Newcastle Knights vs New Zealand Warriors, Australian NRL – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby league Australian NRL Newcastle Knights - New Zealand Warriors
Result
15:20
20/07/2025 at 02:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 2
australiaAustraliaFox League, Kayo Sports, NRL
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports+

Match Stats

Tries
33
Conversion Goals
03
Conversion Goal Attempts
43
Penalty Goals
11
Penalty Goal Attempts
12
Goals %
3380
Dropped Goals
10
Dropped Goal Attempts
10
Total Runs
179171
Metres Run With Ball
15261603

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (12 - 6)
  • 8', Pompey A. (Try),
  • 9', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 22', Hunt F. (Try),
  • 24', Hastings J. (Missed Conversion),
  • 26', Gagai D. (Try),
  • 28', Hastings J. (Missed Conversion),
  • 31', Marzhew G. (Try),
  • 32', Gagai D. (Missed Conversion),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 14)
  • 50', Vaimauga D. (Try),
  • 51', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 57', Gagai D. (Penalty Goal),
  • 68', Boyd T. (Penalty Goal),
  • 75', Cogger J. (Drop Goal),
  • 80', Halasima L. (Try),
  • 80', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Newcastle Knights
30.7%
Draw
4.1%
New Zealand Warriors
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.6% 3.6% 62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4% 3.7% 61.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • New Zealand Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Knights than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Zealand Warriors than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Newcastle Knights - New Zealand Warriors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.04
    (2.75)
    21.95
    (26)
    1.42
    (1.47)
    7.7%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 42.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)
  • What is the prediction for Newcastle Knights - New Zealand Warriors?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. New Zealand will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 18:25.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Newcastle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Newcastle has had a series of home games.
    • New Zealand could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 368:424. (average 18.4:21.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 138:122. (average 19.7:17.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Knights - New Zealand Warriors were as follows:
    25.04.2025 New Zealand Warriors - Newcastle Knights 26:12
    05.05.2024 Newcastle Knights - New Zealand Warriors 14:8
    31.03.2024 New Zealand Warriors - Newcastle Knights 20:12
    16.09.2023 New Zealand Warriors - Newcastle Knights 40:10
    09.04.2023 Newcastle Knights - New Zealand Warriors 34:24
    Latest results of Newcastle Knights
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Canberra Raiders22184606:43442
    2Melbourne Storm22175647:38940
    3Canterbury Bulldogs22157500:38636
    4New Zealand Warriors22148469:44334
    5Cronulla Sharks22139535:46832
    6Penrith Panthers22129532:42131
    7Brisbane Broncos21129566:45230
    8Sydney Roosters221111577:50528
    9Dolphins221012623:54226
    10Manly Sea Eagles221012488:48426
    11Wests Tigers21912411:51824
    12St. George Illawarra Dragons22814454:54822
    13South Sydney Rabbitohs23914421:57222
    14NQ Cowboys22813474:61821
    15Parramatta Eels22814410:54620
    16Newcastle Knights21615300:48618
    17Gold Coast Titans22517454:65516

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )