Newcastle United vs Athletic Bilbao – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
2:0
05/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Kruzliak I. (Svk)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 6
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Q Arena Asia, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 6, Pickx+ Sports 6, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 4
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
europeEuropeUEFA TV
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2, Viaplay 1 Urheilu
franceFranceCanal+ Live 5
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 9
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 3
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4, ART Sport 4
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 4
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 6
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Premier League
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
polandPolandCANAL+ 360, Canal+ Extra 1
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport PPV 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 4
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South, Space Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 3, Tabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2, Virgin TV Go app
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.60
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
81% (417/512)73% (262/357)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.60
xG on target (xGOT)
1.001.15
Total shots
812
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
2016
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
81% (417/512)73% (262/357)
Long passes
56% (30/54)33% (19/57)
Passes in final third
68% (50/73)51% (41/80)
Crosses
30% (3/10)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.880.48
Throw-ins
2026
Fouls
1113
Tackles
39% (7/18)90% (18/20)
Duels won
5742
Clearances
2212
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
1.151.00
Goals prevented
1.15-1.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Burn D. ⚽, Trippier K. (A),
  • 41', Gordon A. ↓, Murphy J. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', 2 - 0, Joelinton ⚽, Barnes H. (A),
  • 57', Paredes A. 🟨,
  • 65', Burn D. ↓, Hall L. ↑,
  • 65', Bruno Guimaraes ↓, Miley L. ↑,
  • 65', Barnes H. ↓, Elanga A. ↑,
  • 69', Areso J. 🟨,
  • 69', Navarro R. ↓, Serrano N. ↑,
  • 70', Jauregizar M. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
  • 78', Gomez U. ↓, Hierro A. ↑,
  • 78', Areso J. ↓, Gorosabel A. ↑,
  • 81', Rego A. ↓, Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↑,
  • 83', Woltemade N. ↓, Ramsey J. ↑,

Chances of winning


Newcastle United
69.1%		Draw
20%		Athletic Bilbao
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.3% 22.7% 16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6% 22.2% 15.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newcastle United's performance.
  • Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athletic Bilbao might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newcastle United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
    •

    Newcastle United - Athletic Bilbao Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.41 ↓
    (1.55)    		 4.88 ↑
    (4.19)    		 8.79 ↑
    (5.91)    		 2.7%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Newcastle United - Athletic Bilbao?
  • Users Predictions: 73 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 62 - 84.9%). Athletic will win (votes: 6 - 8.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 6.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 76.7% – 93.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.25 - Newcastle (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Newcastle United will win (29 of 34 users predict this - 85.29%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 35 high ROI users predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 30 - 85.7%). Athletic (votes: 2 - 5.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 8.6%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Newcastle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Newcastle is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Newcastle: Ashby H. (Thigh Injury) Gillespie M. (Inactive) Lascelles J. (Inactive) Livramento V. (Knee Injury) Ruddy J. (Inactive) Wissa Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Doping) Berchiche Y. (Muscle Injury) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Izeta (Inactive) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury) Sancet O. (Muscle Injury) Sannadi M. (Knee Injury) Williams I. (Groin Injury) Williams N. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Newcastle: Bruno Guimaraes (Illness)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Newcastle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    • Including home match between the teams, Newcastle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    Latest results of Newcastle United
    02.11.2025 West Ham United - Newcastle United 3:1 ✺
    29.10.2025 Newcastle United - Tottenham Hotspur 2:0 ✺
    25.10.2025 Newcastle United - Fulham 2:1 ✺
    21.10.2025 Newcastle United - Benfica 3:0 ✺
    18.10.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    01.11.2025 Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao 3:2 ✺
    25.10.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Getafe 0:1 ✺
    22.10.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Qarabağ Agdam 3:1 ✺
    19.10.2025 Elche - Athletic Bilbao 0:0 ✺
    04.10.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca 2:1 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    3Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    4Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    5Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    6Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    8Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    9Barcelona (5)Bye
    10Chelsea (6)Bye
    11Liverpool (3)Bye
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Sporting CP (7)Bye
    14Manchester City (8)Bye
    15Arsenal (1)Bye
    16Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    © Copyright 2026 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy