New Zealand Warriors vs Newcastle Knights, Australian NRL: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby league Australian NRL New Zealand Warriors - Newcastle Knights
Result
26:12
25/04/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NRL - Round 8
New Zealand Warriors - Newcastle Knights - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
52
Conversion Goals
32
Conversion Goal Attempts
52
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
60100
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
197180
Metres Run With Ball
19141652

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (16 - 0)
  • 8', Pompey A. (Try),
  • 10', Metcalf L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 28', Ford J. (Try),
  • 31', Metcalf L. (Missed Conversion),
  • 35', Ford J. (Try),
  • 36', Metcalf L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (10 - 12)
  • 50', Schiller J. (Try),
  • 51', Ponga K. (Conversion Goal),
  • 56', Egan W. (Try),
  • 57', Metcalf L. (Missed Conversion),
  • 72', Pompey A. (Try),
  • 72', Tuaupiki T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 73', Jones B. (Try),
  • 78', Ponga K. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


New Zealand Warriors
67.4%
Draw
4.1%
Newcastle Knights
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.7% 3.6% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6% 3.7% 33.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New Zealand Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Newcastle Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Zealand Warriors than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New Zealand Warriors that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Knights than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newcastle Knights could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • New Zealand Warriors - Newcastle Knights Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.46)
    22.06
    (26)
    3.32
    (2.83)
    5.9%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 43.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)
  • What is the prediction for New Zealand Warriors - Newcastle Knights?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. New Zealand will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Newcastle will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 27:18.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches New Zealand won 3.
    • New Zealand is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Newcastle is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match New Zealand is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's New Zealand to win the game is with odds 1.38.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches New Zealand won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 412:380 (average 20.6:19).
    • Including matches at home between the teams New Zealand won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 276:218 (average 23:18.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New Zealand Warriors - Newcastle Knights were as follows:
    05.05.2024 Newcastle Knights - New Zealand Warriors 14:8
    31.03.2024 New Zealand Warriors - Newcastle Knights 20:12
    16.09.2023 New Zealand Warriors - Newcastle Knights 40:10
    09.04.2023 Newcastle Knights - New Zealand Warriors 34:24
    03.03.2023 New Zealand Warriors - Newcastle Knights 20:12
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Canberra Raiders17143462:35432
    2Melbourne Storm16124517:29730
    3Canterbury Bulldogs16124366:27030
    4New Zealand Warriors15105321:31026
    5Brisbane Broncos1697420:35222
    6Manly Sea Eagles1688380:32222
    7Sydney Roosters1688403:38222
    8Cronulla Sharks1798390:38222
    9Penrith Panthers1577322:31921
    10Dolphins1789490:34020
    11St. George Illawarra Dragons16610354:41018
    12NQ Cowboys17610344:48817
    13Wests Tigers16610320:40216
    14Newcastle Knights17611251:33616
    15Parramatta Eels15510287:39016
    16South Sydney Rabbitohs17611305:43416
    17Gold Coast Titans15411312:45614

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of New Zealand Warriors - Newcastle Knights?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaFox League, NRL
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