Sarmiento de Junín vs Arsenal Sarandí – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
17/04/2023 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 12
  • Referee: Sosa N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilESPN 4

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de Junín
48.8%
Draw
29.4%
Arsenal Sarandí
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.4% 29.2% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 28.4% 22.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarmiento de Junín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Sarmiento de Junín - Arsenal Sarandí Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.97)
    3.22
    (3.2)
    4.31
    (4)
    5.8%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - Arsenal Sarandí?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sarmiento: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 21 and 27).
    • Sarmiento de Junín has the most likely position - 23 (5.94%), project points - 33, currently - 12, a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Arsenal Sarandí has the most likely position - 28 (22.1%), project points - 26, currently - 8, a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sarmiento de Junín won 3.
    • Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
    • In this match Sarmiento de Junín is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Sarmiento de Junín: Arismendi Y. (Injury) Mauri J. (Injury) Paradela F. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Arsenal Sarandí: Gariglio I. (Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Sarmiento de Junín won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sarmiento de Junín won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - Arsenal Sarandí were as follows:
    24.09.2022 Sarmiento de Junín - Arsenal Sarandí 2:0
    Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
    Latest results of Arsenal Sarandí
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1694319:71231
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1686222:91330
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1675417:13426
    5Independiente ✔ 1666424:20424
    6Lanus ✔ 1666418:15324
    7San Lorenzo ✔ 1657414:14022
    8Union de Santa Fe1656524:20421
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1637610:15-516
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1644811:21-1016
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra161875:12-711


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 16104229:151434
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1685317:13429
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1684420:16428
    5Belgrano ✔ 1675417:13426
    6Gimnasia L.P. ✔ 1682619:19026
    7Huracan1657417:13422
    8Racing Club1656517:15221
    9Barracas Central1656515:15021
    10Tigre1648418:15320
    11Sarmiento Junin1661913:20-719
    12Banfield1653817:19-218
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi160886:19-138
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Independiente is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Lorenzo is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Belgrano is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Gimnasia L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)