Result
1:3
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 9
- Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 2.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (346/436) | 62% (137/220) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 2.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (346/436) | 62% (137/220) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (32/67) | 39% (30/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (76/128) | 55% (54/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.19 | 0.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 1', 1 - 0, Opoku N. ⚽, Kamwa B. (A),
- 5', Smith A. 🟨,
- 9', Antwi C. (Pen),
- 15', Reindorf M. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 1, Dack B. ⚽,
- 30', Andrews J. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 2, Smith J. ⚽, Hutton R. (A),
- 44', Baker M. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 3, Dack B. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Reindorf M. ↓, Baker-Richardson C. ↑,
- 67', Smith J. ↓, Rowe A. ↑,
- 69', Whitmore K. ↓, Lloyd B. ↑,
- 73', Andrews J. ↓, Palmer-Houlden S. ↑,
- 74', Dack B. ↓, Coleman E. ↑,
- 76', Opoku N. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
- 79', 🟨,
- 85', Rowe A. 🟨,
- 89', Williams J. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
- 90+4', Gale S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Newport County
19.7% | Draw
27.2% | Gillingham
53.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newport County's form might have worsened.Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gillingham's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newport County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-5%)
Newport County - Gillingham Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.16 ↑
(3.46) |
3.63 ↑
(3.6) |
1.84 ↓
(2.01) |
1.4%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 22 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 5.
- Newport has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Gillingham is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Gillingham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Newport: Patten K.
(Inactive)
Shephard L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Gillingham: Masterson C.
(Calf Injury)
Williams E.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There are questionable in Gillingham: Coleman E.
(Inactive)
Little A.
(Inactive)
Palmer-Houlden S.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Newport won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:4. (average 2.1:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Gillingham?
Newport County has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Newport County?
Gillingham has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Gillingham were as follows:
04.03.2025
Newport County
-
Gillingham
3:1
22.10.2024
Gillingham
-
Newport County
0:2
17.02.2024
Newport County
-
Gillingham
1:0
28.10.2023
Gillingham
-
Newport County
0:2
19.11.2022
Newport County
-
Gillingham
2:0
Latest results of Newport County
Latest results of Gillingham
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Swindon | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 22:13 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Salford | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 19 |
| 6 | MK Dons | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 18 |
| 7 | Cambridge Utd | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:19 | 1 | 18 |
| 9 | Notts Co | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20:13 | 7 | 17 |
| 10 | Barnet | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 17 |
| 11 | Bristol Rovers | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 17 |
| 12 | Crewe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 13 | Bromley | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 17:15 | 2 | 15 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 15 |
| 15 | Oldham | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 14 |
| 16 | Harrogate | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 17 | Barrow | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 13 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 11 |
| 19 | Colchester | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 11 |
| 20 | Accrington | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 9 |
| 21 | Crawley | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:20 | -11 | 8 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6:24 | -18 | 7 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 6 |
| 24 | Newport | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10:21 | -11 | 5 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
