Result
4:1
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 10
- Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (407/503) | 78% (306/392) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (407/503) | 78% (306/392) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (34/86) | 36% (20/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (120/181) | 51% (41/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.09 | -2.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 31', Mandeville L. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 0, Grigg W. ⚽, Mandeville L. (A),
- 43', 2 - 0, Dickson W. ⚽, Mandeville L. (A),
- 45+3', Stirk R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Antwi C. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
- 61', Opoku N. ↓, Baker-Richardson C. ↑,
- 65', Ogunneye H. 🟨,
- 66', Grigg W. ↓, Bonis L. ↑,
- 67', Mandeville L. ↓, Markanday D. ↑,
- 67', Dickson W. ↓, Darcy R. ↑,
- 67', Tanton D. ↓, Daley-Campbell V. ↑,
- 77', Fleck J. 🟨,
- 78', Reindorf M. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
- 79', Fleck J. ↓, Naylor T. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 1, Spellman M. ⚽, Whitmore K. (A),
- 83', Spellman M. 🟨,
- 84', 3 - 1, Darcy R. ⚽, Dobra A. (A),
- 89', 4 - 1, Markanday D. ⚽,
- 89', Whitmore K. ↓, Lloyd B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Chesterfield
66.2% | Draw
20.2% | Newport County
13.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-19.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chesterfield that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Chesterfield - Newport County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↑
(1.35) |
4.66 ↓
(4.78) |
7 ↓
(7.97) |
6.3%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Newport County?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Newport will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Newport (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 22).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 3.
- Recent form of Chesterfield has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Newport has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Chesterfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Chesterfield is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Chesterfield: Butterfield L.
(Foot Injury)
Dibley-Dias M.
(Injury)
Donacien J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Duffy D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Newport: Patten K.
(Inactive)
Shephard L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Smith M.
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Chesterfield: Williams T.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Newport County?
Chesterfield has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Chesterfield?
Newport County has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chesterfield - Newport County were as follows:
08.03.2025
Chesterfield
-
Newport County
2:1
18.10.2024
Newport County
-
Chesterfield
0:3
Latest results of Chesterfield
Latest results of Newport County
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | Swindon | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Gillingham | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Salford | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | Grimsby | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
| 8 | Crewe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | MK Dons | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 15 |
| 10 | Cambridge Utd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Fleetwood | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Notts Co | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 14 |
| 13 | Oldham | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 14 | Bromley | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
| 15 | Barnet | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 14 |
| 16 | Harrogate | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 17 | Barrow | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 10 |
| 19 | Accrington | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
| 20 | Colchester | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 8 |
| 21 | Crawley | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
| 22 | Newport | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 5 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 5 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4:24 | -20 | 4 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
