Result
2:0
23/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 49', 1 - 0, Jones K. ⚽,
- 77', 2 - 0, Bonthron A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Cambrian United 64.7% | Draw 20.7% | Newport City 14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambrian United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cambrian United's performance.Newport City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newport City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambrian United than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport City than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Cambrian United - Newport City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.41 ↓ (1.48) |
4.39 ↑ (3.75) |
6.23 ↑ (4.2) |
9.9% (18%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 6).
- Cambrian United is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Newport City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Newport City has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Cambrian United is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Cambrian United will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cambrian United won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Cambrian United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Cambrian United won against Newport City?
Cambrian United has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newport City won against Cambrian United?
Newport City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cambrian United - Newport City were as follows:
05.09.2025
Newport City
-
Cambrian United
2:1
08.02.2025
Cambrian United
-
Newport City
1:1
06.08.2024
Newport City
-
Cambrian United
0:0
Latest results of Cambrian United
Latest results of Newport City
Welsh Cymru South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cambrian United ✔ | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 68:18 | 50 | 66 |
| 2 | Trefelin ✔ | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 61:15 | 46 | 66 |
| 3 | Caerau Ely | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60:33 | 27 | 50 |
| 4 | Ammanford | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 38:24 | 14 | 50 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 37:33 | 4 | 42 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Llantwit Major | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 40:38 | 2 | 36 |
| 8 | Newport City | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 35:39 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Treowen | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 46:51 | -5 | 34 |
| 10 | Cardiff Draconians | 25 | 10 | 2 | 13 | 36:39 | -3 | 32 |
| 11 | Pontypridd | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 42:46 | -4 | 29 |
| 12 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 38:55 | -17 | 26 |
| 13 | Afan Lido | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 26:52 | -26 | 24 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25:42 | -17 | 23 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 24:48 | -24 | 21 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 24 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 18:61 | -43 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Cambrian United is Qualified for Cymru Premier
Trefelin is Qualified for Cymru Premier