San Jose Earthquakes vs New York Red Bulls – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
05/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.79
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
97
Passes
83% (434/523)77% (299/388)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.531.23
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
97
Touches in opposition box
2716
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
139
Passes
83% (434/523)77% (299/388)
Long passes
63% (27/43)25% (14/56)
Passes in final third
76% (95/125)73% (103/141)
Crosses
38% (10/26)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.540.67
Throw-ins
1811
Fouls
913
Tackles
80% (12/15)52% (12/23)
Duels won
5243
Clearances
2721
Interceptions
813
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.230.53
Goals prevented
0.230.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Forsberg E. , Stroud P. (A), Duncan K. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Jones D. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Vitor Costa ,
  • 59', Ngoma S. , Choupo-Moting E. M. ,
  • 59', Duncan K. , Hack A. ,
  • 60', Edelman D. 🟨,
  • 64', Jones D. 🟨,
  • 77', Martinez J. , Judd P. ,
  • 77', Harkes I. , Kikanovic B. ,
  • 77', Vitor Costa , Bouda O. ,
  • 80', Carmona W. , Hall J. ,
  • 80', Edelman D. , Donkor R. ,
  • 86', Leroux B. , Kaye M. ,
  • 87', Edwards R. 🟥,
  • 90', Forsberg E. , Bogacz W. ,
  • 90+2', Donkor R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Jose Earthquakes
48.9%
Draw
23.9%
New York Red Bulls
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 24.5% 28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 24.1% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (2.03)
    3.98
    (3.91)
    3.48
    (3.36)
    5.1%
    (4.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Jose: 42.8%90.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. San Jose (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/E Goals - odd (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, San Jose has had a series of away games.
    • San Jose will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in San Jose: Buck N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Harper C. (Injury) Morgan L. (Muscle Injury) Nealis D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in San Jose: Lopez H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Edelman D. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 1:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls were as follows:
    08.04.2023 New York Red Bulls - San Jose Earthquakes 1:1
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC11005:053
    2San Jose Earthquakes11003:033
    3Los Angeles FC11003:033
    4Seattle Sounders11002:023
    5FC Dallas11003:213
    6Portland Timbers11003:213
    7Houston Dynamo11002:113
    8Vancouver Whitecaps11001:013
    9Minnesota United10102:201
    10Austin FC10102:201
    11Los Angeles Galaxy10101:101
    12St. Louis City10101:101
    13Real Salt Lake10010:1-10
    14Colorado Rapids10010:2-20
    15Sporting Kansas City10010:3-30


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC11004:133
    2FC Cincinnati11002:023
    3New York Red Bulls11002:113
    4DC United11001:013
    5New York City10101:101
    6Charlotte10101:101
    7Toronto FC10012:3-10
    8Columbus Crew10012:3-10
    9Chicago Fire10011:2-10
    10Orlando City10011:2-10
    11Philadelphia Union10010:1-10
    12Atlanta Utd10010:2-20
    13New England Revolution10011:4-30
    14Inter Miami10010:3-30
    15CF Montreal10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)