Result
0:1
29/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 81', 0 - 1, Mrsic O. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Newroz
29.1% | Draw
28.6% | Arbil
42.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newroz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Arbil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newroz than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbil than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Newroz - Arbil Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↓
(3.62) |
3.17 ↑
(3.1) |
2.15 ↑
(2.1) |
10.1%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Newroz - Arbil?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arbil (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Stars League (Relegation) and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newroz won 3.
- Newroz is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Arbil is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Arbil might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Newroz won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newroz won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Newroz won against Arbil?
Newroz has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arbil won against Newroz?
Arbil has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newroz - Arbil were as follows:
14.06.2025
Arbil
-
Newroz
0:1
10.02.2025
Newroz
-
Arbil
2:0
14.07.2024
Newroz
-
Arbil
4:4
12.02.2024
Arbil
-
Newroz
1:1
10.07.2023
Newroz
-
Arbil
2:1
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 42:15 | 27 | 63 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 53:24 | 29 | 59 |
| 3 | Al Talaba | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 39:24 | 15 | 54 |
| 4 | Erbil | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 37:23 | 14 | 53 |
| 5 | Al-Karma | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 41:20 | 21 | 50 |
| 6 | Al Zawraa | 27 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 34:22 | 12 | 48 |
| 7 | Al Karkh | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 35:25 | 10 | 45 |
| 8 | Zakho | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 34:27 | 7 | 44 |
| 9 | Newroz | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Al Naft | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 27:23 | 4 | 37 |
| 11 | Duhok | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 29:30 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Diyala | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32:27 | 5 | 36 |
| 13 | Al Mosul | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 29:36 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 33 |
| 15 | Baghdad | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 34:48 | -14 | 30 |
| 16 | Al Kahraba | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 30:36 | -6 | 27 |
| 17 | Al Minaa | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 24:32 | -8 | 26 |
| 18 | Naft Missan | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 25 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 28 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 19:51 | -32 | 12 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 27 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 7:66 | -59 | 2 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation
