Gillingham vs Newport County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 27
  • Referee: Brook C. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.961.09
Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
1922
Shots on target
67
Big chances
50
Corner kicks
45
Passes
78% (326/419)68% (222/327)
Yellow cards
32
Expected goals (xG)
2.961.09
xG on target (xGOT)
2.272.20
Total shots
1922
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
64
Blocked shots
711
Shots inside the box
1614
Shots outside the box
38
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
21
Big chances
50
Corner kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
4139
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free kicks
1013
Passes
78% (326/419)68% (222/327)
Long passes
45% (33/73)36% (28/78)
Passes in final third
65% (93/144)57% (68/119)
Crosses
50% (13/26)35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
2.150.77
Throw ins
1920
Fouls
1310
Tackles
58% (7/12)20% (2/10)
Duels won
5347
Clearances
3132
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
53
xGOT faced
2.202.27
Goals prevented
0.20-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Spellman M. , Opoku N. (A),
  • 30', 1 - 1, Masterson C. , Clark M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 55', Spellman M. , Nyakuhwa T. ,
  • 62', Clark M. 🟨,
  • 70', Smith J. , McCleary G. ,
  • 76', Jenkins L. , Antwi C. ,
  • 76', Smith M. , Brennan C. ,
  • 84', 1 - 2, Antwi C. , Nyakuhwa T. (A),
  • 86', Rowe A. , Hutton R. ,
  • 87', Andrews J. , Vokes S. ,
  • 88', Shephard L. , Thomas J. ,
  • 89', Opoku N. , Crole J. ,
  • 90', Dack B. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 2 - 2, Little A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+9', 3 - 2, McCleary G. , Clark M. (A),
  • 90+12', Dack B. , Coleman E. ,
  • 90+16', Brennan C. 🟨,
  • 90+16', Baker M. 🟨,
  • 90+16', Smith A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gillingham
59.1%
Draw
23.7%
Newport County
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.4% 24.9% 17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3% 24.1% 17.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Gillingham - Newport County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.61)
    3.9
    (3.7)
    5.37
    (5.19)
    7.7%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Gillingham - Newport County?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Newport will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gillingham: 19%81%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 16 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 1.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • In this match, Gillingham is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Gillingham: McCleary G. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Newport: Patten K. (Broken Leg)
    • There are questionable in Gillingham: Khumbeni N. (Inactive) Williams E. (Shoulder Injury) Wyllie M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Newport: Garner G. (Inactive)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 1:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.8:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Newport County were as follows:
    01.11.2025 Newport County - Gillingham 3:2
    20.09.2025 Newport County - Gillingham 1:3
    04.03.2025 Newport County - Gillingham 3:1
    22.10.2024 Gillingham - Newport County 0:2
    17.02.2024 Newport County - Gillingham 1:0
    Latest results of Gillingham
    Latest results of Newport County
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley432314668:432583
    2MK Dons432213879:433679
    3Cambridge Utd422114762:313177
    4Notts Co432371371:492276
    5Swindon432281367:511674
    6Salford432351557:50774
    7Chesterfield421815964:531169
    8Grimsby4119111162:451768
    9Barnet4318131260:491167
    10Crewe431991563:531066
    11Oldham4217141152:361665
    12Walsall4317111552:50262
    13Colchester4216121456:451160
    14Fleetwood4315131553:54-158
    15Bristol Rovers431742249:63-1455
    16Accrington421491941:48-751
    17Gillingham4212141648:60-1250
    18Shrewsbury431382240:66-2647
    19Cheltenham4112101948:67-1946
    20Tranmere429102349:72-2337
    21Crawley438132241:65-2437
    22Newport431072643:73-3037
    23Barrow42892540:68-2833
    24Harrogate43892635:66-3133

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League