Gillingham vs Newport County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 27
  • Referee: Brook C. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.961.09
Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
1922
Shots on target
67
Big chances
50
Corner kicks
45
Passes
78% (326/419)68% (222/327)
Yellow cards
32
Expected goals (xG)
2.961.09
xG on target (xGOT)
2.272.20
Total shots
1922
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
64
Blocked shots
711
Shots inside the box
1614
Shots outside the box
38
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
21
Big chances
50
Corner kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
4139
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free kicks
1013
Passes
78% (326/419)68% (222/327)
Long passes
45% (33/73)36% (28/78)
Passes in final third
65% (93/144)57% (68/119)
Crosses
50% (13/26)35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
2.150.77
Throw ins
1920
Fouls
1310
Tackles
58% (7/12)20% (2/10)
Duels won
5347
Clearances
3132
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
53
xGOT faced
2.202.27
Goals prevented
0.20-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Spellman M. , Opoku N. (A),
  • 30', 1 - 1, Masterson C. , Clark M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 55', Spellman M. , Nyakuhwa T. ,
  • 62', Clark M. 🟨,
  • 70', Smith J. , McCleary G. ,
  • 76', Jenkins L. , Antwi C. ,
  • 76', Smith M. , Brennan C. ,
  • 84', 1 - 2, Antwi C. , Nyakuhwa T. (A),
  • 86', Rowe A. , Hutton R. ,
  • 87', Andrews J. , Vokes S. ,
  • 88', Shephard L. , Thomas J. ,
  • 89', Opoku N. , Crole J. ,
  • 90', Dack B. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 2 - 2, Little A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+9', 3 - 2, McCleary G. , Clark M. (A),
  • 90+12', Dack B. , Coleman E. ,
  • 90+16', Brennan C. 🟨,
  • 90+16', Baker M. 🟨,
  • 90+16', Smith A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gillingham
59.1%
Draw
23.7%
Newport County
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.4% 24.9% 17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3% 24.1% 17.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Gillingham - Newport County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.61)
    3.9
    (3.7)
    5.37
    (5.19)
    7.7%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Gillingham - Newport County?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Newport will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gillingham: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 16 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 1.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • In this match, Gillingham is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Gillingham: McCleary G. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Newport: Patten K. (Broken Leg)
    • There are questionable in Gillingham: Khumbeni N. (Inactive) Williams E. (Shoulder Injury) Wyllie M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Newport: Garner G. (Inactive)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 1:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.8:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Newport County were as follows:
    01.11.2025 Newport County - Gillingham 3:2
    20.09.2025 Newport County - Gillingham 1:3
    04.03.2025 Newport County - Gillingham 3:1
    22.10.2024 Gillingham - Newport County 0:2
    17.02.2024 Newport County - Gillingham 1:0
    Latest results of Gillingham
    Latest results of Newport County
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley392213462:362679
    2MK Dons392111776:403674
    3Cambridge Utd382012656:282872
    4Notts Co382171065:392670
    5Swindon392161263:451869
    6Salford392141454:48667
    7Grimsby3817111056:401662
    8Chesterfield391614961:52962
    9Crewe391791358:471160
    10Walsall391791348:41760
    11Oldham371513944:311358
    12Barnet3915121249:43657
    13Fleetwood3914121348:46254
    14Colchester3814111350:41953
    15Accrington381391638:42-448
    16Gillingham3811121544:56-1245
    17Bristol Rovers391342240:60-2043
    18Cheltenham381191843:65-2242
    19Shrewsbury391182037:63-2641
    20Tranmere39992148:69-2136
    21Crawley396132036:60-2431
    22Newport39872439:67-2831
    23Harrogate39792329:58-2930
    24Barrow38782336:63-2729

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League