Result
15:24
12/01/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: Challenge Cup - Round 3
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (8 - 9)
- 3', Hamonou T. 🟨,
- 12', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
- 14', Evans L. (Penalty Goal),
- 24', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
- 30', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
- 38', Wainwright A. (Try),
- 2nd Half (7 - 15)
- 48', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
- 53', Mondinat C. (Try),
- 54', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
- 63', Jooste D. (Try),
- 78', Evans L. (Penalty Try),
Chances of winning
Newport Gwent Dragons
57% | Draw
4.5% | Section Paloise
38.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport Gwent Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Section Paloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport Gwent Dragons than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newport Gwent Dragons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Section Paloise than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Newport Gwent Dragons - Section Paloise Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↑
(1.56) |
20.66 ↑
(20.38) |
2.4 ↓
(2.56) |
8.1%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 46.50The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
What is the prediction for Newport Gwent Dragons - Section Paloise?
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Dragons will win (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 25:21.
Preview Facts
- Dragons is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Section Paloise is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Dragons will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Dragons won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 119:83 (average 23.8:16.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Dragons won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 43:27 (average 21.5:13.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Newport Gwent Dragons won against Section Paloise?
Newport Gwent Dragons has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Section Paloise won against Newport Gwent Dragons?
Section Paloise has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newport Gwent Dragons - Section Paloise were as follows:
16.12.2023
Section Paloise
-
Newport Gwent Dragons
24:21
13.01.2023
Section Paloise
-
Newport Gwent Dragons
15:21
17.12.2022
Newport Gwent Dragons
-
Section Paloise
21:27
Latest results of Newport Gwent Dragons
Latest results of Section Paloise
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Edinburgh | Lions | 24 : 12 |
| 2 | Aviron Bayonnais | Bulls | 22 : 32 |
| 3 | Section Paloise | Bath | 24 : 49 |
| 4 | Montpellier | Gloucester | 17 : 24 |
| 5 | Ospreys | Scarlets | 36 : 14 |
| 6 | Lyon | Sharks | 34 : 21 |
| 7 | Connacht | Cardiff Rugby | 35 : 20 |
| 8 | USA Perpignan | Racing 92 | 18 : 24 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Edinburgh | Bulls | 34 : 28 |
| 2 | Bath | Gloucester | 61 : 26 |
| 3 | Ospreys | Lyon | 18 : 20 |
| 4 | Connacht | Racing 92 | 40 : 43 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Edinburgh | Bath | 24 : 39 |
| 2 | Lyon | Racing 92 | 29 : 15 |
Final
