bulls has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Philadelphia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • NY Red Bulls may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Duncan K. (Red Card) Harper C. (Knee Injury) Morgan L. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury) Glesnes J. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Marcucci A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Philadelphia: Bender B. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 16:34. (average 0.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union were as follows:
    13.08.2025 Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls 3:2
    12.07.2025 Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls 2:0
    31.08.2024 New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union 0:2
    06.07.2024 Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls 0:0
    03.09.2023 Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls 4:1
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    Latest results of Philadelphia Union
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 32176956:391757
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 31169659:342557
    3Minnesota United ✔ 321510752:371555
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 30158760:372353
    5Seattle Sounders311210954:47746
    6Austin FC311281134:40-644
    7Portland Timbers3211111041:43-244
    8Colorado Rapids321171442:53-1140
    9San Jose Earthquakes321081457:58-138
    10FC Dallas319111147:51-438
    11Real Salt Lake311141635:46-1137
    12Houston Dynamo32991441:52-1136
    13St. Louis City32771839:55-1628
    14Sporting Kansas City32761946:67-2127
    15Los Angeles Galaxy31591741:62-2124


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 32196756:332363
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3New York City ✔ 321751049:41856
    4Inter Miami ✔ 30168665:471856
    5Charlotte ✔ 321721352:46653
    6Nashville SC321651155:391653
    7Orlando City30149758:431551
    8Columbus Crew321311851:49250
    9Chicago Fire311461159:53648
    10New York Red Bulls321271347:43443
    11New England Revolution32981541:45-435
    12Toronto FC315131331:38-728
    13CF Montreal32691733:56-2327
    14Atlanta Utd315121437:57-2027
    15DC United325101729:64-3525

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)