Result
18:20
01/08/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NRL - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Fox League, Kayo Sports, NRL |
 United-kingdom | Sky Go, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 100 | 50 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 190 | 181 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 1928 | 1735 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (12 - 16)
- 5', Farnworth H. (Try),
- 6', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 10', Watene-Zelezniak D. (Try),
- 11', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
- 26', Marshall-King J. (Try),
- 27', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 30', Keeley O. (Try),
- 32', Isaako J. (Missed Conversion),
- 36', Watene-Zelezniak D. (Try),
- 38', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (6 - 4)
- 59', Halasima L. (Try),
- 61', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
- 79', Isaako J. (Try),
- 80', Katoa I. (Missed Conversion),
Chances of winning
New Zealand Warriors
39.3% | Draw
4.6% | Dolphins
56.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Zealand Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New Zealand Warriors's form might have worsened.Dolphins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dolphins's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Zealand Warriors than the current prediction. (+16.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New Zealand Warriors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dolphins than the current prediction. (-16.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dolphins, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↑
(1.68) |
19.95 ↓
(22) |
1.69 ↓
(2.28) |
6%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 45.50The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
What is the prediction for New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dolphins (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Dolphins will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 22:25.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Dolphins may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 146:130. (average 24.3:21.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, New Zealand won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 88:50. (average 29.3:16.7).
How many head-to-head matches has New Zealand Warriors won against Dolphins?
New Zealand Warriors has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dolphins won against New Zealand Warriors?
Dolphins has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins were as follows:
17.05.2025
Dolphins
-
New Zealand Warriors
12:16
11.08.2024
Dolphins
-
New Zealand Warriors
34:32
26.05.2024
New Zealand Warriors
-
Dolphins
24:20
23.02.2024
New Zealand Warriors
-
Dolphins
34:22
02.09.2023
Dolphins
-
New Zealand Warriors
34:10
Latest results of New Zealand Warriors
Latest results of Dolphins
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Melbourne Storm (2) | Canterbury Bulldogs (3) | 26 : 18 |
| 3 | Canberra Raiders (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | Cronulla Sharks (5) | Sydney Roosters (8) | 20 : 10 |
| 5 | Canberra Raiders (1) | Brisbane Broncos (4) | 28 : 29 |
| 7 | Canterbury Bulldogs | Bye | |
| 8 | New Zealand Warriors (6) | Penrith Panthers (7) | 8 : 24 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne Storm (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Canberra Raiders (1) | Cronulla Sharks (5) | 12 : 32 |
| 3 | Brisbane Broncos (4) | Bye | |
| 4 | Canterbury Bulldogs (3) | Penrith Panthers (7) | 26 : 46 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne Storm (2) | Cronulla Sharks (5) | |
| 2 | Brisbane Broncos (4) | Penrith Panthers (7) | |
Final
