Result
2:0
13/05/2023 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 16
- Referee: Echavarria P. (Arg)
Chances of winning
Newells Old Boys
55.5% | Draw
27.6% | Arsenal Sarandí
16.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newells Old Boys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Newells Old Boys - Arsenal Sarandí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.55) |
3.38 ↓
(3.8) |
5.65 ↓
(6.3) |
5.8%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Newells Old Boys - Arsenal Sarandí?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Newells Old Boys will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newells Old Boys: 16.1% – 74.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 27).
- Newell's Old Boys has the most likely position - 13 (6.79%), project points - 36, currently - 20, a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Arsenal Sarandí has the most likely position - 28 (31.94%), project points - 24, currently - 11, a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Newell's Old Boys won 2.
- Recent matches Newell's Old Boys is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Arsenal Sarandí is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Newell's Old Boys is a favorite.
- There will not play in Newell's Old Boys: Angel Bernal F. S.
(Injury)
Campagnaro M.
(Injury)
Gonzalez F.
(Injury)
Luciano M.
(Injury)
Mosquera J.
(Red Card)
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Newell's Old Boys won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-19.
- Including matches at home between the teams Newell's Old Boys won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.
How many head-to-head matches has Newells Old Boys won against Arsenal Sarandí?
Newells Old Boys has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal Sarandí won against Newells Old Boys?
Arsenal Sarandí has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newells Old Boys - Arsenal Sarandí were as follows:
04.10.2022
Newells Old Boys
-
Arsenal Sarandí
0:0
Latest results of Newells Old Boys
Latest results of Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. ✔ | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors ✔ | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield ✔ | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 27 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba ✔ | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente ✔ | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus ✔ | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo ✔ | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Defensa y Justicia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Instituto | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
| 11 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14:26 | -12 | 14 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 14 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate ✔ | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 22:11 | 11 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs ✔ | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central ✔ | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 28 |
| 5 | Belgrano ✔ | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. ✔ | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5:22 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Independiente is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
San Lorenzo is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Belgrano is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Gimnasia L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
