Newcastle Knights vs New Zealand Warriors, Australian NRL – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
12:38
21/03/2026 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFoxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL
new-zealandNew-zealandSKY Go NZ

Match Stats

Tries
26
Conversion goals
26
Conversion goal attempts
27
Penalty goals
01
Penalty goal attempts
02
Goals %
10078
Dropped goals
00
Dropped goal attempts
00
Total runs
161199
Metres run with ball
14861841

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (6 - 18)
  • 3', Hunt F. (Try),
  • 4', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 12', Clark E. (Try),
  • 14', Boyd T. (Missed Conversion),
  • 25', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 29', Ford J. (Try),
  • 29', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 38', Halasima L. (Try),
  • 39', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (6 - 20)
  • 53', Fisher-Harris J. (Try),
  • 54', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 55', Boyd T. (Try),
  • 55', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 66', Marzhew G. (Try),
  • 68', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 76', Tuaupiki T. (Penalty Goal),
  • 80', Hanson L. (Try),
  • 80', Ford J. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Newcastle Knights
31.3%
Draw
3.5%
New Zealand Warriors
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 4.1% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newcastle Knights's form might have worsened.
  • New Zealand Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New Zealand Warriors's recent form is better than expected.
  • Newcastle Knights - New Zealand Warriors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.98
    (1.98)
    25.73
    (22.6)
    1.42
    (1.9)
    7.9%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 48.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)
    What is the prediction for Newcastle Knights - New Zealand Warriors?
  • Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. New Zealand will win (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +6.5 - New Zealand (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. New Zealand (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 20:29.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 1.
    • New Zealand may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • New Zealand will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 363:420. (average 18.2:21).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 153:142. (average 19.1:17.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Knights - New Zealand Warriors were as follows:
    20.07.2025 Newcastle Knights - New Zealand Warriors 15:20
    25.04.2025 New Zealand Warriors - Newcastle Knights 26:12
    05.05.2024 Newcastle Knights - New Zealand Warriors 14:8
    31.03.2024 New Zealand Warriors - Newcastle Knights 20:12
    16.09.2023 New Zealand Warriors - Newcastle Knights 40:10
    Latest results of New Zealand Warriors
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Penrith Panthers651206:7210
    2Wests Tigers541156:9210
    3New Zealand Warriors642194:1188
    4Manly Sea Eagles633178:1408
    5Newcastle Knights642154:1428
    6South Sydney Rabbitohs532144:1328
    7Canterbury Bulldogs532101:968
    8NQ Cowboys743165:1818
    9Sydney Roosters532115:1388
    10Cronulla Sharks633158:1526
    11Brisbane Broncos633133:1396
    12Dolphins523116:1426
    13Melbourne Storm624160:1584
    14Gold Coast Titans624126:1484
    15Canberra Raiders624115:1824
    16Parramatta Eels624124:2264
    17St. George Illawarra Dragons60686:1730

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