Result
32:12
05/04/2026 at 02:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NRL - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 67 | 67 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 195 | 175 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 1888 | 1629 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (10 - 6)
- 10:42, Sasagi S. (Try),
- 12:06, Sanders E. (Conversion Goal),
- 28:19, Marzhew G. (Try),
- 29:48, Smith S. (Missed Conversion),
- 32:51, Sharpe F. (Try),
- 34:19, Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (22 - 6)
- 43:09, Young D. (Try),
- 44:52, Smith S. (Missed Conversion),
- 47:42, Crossland P. (Try),
- 49:10, Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
- 68:57, Marzhew G. (Try),
- 70:35, Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
- 70:41, Strange E. (Try),
- 71:47, Sanders E. (Conversion Goal),
- 76:09, Young D. (Try),
- 77:27, Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Newcastle Knights
39.8% | Draw
4.2% | Canberra Raiders
56% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Canberra Raiders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Knights than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canberra Raiders than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Newcastle Knights - Canberra Raiders Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↓
(2.39) |
21.58 ↑
(20.32) |
1.65 ↑
(1.64) |
7.9%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 48.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
What is the prediction for Newcastle Knights - Canberra Raiders?
Users Predictions:
Newcastle Knights will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Newcastle Knights will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 22:26.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 2.
- Newcastle has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Canberra is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Newcastle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Canberra might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Newcastle will win today's game, with odds of 2.43.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 473:504. (average 23.7:25.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 220:232. (average 24.4:25.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle Knights won against Canberra Raiders?
Newcastle Knights has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Canberra Raiders won against Newcastle Knights?
Canberra Raiders has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Knights - Canberra Raiders were as follows:
27.07.2025
Canberra Raiders
-
Newcastle Knights
44:18
27.06.2025
Newcastle Knights
-
Canberra Raiders
18:22
07.07.2024
Canberra Raiders
-
Newcastle Knights
12:16
07.03.2024
Newcastle Knights
-
Canberra Raiders
12:28
10.09.2023
Newcastle Knights
-
Canberra Raiders
30:28
Latest results of Newcastle Knights
Latest results of Canberra Raiders
Australian NRL Table
Main | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Penrith Panthers | 6 | 5 | 1 | 206:72 | 10 |
| 2 | Wests Tigers | 5 | 4 | 1 | 156:92 | 10 |
| 3 | New Zealand Warriors | 6 | 4 | 2 | 194:118 | 8 |
| 4 | Manly Sea Eagles | 6 | 3 | 3 | 178:140 | 8 |
| 5 | Newcastle Knights | 6 | 4 | 2 | 154:142 | 8 |
| 6 | South Sydney Rabbitohs | 5 | 3 | 2 | 144:132 | 8 |
| 7 | Canterbury Bulldogs | 5 | 3 | 2 | 101:96 | 8 |
| 8 | NQ Cowboys | 7 | 4 | 3 | 165:181 | 8 |
| 9 | Sydney Roosters | 5 | 3 | 2 | 115:138 | 8 |
| 10 | Cronulla Sharks | 6 | 3 | 3 | 158:152 | 6 |
| 11 | Brisbane Broncos | 6 | 3 | 3 | 133:139 | 6 |
| 12 | Dolphins | 5 | 2 | 3 | 116:142 | 6 |
| 13 | Melbourne Storm | 6 | 2 | 4 | 160:158 | 4 |
| 14 | Gold Coast Titans | 6 | 2 | 4 | 126:148 | 4 |
| 15 | Canberra Raiders | 6 | 2 | 4 | 115:182 | 4 |
| 16 | Parramatta Eels | 6 | 2 | 4 | 124:226 | 4 |
| 17 | St. George Illawarra Dragons | 6 | 0 | 6 | 86:173 | 0 |
Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )
