Result
1:2
14/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- WALES: Cymru Premier - Round 22
- Referee: Griffith I. A. (Wal)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Pritchard O. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', 0 - 2, Pritchard O. ⚽,
- 51', 1 - 2, Smith D. ⚽,
- 53', Venables C. 🟨,
- 58', Borge B. 🟨,
- 58', Roberts C. 🟨,
- 71', Watts K. ↓, Little M. ↑,
- 76', Crole J. ↓, Georgievsky K. ↑,
- 78', Williams C. ↓, Hollinshead T. ↑,
- 78', Torry D. ↓, Boakye H. ↑,
- 90+3', Evans R. ↓, Roberts A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Newtown
18.3% | Draw
26.2% | Pen-y-Bont
55.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newtown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newtown's performance.Pen-y-Bont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pen-y-Bont might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newtown than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newtown that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (+18.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pen-y-Bont could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Newtown - Pen-y-Bont Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5 ↓
(7.25) |
3.5 ↓
(5.25) |
1.65 ↑
(1.34) |
9.2%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Newtown - Pen-y-Bont?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Newtown will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Pen-y-Bont will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pen-y-Bont: 59% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
- Newtown is Cymru Premier (Relegation Group )
- Pen-y-Bont is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Championship Group )
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Newtown won 0.
- Newtown has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Pen-y-Bont is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Pen-y-Bont is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Pen-y-Bont to win the game is with odds 1.59.
- Last 19 head-to-head matches Newtown won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 22:26 (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Newtown won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:17 (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Newtown won against Pen-y-Bont?
Newtown has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pen-y-Bont won against Newtown?
Pen-y-Bont has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newtown - Pen-y-Bont were as follows:
16.08.2024
Pen-y-Bont
-
Newtown
0:0
11.05.2024
Newtown
-
Pen-y-Bont
0:5
19.11.2023
Pen-y-Bont
-
Newtown
1:1
12.08.2023
Newtown
-
Pen-y-Bont
1:3
22.04.2023
Pen-y-Bont
-
Newtown
2:1
Latest results of Newtown
Latest results of Pen-y-Bont
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Caernarfon | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 7 |
| 2 | Briton Ferry | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | TNS | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Penybont | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Barry | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Bala | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Cardiff Metropolitan | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Colwyn Bay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 9 | Haverfordwest | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Flint | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 11 | Connahs Q | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 12 | Llanelli | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:12 | -9 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )
