Newport County vs Gillingham – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Newport County - Gillingham
Result
1:3
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 9
  • Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.852.06
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
79% (346/436)62% (137/220)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
1.852.06
xG on target (xGOT)
1.941.81
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2622
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
61
Free Kicks
158
Passes
79% (346/436)62% (137/220)
Long passes
48% (32/67)39% (30/77)
Passes in final third
59% (76/128)55% (54/98)
Crosses
21% (4/19)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.761.16
Throw-ins
1515
Fouls
815
Tackles
54% (7/13)63% (12/19)
Duels won
5754
Clearances
1723
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
1.811.94
Goals prevented
-1.190.94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Opoku N. , Kamwa B. (A),
  • 5', Smith A. 🟨,
  • 9', Antwi C. (Pen),
  • 15', Reindorf M. 🟨,
  • 23', 1 - 1, Dack B. ,
  • 30', Andrews J. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 2, Smith J. , Hutton R. (A),
  • 44', Baker M. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 3, Dack B. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Reindorf M. , Baker-Richardson C. ,
  • 67', Smith J. , Rowe A. ,
  • 69', Whitmore K. , Lloyd B. ,
  • 73', Andrews J. , Palmer-Houlden S. ,
  • 74', Dack B. , Coleman E. ,
  • 76', Opoku N. , Spellman M. ,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 85', Rowe A. 🟨,
  • 89', Williams J. , Vokes S. ,
  • 90+4', Gale S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Newport County
19.7%
Draw
27.2%
Gillingham
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.2% 26.1% 46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4% 25.3% 48.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newport County's form might have worsened.
  • Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gillingham's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newport County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • Newport County - Gillingham Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.16
    (3.46)
    3.63
    (3.6)
    1.84
    (2.01)
    1.4%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 22 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 5.
    • Newport has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Gillingham is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Gillingham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Newport: Patten K. (Inactive) Shephard L. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Gillingham: Masterson C. (Calf Injury) Williams E. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gillingham: Coleman E. (Inactive) Little A. (Inactive) Palmer-Houlden S. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Newport won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:4. (average 2.1:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Gillingham were as follows:
    04.03.2025 Newport County - Gillingham 3:1
    22.10.2024 Gillingham - Newport County 0:2
    17.02.2024 Newport County - Gillingham 1:0
    28.10.2023 Gillingham - Newport County 0:2
    19.11.2022 Newport County - Gillingham 2:0
    Latest results of Newport County
    Latest results of Gillingham
    13.09.2025 Gillingham - Notts County 1:0
    06.09.2025 Bromley - Gillingham 2:2
    02.09.2025 Gillingham - Fulham U21 4:1
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1382319:12726
    2Swindon1381424:19525
    3MK Dons1373326:131324
    4Grimsby1373325:151024
    5Gillingham1364318:12622
    6Chesterfield1364323:20322
    7Salford1371518:17122
    8Notts Co1363423:15821
    9Cambridge Utd1363416:13321
    10Barnet1362516:13320
    11Crewe1361617:16119
    12Fleetwood1354419:19019
    13Bromley1346319:17218
    14Colchester1345421:18317
    15Barrow1352611:13-217
    16Bristol Rovers1352614:21-717
    17Oldham1336410:10015
    18Tranmere1235420:18214
    19Harrogate1342715:20-514
    20Accrington1233611:14-312
    21Shrewsbury1333710:20-1012
    22Cheltenham133289:25-1611
    23Crawley1323810:22-129
    24Newport1322911:23-128

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League