Brisbane Broncos vs New Zealand Warriors, Australian NRL – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby league Australian NRL Brisbane Broncos - New Zealand Warriors
28/06/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFox League, NRL

Match Stats

Tries
42
Conversion Goals
32
Conversion Goal Attempts
42
Penalty Goals
20
Penalty Goal Attempts
20
Goals %
83100
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
169152
Metres Run With Ball
15131301

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (18 - 0)
  • 3', Staggs K. (Try),
  • 4', Reynolds A. (Conversion Goal),
  • 15', Karapani J. (Try),
  • 16', Reynolds A. (Missed Conversion),
  • 25', Reynolds A. (Penalty Goal),
  • 40', Shibasaki G. (Try),
  • 40', Reynolds A. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (8 - 12)
  • 46', Tuivasa-Sheck R. (Try),
  • 47', Metcalf L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 52', Reynolds A. (Penalty Goal),
  • 66', Halasima L. (Try),
  • 67', Pompey A. (Conversion Goal),
  • 76', Shibasaki G. (Try),
  • 78', Reynolds A. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Brisbane Broncos
61.3%
Draw
3.7%
New Zealand Warriors
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 4.1% 45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5% 3.6% 51.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brisbane Broncos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brisbane Broncos's performance.
  • New Zealand Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Zealand Warriors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Broncos than the current prediction. (-16.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brisbane Broncos that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Zealand Warriors than the current prediction. (+16.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New Zealand Warriors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Brisbane Broncos - New Zealand Warriors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.83)
    24.33
    (22.5)
    2.64
    (2.02)
    9%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 48.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
  • What is the prediction for Brisbane Broncos - New Zealand Warriors?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Brisbane will win (votes: 1 - 20%). New Zealand will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 25:23.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Brisbane could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 364:438. (average 18.2:21.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 161:166. (average 23:23.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Broncos - New Zealand Warriors were as follows:
    19.04.2025 New Zealand Warriors - Brisbane Broncos 20:18
    29.06.2024 New Zealand Warriors - Brisbane Broncos 32:16
    23.09.2023 Brisbane Broncos - New Zealand Warriors 42:12
    27.05.2023 New Zealand Warriors - Brisbane Broncos 22:26
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Canterbury Bulldogs (3)26 : 18
    3Canberra Raiders (1)Bye
    4Cronulla Sharks (5)Sydney Roosters (8)20 : 10
    5Canberra Raiders (1)Brisbane Broncos (4)28 : 29
    7Canterbury BulldogsBye
    8New Zealand Warriors (6)Penrith Panthers (7)8 : 24

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Bye
    2Canberra Raiders (1)Cronulla Sharks (5)12 : 32
    3Brisbane Broncos (4)Bye
    4Canterbury Bulldogs (3)Penrith Panthers (7)26 : 46

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Cronulla Sharks (5)
    2Brisbane Broncos (4)Penrith Panthers (7)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2