Newport City vs Cambrian United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru South Newport City - Cambrian United
Result
2:1
05/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru South - Round 6

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Eason L. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 64', 1 - 1, Hillman D. ,
  • 66', Evans A. 🟥,
  • 87', 2 - 1, McLaggon K. ,

Chances of winning


Newport City
40.5%
Draw
26.9%
Cambrian United
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.2% 25% 40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9% 24.8% 41.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newport City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newport City's performance.
  • Cambrian United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cambrian United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport City than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newport City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambrian United than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cambrian United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Newport City - Cambrian United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.36
    (2.65)
    3.55
    (3.62)
    2.94
    (2.21)
    4.6%
    (10.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Newport City - Cambrian United?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Newport City (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).
    • Newport City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cambrian United is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Recently, Newport City has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Cambrian United has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Newport City won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Newport City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newport City - Cambrian United were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Cambrian United - Newport City 1:1
    06.08.2024 Newport City - Cambrian United 0:0
    Latest results of Newport City
    Latest results of Cambrian United
    Welsh Cymru South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cambrian United971123:32022
    2Trefelin953120:81218
    3Caerau Ely852117:61117
    4Cardiff Draconians951313:8516
    5Carmarthen Town944110:5516
    6Ammanford94419:7216
    7Newport City843113:8515
    8Aberystwyth84228:6214
    9Trethomas Bluebirds924314:17-310
    10Baglan Dragons915310:1008
    11Pontypridd922513:17-48
    12Llantwit Major91449:13-47
    13Afan Lido92169:18-97
    14Treowen913511:22-116
    15Ynyshir Albions81257:20-135
    16Cwmbran Celtic90367:25-183

          Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
          Relegation