Chesterfield vs Newport County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Chesterfield - Newport County
Result
4:1
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 10
  • Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.531.42
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
81% (407/503)78% (306/392)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.531.42
xG on target (xGOT)
1.940.91
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
3222
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
2112
Passes
81% (407/503)78% (306/392)
Long passes
40% (34/86)36% (20/55)
Passes in final third
66% (120/181)51% (41/80)
Crosses
47% (7/15)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.030.70
Throw-ins
2019
Fouls
1221
Tackles
69% (11/16)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4949
Clearances
1527
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.911.94
Goals prevented
-0.09-2.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 31', Mandeville L. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Grigg W. , Mandeville L. (A),
  • 43', 2 - 0, Dickson W. , Mandeville L. (A),
  • 45+3', Stirk R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Antwi C. , Evans C. ,
  • 61', Opoku N. , Baker-Richardson C. ,
  • 65', Ogunneye H. 🟨,
  • 66', Grigg W. , Bonis L. ,
  • 67', Mandeville L. , Markanday D. ,
  • 67', Dickson W. , Darcy R. ,
  • 67', Tanton D. , Daley-Campbell V. ,
  • 77', Fleck J. 🟨,
  • 78', Reindorf M. , Spellman M. ,
  • 79', Fleck J. , Naylor T. ,
  • 80', 2 - 1, Spellman M. , Whitmore K. (A),
  • 83', Spellman M. 🟨,
  • 84', 3 - 1, Darcy R. , Dobra A. (A),
  • 89', 4 - 1, Markanday D. ,
  • 89', Whitmore K. , Lloyd B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chesterfield
66.2%
Draw
20.2%
Newport County
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.9% 19.5% 11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9% 13.3% 17.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-19.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chesterfield that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Chesterfield - Newport County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.35)
    4.66
    (4.78)
    7
    (7.97)
    6.3%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Newport County?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Newport will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Newport (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 22).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 3.
    • Recent form of Chesterfield has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Newport has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Chesterfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Chesterfield is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Chesterfield: Butterfield L. (Foot Injury) Dibley-Dias M. (Injury) Donacien J. (Hamstring Injury) Duffy D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Newport: Patten K. (Inactive) Shephard L. (Hamstring Injury) Smith M. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chesterfield: Williams T. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chesterfield - Newport County were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Chesterfield - Newport County 2:1
    18.10.2024 Newport County - Chesterfield 0:3
    Latest results of Chesterfield
    Latest results of Newport County
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1382319:12726
    2Swindon1381424:19525
    3MK Dons1373326:131324
    4Grimsby1373325:151024
    5Gillingham1364318:12622
    6Chesterfield1364323:20322
    7Salford1371518:17122
    8Notts Co1363423:15821
    9Cambridge Utd1363416:13321
    10Barnet1362516:13320
    11Crewe1361617:16119
    12Fleetwood1354419:19019
    13Bromley1346319:17218
    14Colchester1345421:18317
    15Barrow1352611:13-217
    16Bristol Rovers1352614:21-717
    17Oldham1336410:10015
    18Tranmere1235420:18214
    19Harrogate1342715:20-514
    20Accrington1233611:14-312
    21Shrewsbury1333710:20-1012
    22Cheltenham133289:25-1611
    23Crawley1323810:22-129
    24Newport1322911:23-128

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League