Result
1:3
13/12/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 8
- Referee: King A. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Australia | Paramount+ |
Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2 |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 3.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (341/444) | 78% (341/437) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 3.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 2.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 40 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (341/444) | 78% (341/437) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (26/60) | 33% (16/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (80/133) | 70% (92/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (3/23) | 0% (0/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 62% (13/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.17 | 1.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | 0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 5', Burgess M. ↓, Adams E. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 50', 0 - 1, Adams E. ⚽, Badolato A. (A),
- 55', 0 - 2, Rose L. ⚽, Grozos K. (A),
- 57', 0 - 3, Taylor C. ⚽, Wilmering D. (A),
- 58', Loke T. ↓, Brooke-Smith L. ↑,
- 59', Najjarine R. ↓, Conchie F. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 3, Eze I. ⚽, Conchie F. (A),
- 71', Taylor C. ↓, Mizunuma K. ↑,
- 71', Dobson W. ↓, Bayliss L. ↑,
- 84', Cooper M. ↓, Shaughnessy J. ↑,
- 84', Rose L. ↓, Gibson B. ↑,
- 84', Armiento C. ↓, Sloane-Rodrigues G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Wellington Phoenix 35.3% | Draw 24.3% | Newcastle Jets 40.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Wellington Phoenix - Newcastle Jets Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.69 ↑ (2.37) |
3.85 ↑ (3.7) |
2.35 ↓ (2.59) |
5.7% (8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Wellington Phoenix - Newcastle Jets?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Wellington will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Newcastle will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wellington: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Wellington (votes: 1 - 50%). Newcastle (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 3.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Wellington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Wellington: Ishige H.
(Injury)
James M.
(Red Card)
Mileusnic N.
(Injury)
Payne T.
(Inactive)
Retre P.
(Abdominal strain)
Supyk L.
(Injury)
Walker N.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Newcastle: Bracco C.
(Inactive)
Fryer O.
(Knee Injury)
James N.
(Knee Injury)
Mizunuma K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Nassiep A.
(Inactive)
Nkomo R.
(Inactive)
Nunes A.
(Inactive)
Van Dorssen B.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:36. (average 1.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington Phoenix won against Newcastle Jets?
Wellington Phoenix has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle Jets won against Wellington Phoenix?
Newcastle Jets has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wellington Phoenix - Newcastle Jets were as follows:
06.04.2025
Newcastle Jets
-
Wellington Phoenix
1:2
27.12.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Newcastle Jets
2:1
19.04.2024
Newcastle Jets
-
Wellington Phoenix
1:1
27.01.2024
Newcastle Jets
-
Wellington Phoenix
1:2
09.12.2023
Wellington Phoenix
-
Newcastle Jets
0:3
Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
Latest results of Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Auckland FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 20 |
| 2 | Sydney FC | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 15:7 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Adelaide United | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 16:13 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Brisbane Roar | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Macarthur FC | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 15 |
| 6 | Melbourne Victory | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 14 |
| 7 | Perth Glory | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 8 | Melbourne City | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Newcastle Jets | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 12 |
| 10 | Wellington Phoenix | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 11 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 | Central Coast Mariners | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 8 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)