Result
2:0
12/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: De Oliveira M. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 0.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (345/464) | 74% (314/424) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 0.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (345/464) | 74% (314/424) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (21/61) | 29% (19/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (103/160) | 62% (69/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 31% (4/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.10 | 2.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Vassilev I. ⚽,
- 24', 2 - 0, Damiani B. ⚽, Sullivan Q. (A), Baribo T. (A2)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Edelman D. ↓, Donkor R. ↑,
- 46', Eile N. ↓, Valencia O. ↑,
- 62', Lukic J. 🟨,
- 62', Harriel N. 🟨,
- 73', Sullivan Q. ↓, Westfield F. ↑,
- 73', Damiani B. ↓, Olivas S. ↑,
- 73', Stroud P. ↓, Hall J. ↑,
- 83', Valencia O. 🟨,
- 86', Carmona W. ↓, Bogacz W. ↑,
- 86', Duncan K. ↓, Gjengaar D. ↑,
- 87', Vassilev I. ↓, Bedoya A. ↑,
- 87', Baribo T. ↓, Rafanello J. ↑,
- 90+4', Gjengaar D. 🟨,
- 90+5', Harriel N. ↓, Donovan C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Philadelphia Union
52.6% | Draw
25.1% | New York Red Bulls
22.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Philadelphia Union's performance.New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New York Red Bulls might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Philadelphia Union that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New York Red Bulls could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(2.1) |
3.76 ↑
(3.45) |
4.22 ↑
(3.28) |
5.5%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls?
Users Predictions:
Philadelphia Union will win
(19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Philadelphia Union will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 4.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Philadelphia is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Edwards R.
(Red Card)
Harper C.
(Knee Injury)
Morgan L.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Philadelphia: Bueno J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Uhre M.
(Hip Injury)
Westfield F.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Morales M.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:14. (average 1.5:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:10. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Union won against New York Red Bulls?
Philadelphia Union has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New York Red Bulls won against Philadelphia Union?
New York Red Bulls has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls were as follows:
09.07.2025
Philadelphia Union
-
New York Red Bulls
Postponed
31.08.2024
New York Red Bulls
-
Philadelphia Union
0:2
06.07.2024
Philadelphia Union
-
New York Red Bulls
0:0
03.09.2023
Philadelphia Union
-
New York Red Bulls
4:1
08.08.2023
Philadelphia Union
-
New York Red Bulls
2:1
Latest results of Philadelphia Union
Latest results of New York Red Bulls
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 49:32 | 17 | 46 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 39:26 | 13 | 42 |
| 3 | Minnesota United | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 40:27 | 13 | 41 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 37:33 | 4 | 37 |
| 5 | Portland Timbers | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 37 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 39:28 | 11 | 36 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 30:36 | -6 | 30 |
| 8 | Austin FC | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 30 |
| 9 | San Jose Earthquakes | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 29 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 24:29 | -5 | 28 |
| 11 | Houston Dynamo | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 30:39 | -9 | 27 |
| 12 | FC Dallas | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 35:45 | -10 | 25 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 24 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23:38 | -15 | 18 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 16 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Cincinnati | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 39:31 | 8 | 48 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 40:23 | 17 | 47 |
| 3 | Nashville SC | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 42:27 | 15 | 47 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:36 | 5 | 44 |
| 5 | Inter Miami | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 49:34 | 15 | 41 |
| 6 | Orlando City | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 46:33 | 13 | 41 |
| 7 | New York City | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 38 |
| 8 | Charlotte | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 41:39 | 2 | 35 |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 39:35 | 4 | 33 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 44:40 | 4 | 32 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 31:35 | -4 | 25 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:30 | -5 | 21 |
| 13 | Atlanta Utd | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 27:43 | -16 | 20 |
| 14 | DC United | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:45 | -25 | 19 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23:46 | -23 | 18 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
