Result
1:3
17/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 33
- Referee: Rock D. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.03 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (243/358) | 50% (116/232) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 2.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 45 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (243/358) | 50% (116/232) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (36/87) | 27% (24/90) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (112/179) | 45% (37/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (7/27) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 45 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 62% (18/29) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 73 | 85 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 60 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.17 | 0.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | -0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Delaney R. ⚽, Davies T. (A),
- 29', Evans C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Shephard L. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
- 52', Baker-Richardson C. 🟨,
- 56', 0 - 2, Lloyd B. ⚽,
- 58', Baker-Richardson C. ↓, Opoku N. ↑,
- 59', 0 - 3, Opoku N. ⚽,
- 62', Biggins H. 🟨,
- 65', Turton O. ↓, Longelo-Mbule R. ↑,
- 65', Butcher M. ↓, Grant J. ↑,
- 65', Harris K. ↓, Woodburn B. ↑,
- 65', Ashley O. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan P. ↑,
- 66', Crole J. ↓, Jamieson L. ↑,
- 66', Biggins H. ↓, Jarvis C. ↑,
- 69', Sprangler S. 🟨,
- 71', N'Mai K. 🟨,
- 76', Grant J. 🟨,
- 80', Lloyd B. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
- 87', Graydon R. 🟨,
- 90+1', Woodburn B. 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 3, Woodburn B. ⚽,
- 90+7', Opoku N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Salford City 70.4% | Draw 18.2% | Newport County 11.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Salford City - Newport County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.33 ↓ (1.38) |
5.14 ↑ (4.63) |
8.17 ↑ (6.82) |
7.1% (9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Salford City - Newport County?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Salford will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Newport will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salford: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salford won 3.
- Salford has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Newport is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Newport may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Salford is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Salford won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Salford won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Salford City won against Newport County?
Salford City has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Salford City?
Newport County has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Salford City - Newport County were as follows:
19.08.2025
Newport County
-
Salford City
0:1
28.01.2025
Salford City
-
Newport County
1:1
01.10.2024
Newport County
-
Salford City
3:1
20.04.2024
Newport County
-
Salford City
0:1
30.09.2023
Salford City
-
Newport County
2:1
Latest results of Salford City
Latest results of Newport County
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 35 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 69 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 35 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 55:44 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Salford | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 11 | Walsall | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 42:37 | 5 | 53 |
| 12 | Colchester | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 48:38 | 10 | 49 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:42 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Oldham | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 15 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 47:62 | -15 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Newport | 35 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 35:61 | -26 | 28 |
| 23 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League