Result
2:1
31/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 42', 1 - 0, Claudio Maradona ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 78', 1 - 1, Tandia I. ⚽,
- 90+7', 🟥,
- 90+8', 2 - 1, Neto Acara ⚽,
Chances of winning
Newroz
34.6% | Draw
32.9% | Diyala
32.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newroz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Diyala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newroz than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diyala than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Newroz - Diyala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.6 ↑
(2.52) |
2.74 ↓
(3) |
2.77 ↓
(2.92) |
11.1%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Newroz - Diyala?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Diyala will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 9).
- Newroz has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Diyala has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Newroz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Newroz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Newroz won against Diyala?
Newroz has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Diyala won against Newroz?
Diyala has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newroz - Diyala were as follows:
20.02.2025
Diyala
-
Newroz
1:4
03.01.2025
Newroz
-
Diyala
2:1
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 33:12 | 21 | 55 |
| 2 | Erbil | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 35:18 | 17 | 50 |
| 3 | Al Shorta | 23 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 41:19 | 22 | 49 |
| 4 | Al Talaba | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 33:20 | 13 | 44 |
| 5 | Al-Karma | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 33:17 | 16 | 42 |
| 6 | Al Zawraa | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 31:20 | 11 | 42 |
| 7 | Zakho | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 31:19 | 12 | 40 |
| 8 | Al Karkh | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 32:23 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | Duhok | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 26:23 | 3 | 33 |
| 10 | Newroz | 23 | 10 | 1 | 12 | 28:30 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Diyala | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 25:24 | 1 | 29 |
| 12 | Al Naft | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 24:23 | 1 | 29 |
| 13 | Al Gharraf | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Al Mosul | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23:30 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Al Minaa | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23:27 | -4 | 25 |
| 16 | Al Kahraba | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 24:33 | -9 | 21 |
| 17 | Naft Missan | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
| 18 | Baghdad | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 19 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 23 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 15:41 | -26 | 9 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 23 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 7:52 | -45 | 2 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation
