Result
1:1
28/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Champions League - League phase - Round 8
- Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Variety 2 |
 Albania | Tring Sport 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4 |
 Belgium | Pickx+ Sports 8, Pickx+ Sports 8, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Europe | Go3 Extra Sports Baltic |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3, Viaplay 1 Urheilu |
 France | CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1 |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 5 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Hungary | RTL+ |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport 5, Viaplay |
 India | JioTV app, Sony LIV |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, SCTV, Vidio |
 Ireland | Virgin Media Player |
 Italy | Sky Sport 257 |
 Japan | Wowow Live |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Macao | TDM TV |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
 Mexico | FOX One, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 6 |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 North-central-america | ESPN 5 Norte, Flow Sports 2 Caribbean |
 Norway | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Poland | Canal+ Extra 7 |
 Portugal | DAZN 1, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Singapore | beIN Connect, beIN Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Kanal A |
 South-africa | SuperSport Variety 2 |
 South-america | Space Latin America, ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 6, M+ Liga de Campeones 7 |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Turkey | Tabii |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3, Virgin TV Go app |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360, VTV Prime |
 World | VIX App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.57 | 1.00 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (619/688) | 75% (249/333) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.57 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 48 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (619/688) | 75% (249/333) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (24/41) | 46% (26/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 87% (212/243) | 76% (74/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.50 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', Dembele O. (Penalty Awarded),
- 8', 1 - 0, Vitinha ⚽, Kvaratskhelia K. (A),
- 20', Elanga A. 🟨,
- 23', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Doue D. ↑,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Willock J. ⚽, Burn D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 68', Elanga A. ↓, Gordon A. ↑,
- 68', Willock J. ↓, Barnes H. ↑,
- 70', Barcola B. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
- 79', Woltemade N. ↓, Wissa Y. ↑,
- 87', Neves J. ↓, Mbaye I. ↑,
- 87', Zaire-Emery W. ↓, Mayulu S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Paris Saint-Germain
60.4% | Draw
19.9% | Newcastle United
19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paris Saint-Germain's form might have worsened.Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newcastle United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+10.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paris Saint-Germain, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newcastle United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Paris Saint-Germain - Newcastle United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↑
(1.41) |
4.81 ↓
(5.11) |
4.9 ↓
(7.92) |
4.2%
(3.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Newcastle United?
Users Predictions:
48 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 41 - 85.4%). Newcastle will win (votes: 4 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 75.4% – 95.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 71.4%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1 - PSG (1.82) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.75 - PSG (1.73) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- 1X2, 1st Half - PSG (1.98) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3.75 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paris Saint-Germain will win (15 of 20 users predict this - 75%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 29 high ROI users predict this event. PSG (votes: 24 - 82.8%). Tie (votes: 5 - 17.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Newcastle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Newcastle has had a series of home games.
- In this match, PSG is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in PSG: Fernandez D.
(Inactive)
Lee Kang-In
(Thigh Injury)
Ndjantou Q.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Newcastle: Gillespie M.
(Inactive)
Krafth E.
(Knee Injury)
Livramento V.
(Hamstring Injury)
Murphy J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ruddy J.
(Inactive)
Schar F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Newcastle: Bruno Guimaraes
(Ankle Injury)
Joelinton
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, PSG won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
- Including home match between the teams, PSG won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Paris Saint-Germain won against Newcastle United?
Paris Saint-Germain has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle United won against Paris Saint-Germain?
Newcastle United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paris Saint-Germain - Newcastle United were as follows:
28.11.2023
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Newcastle United
1:1
04.10.2023
Newcastle United
-
Paris Saint-Germain
4:1
Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
Latest results of Newcastle United
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Monaco (21) | PSG (11) | 2 : 2, 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Chelsea (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Galatasaray (20) | Juventus (13) | 2 : 3, 5 : 2 |
| 4 | Liverpool (3) | Bye | |
| 5 | Benfica (24) | Real Madrid (9) | 1 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Manchester City (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Dortmund (17) | Atalanta (15) | 1 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bayern Munich (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Qarabag (22) | Newcastle (12) | 2 : 3, 1 : 6 |
| 10 | Barcelona (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV (19) | Atl. Madrid (14) | 1 : 4, 3 : 3 |
| 12 | Tottenham (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Inter (10) | 2 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Sporting CP (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Olympiacos Piraeus (18) | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | 0 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Arsenal (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | PSG (11) | Chelsea (6) | 3 : 0, 5 : 2 |
| 2 | Galatasaray (20) | Liverpool (3) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Real Madrid (9) | Manchester City (8) | 2 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Atalanta (15) | Bayern Munich (2) | 1 : 4, 1 : 6 |
| 5 | Newcastle (12) | Barcelona (5) | 2 : 7, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Atl. Madrid (14) | Tottenham (4) | 2 : 3, 5 : 2 |
| 7 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Sporting CP (7) | 0 : 5, 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | Arsenal (1) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | PSG (11) | Liverpool (3) | |
| 2 | Real Madrid (9) | Bayern Munich (2) | |
| 3 | Barcelona (5) | Atl. Madrid (14) | |
| 4 | Sporting CP (7) | Arsenal (1) | |
Semi-finalsFinal
