Result
1:0
16/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Pekmic I. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (275/392) | 68% (251/371) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (275/392) | 68% (251/371) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (23/65) | 30% (24/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (55/105) | 57% (78/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 83% (19/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.92 | -0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Blake A. ↓, Rick A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Donovan C. ↓, Damiani B. ↑,
- 58', Ngoma S. ↓, Gjengaar D. ↑,
- 61', Uhre M. ↓, Baribo T. ↑,
- 61', Bedoya A. ↓, Sullivan Q. ↑,
- 67', Damiani B. (Pen),
- 74', 1 - 0, Nealis D. ⚽, Choupo-Moting E. M. (A), Forsberg E. (A2)
- 77', Nealis D. 🟨,
- 78', Bueno J. ↓, Jean Jacques D. ↑,
- 82', Forsberg E. ↓, Hall J. ↑,
- 90', Carmona W. ↓, Nealis S. ↑,
- 90', Choupo-Moting E. M. ↓, Bogacz W. ↑,
- 90+6', Bogacz W. 🟨,
Chances of winning
New York Red Bulls
34.6% | Draw
26.8% | Philadelphia Union
38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.71 ↑
(2.61) |
3.54 ↑
(3.5) |
2.47 ↓
(2.62) |
5.6%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 2 - 40%). Philadelphia (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - NY Red Bulls (2.03) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Philadelphia (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 0.
- NY Red Bulls has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Philadelphia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- NY Red Bulls may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Duncan K.
(Red Card)
Harper C.
(Knee Injury)
Morgan L.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I.
(Knee Injury)
Glesnes J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Marcucci A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Philadelphia: Bender B.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 16:34. (average 0.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has New York Red Bulls won against Philadelphia Union?
New York Red Bulls has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Union won against New York Red Bulls?
Philadelphia Union has won 7 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union were as follows:
13.08.2025
Philadelphia Union
-
New York Red Bulls
3:2
12.07.2025
Philadelphia Union
-
New York Red Bulls
2:0
31.08.2024
New York Red Bulls
-
Philadelphia Union
0:2
06.07.2024
Philadelphia Union
-
New York Red Bulls
0:0
03.09.2023
Philadelphia Union
-
New York Red Bulls
4:1
Latest results of New York Red Bulls
Latest results of Philadelphia Union
MLS Table
2026Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Dallas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Portland Timbers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Houston Dynamo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Minnesota United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Austin FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | St. Louis City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Real Salt Lake | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | DC United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | New York City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Charlotte | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Toronto FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 13 | New England Revolution | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 14 | Inter Miami | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
