Newtown vs Pen-y-Bont – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru Premier Newtown - Pen-y-Bont
Result
1:2
14/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WALES: Cymru Premier - Round 22
  • Referee: Griffith I. A. (Wal)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Goal Attempts
55
Shots on Goal
33
Shots off Goal
22
Corner Kicks
49
Goalkeeper Saves
12
Yellow Cards
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Pritchard O. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', 0 - 2, Pritchard O. ,
  • 51', 1 - 2, Smith D. ,
  • 53', Venables C. 🟨,
  • 58', Borge B. 🟨,
  • 58', Roberts C. 🟨,
  • 71', Watts K. , Little M. ,
  • 76', Crole J. , Georgievsky K. ,
  • 78', Williams C. , Hollinshead T. ,
  • 78', Torry D. , Boakye H. ,
  • 90+3', Evans R. , Roberts A. ,

Chances of winning


Newtown
18.3%
Draw
26.2%
Pen-y-Bont
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.8% 17.7% 69.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12% 16.5% 74.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newtown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newtown's performance.
  • Pen-y-Bont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pen-y-Bont might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newtown than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newtown that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (+18.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pen-y-Bont could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Newtown - Pen-y-Bont Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5
    (7.25)
    3.5
    (5.25)
    1.65
    (1.34)
    9.2%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Newtown - Pen-y-Bont?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Newtown will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Pen-y-Bont will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pen-y-Bont: 59%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
    • Newtown is Cymru Premier (Relegation Group )
    • Pen-y-Bont is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Championship Group )
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Newtown won 0.
    • Newtown has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Pen-y-Bont is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Pen-y-Bont is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Pen-y-Bont to win the game is with odds 1.59.
    • Last 19 head-to-head matches Newtown won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 22:26 (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Newtown won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:17 (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newtown - Pen-y-Bont were as follows:
    16.08.2024 Pen-y-Bont - Newtown 0:0
    11.05.2024 Newtown - Pen-y-Bont 0:5
    19.11.2023 Pen-y-Bont - Newtown 1:1
    12.08.2023 Newtown - Pen-y-Bont 1:3
    22.04.2023 Pen-y-Bont - Newtown 2:1
    Latest results of Newtown
    Latest results of Pen-y-Bont
    Welsh Cymru Premier Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Colwyn Bay00000:000
    2Caernarfon00000:000
    3Connahs Q00000:000
    4Haverfordwest00000:000
    5Llanelli00000:000
    6TNS00000:000
    7Flint00000:000
    8Briton Ferry00000:000
    9Bala00000:000
    10Barry00000:000
    11Cardiff Metropolitan00000:000
    12Penybont00000:000

          Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )
          Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )