Result
14:36
02/05/2026 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NRL - Round 9
- Referee: Sutton G. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 33 | 75 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 158 | 172 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 1451 | 1802 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (6 - 16)
- 5', Volkman R. (Try),
- 6', Moses M. (Conversion Goal),
- 14', Halasima L. (Try),
- 16', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
- 19', Khan-Pereira A. (Try),
- 20', Boyd T. (Missed Conversion),
- 25', Watene-Zelezniak D. (Try),
- 26', Boyd T. (Missed Conversion),
- 40+1', Boyd T. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (8 - 20)
- 45', Penisini W. (Try),
- 46', Moses M. (Missed Conversion),
- 51', Boyd T. (Penalty Goal),
- 60', Volkman R. (Try),
- 61', Moses M. (Missed Conversion),
- 64', Ford J. (Try),
- 66', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
- 70', Khan-Pereira A. (Try),
- 72', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
- 77', Tuivasa-Sheck R. (Try),
- 78', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Parramatta Eels
33.5% | Draw
4.2% | New Zealand Warriors
62.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Parramatta Eels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)New Zealand Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parramatta Eels than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Zealand Warriors than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Parramatta Eels - New Zealand Warriors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.78 ↑
(2.43) |
20.99 ↓
(24.5) |
1.49 ↓
(1.59) |
7.9%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 52.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
What is the prediction for Parramatta Eels - New Zealand Warriors?
Users Predictions:
New Zealand Warriors will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 24:29.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parramatta won 4.
- Recent form of Parramatta has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- New Zealand's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- New Zealand is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Parramatta won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 394:372. (average 21.9:20.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Parramatta won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 197:177. (average 21.9:19.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Parramatta Eels won against New Zealand Warriors?
Parramatta Eels has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New Zealand Warriors won against Parramatta Eels?
New Zealand Warriors has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Parramatta Eels - New Zealand Warriors were as follows:
29.08.2025
New Zealand Warriors
-
Parramatta Eels
22:26
02.08.2024
New Zealand Warriors
-
Parramatta Eels
20:30
08.07.2023
Parramatta Eels
-
New Zealand Warriors
10:46
Latest results of Parramatta Eels
Latest results of New Zealand Warriors
Australian NRL Table
Main | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Penrith Panthers | 9 | 8 | 1 | 291:122 | 16 |
| 2 | New Zealand Warriors | 9 | 7 | 2 | 278:170 | 14 |
| 3 | Sydney Roosters | 8 | 6 | 2 | 253:202 | 14 |
| 4 | South Sydney Rabbitohs | 8 | 5 | 3 | 260:192 | 12 |
| 5 | Wests Tigers | 8 | 5 | 3 | 219:179 | 12 |
| 6 | NQ Cowboys | 9 | 6 | 3 | 239:227 | 12 |
| 7 | Manly Sea Eagles | 8 | 4 | 4 | 227:176 | 10 |
| 8 | Cronulla Sharks | 8 | 4 | 4 | 244:208 | 10 |
| 9 | Dolphins | 9 | 4 | 5 | 228:207 | 10 |
| 10 | Brisbane Broncos | 9 | 5 | 4 | 210:209 | 10 |
| 11 | Newcastle Knights | 9 | 5 | 4 | 232:262 | 10 |
| 12 | Canberra Raiders | 9 | 4 | 5 | 183:249 | 8 |
| 13 | Canterbury Bulldogs | 9 | 3 | 6 | 157:238 | 8 |
| 14 | Gold Coast Titans | 8 | 2 | 6 | 158:204 | 6 |
| 15 | Parramatta Eels | 9 | 3 | 6 | 194:315 | 6 |
| 16 | Melbourne Storm | 9 | 2 | 7 | 198:260 | 4 |
| 17 | St. George Illawarra Dragons | 8 | 0 | 8 | 114:265 | 0 |
Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )
