Newport County vs Grimsby Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
07/02/2026 at 10:01 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 31
  • Referee: Bourne D. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.381.38
Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
52
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
812
Passes
58% (169/293)70% (256/367)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
1.381.38
xG on target (xGOT)
1.170.92
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
35
Blocked shots
26
Shots inside the box
510
Shots outside the box
53
Hit the woodwork
02
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
812
Touches in opposition box
1428
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free kicks
1111
Passes
58% (169/293)70% (256/367)
Long passes
25% (21/84)40% (30/75)
Passes in final third
48% (57/120)63% (88/140)
Crosses
7% (1/14)21% (7/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.530.84
Throw ins
2526
Fouls
1111
Tackles
67% (4/6)60% (6/10)
Duels won
4958
Clearances
3738
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
24
xGOT faced
0.921.17
Goals prevented
0.921.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+3', Cook A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Opoku N. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 67', Turi G. D. , McEachran G. ,
  • 68', Shephard L. , Thomas J. ,
  • 68', Biggins H. , Nyakuhwa T. ,
  • 74', Vernam C. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 74', Rodgers H. 🟨,
  • 79', Sprangler S. , Jarvis C. ,
  • 80', Garner G. , Driscoll-Glennon A. ,
  • 81', Khouri E. , Walker J. ,
  • 81', Kabia J. , Burns D. ,
  • 82', Vernam C. , Sellars-Fleming T. ,
  • 89', Opoku N. , Crole J. ,
  • 90+5', Driscoll-Glennon A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Newport County
22.6%
Draw
25.1%
Grimsby Town
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.4% 27% 49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8% 26.3% 50.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Newport County - Grimsby Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.18
    (3.94)
    3.73
    (3.4)
    1.79
    (1.85)
    6.8%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Newport County - Grimsby Town?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1 - Grimsby (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Grimsby Town will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Grimsby Town will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Grimsby (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 0.
    • Recent form of Newport has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Grimsby is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, Grimsby is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Newport: Patten K. (Broken Leg) Smith M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Hamstring Injury) Pym C. (Inactive) Svanthorsson J. (Illness) Tharme D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newport won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 0.8:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Grimsby Town were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Grimsby Town - Newport County 2:1
    22.03.2025 Grimsby Town - Newport County 1:0
    16.11.2024 Newport County - Grimsby Town 0:0
    06.04.2024 Grimsby Town - Newport County 1:0
    16.12.2023 Newport County - Grimsby Town 1:1
    Latest results of Newport County
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley351912458:352369
    2Cambridge Utd341810649:272264
    3MK Dons341711663:342962
    4Swindon351951157:411662
    5Notts Co34187952:331961
    6Chesterfield351414755:441156
    7Crewe351681152:411156
    8Grimsby341510949:381155
    9Salford341741347:46155
    10Barnet3514111044:37753
    11Walsall341581142:37553
    12Colchester3413101148:381049
    13Fleetwood341391244:42248
    14Oldham331113936:30646
    15Accrington341371437:36146
    16Gillingham3311111141:41044
    17Shrewsbury351081734:54-2038
    18Cheltenham331061734:55-2136
    19Tranmere35981847:62-1535
    20Bristol Rovers34942133:57-2431
    21Crawley356101933:56-2328
    22Newport35772135:61-2628
    23Barrow33762033:51-1827
    24Harrogate35692025:52-2727

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League