Result
1:1
04/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 38', 0 - 1, Komolafe P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', Younes H. 🟥,
- 67', 1 - 1, Khalid Abd-Alruhman A. ⚽,
- 82', Salhi C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Diyala 35.8% | Draw 31.8% | Newroz 32.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Diyala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Newroz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diyala than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newroz than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Diyala - Newroz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.52 ↓ (2.62) |
2.84 ↑ (2.77) |
2.77 ↑ (2.69) |
11.1% (11.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 9).
- Recent form of Diyala has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Newroz is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Newroz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Newroz has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Diyala won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Diyala won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
How many head-to-head matches has Diyala won against Newroz?
Diyala has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newroz won against Diyala?
Newroz has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Diyala - Newroz were as follows:
31.01.2026
Newroz
-
Diyala
2:1
20.02.2025
Diyala
-
Newroz
1:4
03.01.2025
Newroz
-
Diyala
2:1
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 45:17 | 28 | 66 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 54:26 | 28 | 59 |
| 3 | Al Talaba | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 39:24 | 15 | 54 |
| 4 | Erbil | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 37:23 | 14 | 53 |
| 5 | Al Zawraa | 28 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 36:23 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 | Al-Karma | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 41:20 | 21 | 50 |
| 7 | Al Karkh | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 35:27 | 8 | 45 |
| 8 | Zakho | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 34:27 | 7 | 44 |
| 9 | Newroz | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 37:33 | 4 | 42 |
| 10 | Diyala | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 34:27 | 7 | 39 |
| 11 | Al Naft | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 27:23 | 4 | 37 |
| 12 | Duhok | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 29:30 | -1 | 37 |
| 13 | Al Mosul | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 35 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 33 |
| 15 | Baghdad | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 34:48 | -14 | 30 |
| 16 | Al Kahraba | 28 | 8 | 3 | 17 | 32:39 | -7 | 27 |
| 17 | Al Minaa | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25:36 | -11 | 26 |
| 18 | Naft Missan | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28:43 | -15 | 26 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 28 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 19:51 | -32 | 12 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 27 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 7:66 | -59 | 2 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation