Newport County vs Colchester United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Newport County - Colchester United
Result
0:2
12/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 42
  • Referee: Eley R. (Eng)
Newport County - Colchester United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.401.18
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
59
Passes
70% (226/325)74% (282/382)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.401.18
xG on target (xGOT)
0.101.57
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
28
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
59
Touches in opposition box
919
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
70% (226/325)74% (282/382)
Long passes
46% (35/76)36% (25/70)
Passes in final third
53% (50/95)58% (75/129)
Crosses
7% (1/15)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.251.02
Fouls
1111
Tackles
76% (13/17)71% (12/17)
Duels won
6655
Clearances Total
1828
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.570.10
Goals prevented
-0.430.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Taylor L. , Simpson T. ,
  • 27', Baker M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 62', Driscoll-Glennon A. , Evans K. ,
  • 67', Thorn O. , Lisbie K. ,
  • 67', Tovide S. , Scully A. ,
  • 71', Antwi C. , Hudlin K. ,
  • 72', Simpson T. 🟨,
  • 75', Simpson T. , Gordon J. ,
  • 81', Ajiboye D. , Spellman M. ,
  • 87', Brennan C. 🟨,
  • 88', 0 - 1, Kelleher F. , Egbo M. (A),
  • 90+4', 0 - 2, Scully A. , Edwards O. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Newport County
21.1%
Draw
26.4%
Colchester United
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23% 26.4% 50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1% 25.4% 52.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Newport County - Colchester United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.47
    (4.06)
    3.6
    (3.54)
    1.79
    (1.85)
    5.9%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Newport County - Colchester United?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Colchester will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Colchester: 46.4%99%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Newport (votes: 1 - 50%). Colchester (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 18 and 8).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Newport won 2.
    • Newport is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Colchester is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Colchester could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Colchester is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Newport: Evans C. (Inactive) Wildig A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Colchester: Oni M. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Newport: Baker-Richardson C. (Inactive) Davies T. (Hamstring Injury) Hudlin K. (Calf Injury) Jameson K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Colchester: Anderson H. (Injury) Bishop T. (Inactive) Payne J. (Injury)
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Newport won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17:18 (average 1:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Newport won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:7 (average 1.5:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Colchester United were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Colchester United - Newport County 0:0
    29.03.2024 Colchester United - Newport County 2:1
    03.10.2023 Newport County - Colchester United 2:1
    01.04.2023 Colchester United - Newport County 0:0
    05.11.2022 Newport County - Colchester United 2:0
    Latest results of Newport County
    Latest results of Colchester United
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Colchester00000:000
    2Bristol Rovers00000:000
    3Cheltenham00000:000
    4Crewe00000:000
    5Gillingham00000:000
    6Oldham00000:000
    7Swindon00000:000
    8Tranmere00000:000
    9Walsall00000:000
    10Accrington00000:000
    11Barnet00000:000
    12Chesterfield00000:000
    13Grimsby00000:000
    14MK Dons00000:000
    15Notts Co00000:000
    16Shrewsbury00000:000
    17Cambridge Utd00000:000
    18Crawley00000:000
    19Barrow00000:000
    20Bromley00000:000
    21Newport00000:000
    22Harrogate00000:000
    23Fleetwood00000:000
    24Salford00000:000

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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