San Jose Earthquakes vs New York Red Bulls – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

PayPal Park (San Jose, CA).

MLS
Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.53	0.79
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
15	10
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
9	7
Passes
83% (434/523)	77% (299/388)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Red Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53	0.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.53	1.23
Total shots
15	10
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
9	2
Blocked Shots
3	4
Shots inside the Box
13	6
Shots outside the Box
2	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
9	7
Touches in opposition box
27	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	4
Free Kicks
13	9
Passes
83% (434/523)	77% (299/388)
Long passes
63% (27/43)	25% (14/56)
Passes in final third
76% (95/125)	73% (103/141)
Crosses
38% (10/26)	9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.54	0.67
Throw-ins
18	11
Fouls
9	13
Tackles
80% (12/15)	52% (12/23)
Duels won
52	43
Clearances
27	21
Interceptions
8	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
1.23	0.53
Goals prevented
0.23	0.53

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Forsberg E. ⚽, Stroud P. (A), Duncan K. (A2)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Jones D. 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Vitor Costa ⚽,
59', Ngoma S. ↓, Choupo-Moting E. M. ↑,
59', Duncan K. ↓, Hack A. ↑,
60', Edelman D. 🟨,
64', Jones D. 🟨,
77', Martinez J. ↓, Judd P. ↑,
77', Harkes I. ↓, Kikanovic B. ↑,
77', Vitor Costa ↓, Bouda O. ↑,
80', Carmona W. ↓, Hall J. ↑,
80', Edelman D. ↓, Donkor R. ↑,
86', Leroux B. ↓, Kaye M. ↑,
87', Edwards R. 🟥,
90', Forsberg E. ↓, Bogacz W. ↑,
90+2', Donkor R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

San Jose Earthquakes
48.9%

Draw
23.9%

New York Red Bulls
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

24.5%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

24.1%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.03)	3.98 ↑ (3.91)	3.48 ↑ (3.36)	5.1% (4.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Jose: 42.8% – 90.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Jose (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Recently, San Jose has had a series of away games.
San Jose will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in San Jose: Buck N. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Harper C. (Injury) Morgan L. (Muscle Injury) Nealis D. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in San Jose: Lopez H. (Lower-Body Injury)
There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Edelman D. (Knee Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 1:2).
Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has San Jose Earthquakes won against New York Red Bulls?

San Jose Earthquakes has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has New York Red Bulls won against San Jose Earthquakes?

New York Red Bulls has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls were as follows:

08.04.2023 New York Red Bulls - San Jose Earthquakes 1:1

Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes

25.06.2025 FC Dallas - San Jose Earthquakes 2:4 ✺

13.06.2025 Portland Timbers - San Jose Earthquakes 1:1 ✺

31.05.2025 St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes 2:1 ✺

28.05.2025 Los Angeles Galaxy - San Jose Earthquakes 0:1 ✺

24.05.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Houston Dynamo 3:3 ✺

Latest results of New York Red Bulls

25.06.2025 Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls 1:1 ✺

14.06.2025 Austin FC - New York Red Bulls 2:1 ✺

31.05.2025 New York Red Bulls - Atlanta United 2:0 ✺

28.05.2025 New York Red Bulls - Charlotte 4:2 ✺

24.05.2025 DC United - New York Red Bulls 0:2 ✺

MLS Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Diego FC	26	15	4	7	50:32	18	49
2	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	13	6	6	43:28	15	45
3	Minnesota United	26	12	8	6	43:30	13	44
4	Seattle Sounders	25	11	8	6	43:35	8	41
5	Los Angeles FC	23	10	7	6	41:30	11	37
6	Portland Timbers	25	10	7	8	33:34	-1	37
7	Austin FC	24	9	7	8	23:28	-5	34
8	Colorado Rapids	26	9	6	11	33:40	-7	33
9	San Jose Earthquakes	26	8	8	10	49:45	4	32
10	Real Salt Lake	25	9	4	12	27:32	-5	31
11	FC Dallas	25	7	7	11	37:45	-8	28
12	Houston Dynamo	25	7	7	11	32:41	-9	28
13	Sporting Kansas City	25	6	6	13	36:47	-11	24
14	St. Louis City	25	5	6	14	27:41	-14	21
15	Los Angeles Galaxy	25	3	7	15	28:52	-24	16

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Philadelphia Union	26	15	6	5	44:25	19	51
2	FC Cincinnati	26	15	4	7	39:32	7	49
3	Nashville SC	26	14	5	7	43:29	14	47
4	Orlando City	26	12	8	6	50:34	16	44
5	Columbus Crew	25	12	8	5	41:36	5	44
6	Inter Miami	23	12	6	5	50:38	12	42
7	Charlotte	26	13	2	11	44:39	5	41
8	New York City	24	11	5	8	34:29	5	38
9	Chicago Fire	25	10	6	9	47:42	5	36
10	New York Red Bulls	26	10	6	10	41:37	4	36
11	New England Revolution	25	7	7	11	33:35	-2	28
12	Toronto FC	25	5	7	13	26:33	-7	22
13	Atlanta Utd	25	4	10	11	30:46	-16	22
14	CF Montreal	26	4	7	15	24:47	-23	19
15	DC United	26	4	7	15	22:51	-29	19

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)