Result
3:2
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 27
- Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.96 | 1.09 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (326/419) | 68% (222/327) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.96 | 1.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 2.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (326/419) | 68% (222/327) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (33/73) | 36% (28/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (93/144) | 57% (68/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (13/26) | 35% (7/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.77 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 20% (2/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.20 | 2.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Spellman M. ⚽, Opoku N. (A),
- 30', 1 - 1, Masterson C. ⚽, Clark M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 55', Spellman M. ↓, Nyakuhwa T. ↑,
- 62', Clark M. 🟨,
- 70', Smith J. ↓, McCleary G. ↑,
- 76', Jenkins L. ↓, Antwi C. ↑,
- 76', Smith M. ↓, Brennan C. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 2, Antwi C. ⚽, Nyakuhwa T. (A),
- 86', Rowe A. ↓, Hutton R. ↑,
- 87', Andrews J. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
- 88', Shephard L. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
- 89', Opoku N. ↓, Crole J. ↑,
- 90', Dack B. 🟨,
- 90+1', 2 - 2, Little A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+9', 3 - 2, McCleary G. ⚽, Clark M. (A),
- 90+12', Dack B. ↓, Coleman E. ↑,
- 90+16', Brennan C. 🟨,
- 90+16', Baker M. 🟨,
- 90+16', Smith A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gillingham 59.1% | Draw 23.7% | Newport County 17.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Gillingham - Newport County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.58 ↓ (1.61) |
3.9 ↑ (3.7) |
5.37 ↑ (5.19) |
7.7% (8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gillingham - Newport County?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Newport will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gillingham: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 16 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 1.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- In this match, Gillingham is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Gillingham: McCleary G.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Newport: Patten K.
(Broken Leg)
- There are questionable in Gillingham: Khumbeni N.
(Inactive)
Williams E.
(Shoulder Injury)
Wyllie M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Newport: Garner G.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.8:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Newport County?
Gillingham has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Gillingham?
Newport County has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Newport County were as follows:
01.11.2025
Newport County
-
Gillingham
3:2
20.09.2025
Newport County
-
Gillingham
1:3
04.03.2025
Newport County
-
Gillingham
3:1
22.10.2024
Gillingham
-
Newport County
0:2
17.02.2024
Newport County
-
Gillingham
1:0
Latest results of Gillingham
Latest results of Newport County
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 54:32 | 22 | 62 |
| 2 | Notts Co | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 46:30 | 16 | 57 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 42:24 | 18 | 56 |
| 4 | Swindon | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 50:34 | 16 | 55 |
| 5 | MK Dons | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 59:33 | 26 | 54 |
| 6 | Salford | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 41:35 | 6 | 52 |
| 7 | Walsall | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 38:31 | 7 | 49 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 49:41 | 8 | 48 |
| 9 | Crewe | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 47:38 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | Barnet | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 46 |
| 11 | Colchester | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 43:31 | 12 | 45 |
| 12 | Grimsby | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 41:32 | 9 | 45 |
| 13 | Accrington | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 35:30 | 5 | 43 |
| 14 | Gillingham | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 40:36 | 4 | 41 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 38:39 | -1 | 37 |
| 16 | Oldham | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 28:29 | -1 | 35 |
| 17 | Tranmere | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 43:51 | -8 | 32 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 29:51 | -22 | 30 |
| 19 | Bristol Rovers | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 28:50 | -22 | 27 |
| 20 | Crawley | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 32:51 | -19 | 26 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25:50 | -25 | 26 |
| 22 | Barrow | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 30:46 | -16 | 24 |
| 23 | Newport | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 29:54 | -25 | 21 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 22:50 | -28 | 21 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League