Benfica vs Nice – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estádio da Luz (Lisbon).

Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals
Referee: Guida M. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2
Portugal	TVI
United-kingdom	Solidsport TV

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.48	0.56
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
21	10
Shots on target
5	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
6	6
Passes
87% (472/541)	80% (300/373)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48	0.56
xG on target (xGOT)
1.19	0.09
Total shots
21	10
Shots on target
5	1
Shots off target
8	4
Blocked Shots
8	5
Shots inside the Box
14	8
Shots outside the Box
7	1
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
6	6
Touches in opposition box
45	18
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
13	8
Passes
87% (472/541)	80% (300/373)
Long passes
56% (32/57)	36% (10/28)
Passes in final third
73% (99/135)	72% (72/100)
Crosses
50% (6/12)	18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.88	0.60
Throw-ins
18	19
Fouls
9	13
Tackles
69% (11/16)	67% (10/15)
Duels won
48	36
Clearances
26	19
Interceptions
7	10
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.09	1.19
Goals prevented
0.09	-0.81

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Aursnes F. ⚽, Schjelderup A. (A),
27', 2 - 0, Schjelderup A. ⚽, Aursnes F. (A),
33', Juma Bah A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Coulibaly D. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
63', Barrenechea E. ↓, Florentino ↑,
63', Ivanovic F. ↓, Barreiro L. ↑,
64', Schjelderup A. ↓, Prestianni G. ↑,
65', Clauss J. 🟨,
73', Clauss J. ↓, Koutoune H. ↑,
73', Jansson I. ↓, Boga J. ↑,
73', Bouanani B. ↓, Bernardeau G. ↑,
81', Pavlidis V. ↓, Araujo H. ↑,
82', Moffi T. ↓, Nguene B. ↑,
84', Aursnes F. ↓, Akturkoglu K. ↑,
90+2', Prestianni G. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Benfica
73.1%

Draw
17%

Nice
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

23.1%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

22.5%

17.3%

Benfica - Nice Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.62)	6.49 ↑ (4.16)	11.36 ↑ (5.42)	-6.1% (4.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Benfica - Nice?

Users Predictions: 73 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 57 - 78.1%). Nice will win (votes: 8 - 11%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 11%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 68.6% – 87.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Benfica (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Nice (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 2-0. 2nd leg.
Benfica is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Nice's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Benfica is considered a favorite.
We predict that Benfica will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Nice?

Benfica has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Nice won against Benfica?

Nice has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - Nice were as follows:

06.08.2025 Nice - Benfica 0:2

Latest results of Benfica

06.08.2025 Nice - Benfica 0:2 ✺

31.07.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 0:1 ✺

26.07.2025 Benfica - Fenerbahçe 3:2 ✺

24.06.2025 Benfica - Bayern Munich 1:0 ✺

20.06.2025 Benfica - Auckland City 6:0 ✺

Latest results of Nice

06.08.2025 Nice - Benfica 0:2 ✺

30.07.2025 Nice - Sheffield United 3:2 ✺

26.07.2025 St. Pauli - Nice 2:0 ✺

26.07.2025 Feyenoord - Nice 1:2 ✺

16.07.2025 Nice - Aubagne 3:0 ✺

UEFA Champions League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arsenal	6	6	0	0	17:1	16	18
2	Bayern Munich	6	5	0	1	18:7	11	15
3	PSG	6	4	1	1	19:8	11	13
4	Manchester City	6	4	1	1	12:6	6	13
5	Atalanta	6	4	1	1	8:6	2	13
6	Inter	6	4	0	2	12:4	8	12
7	Real Madrid	6	4	0	2	13:7	6	12
8	Atl. Madrid	6	4	0	2	15:12	3	12
9	Liverpool	6	4	0	2	11:8	3	12
10	Dortmund	6	3	2	1	19:13	6	11
11	Tottenham	6	3	2	1	13:7	6	11
12	Newcastle	6	3	1	2	13:6	7	10
13	Chelsea	6	3	1	2	13:8	5	10
14	Sporting CP	6	3	1	2	12:8	4	10
15	Barcelona	6	3	1	2	14:11	3	10
16	Marseille	6	3	0	3	11:8	3	9
17	Juventus	6	2	3	1	12:10	2	9
18	Galatasaray	6	3	0	3	8:8	0	9
19	Monaco	6	2	3	1	7:8	-1	9
20	Bayer Leverkusen	6	2	3	1	10:12	-2	9
21	PSV	6	2	2	2	15:11	4	8
22	Qarabag	6	2	1	3	10:13	-3	7
23	Napoli	6	2	1	3	6:11	-5	7
24	FC Copenhagen	6	2	1	3	10:16	-6	7
25	Benfica	6	2	0	4	6:8	-2	6
26	Pafos	6	1	3	2	4:9	-5	6
27	Royale Union SG	6	2	0	4	7:15	-8	6
28	Ath Bilbao	6	1	2	3	4:9	-5	5
29	Olympiacos Piraeus	6	1	2	3	6:13	-7	5
30	Eintracht Frankfurt	6	1	1	4	8:16	-8	4
31	Club Brugge KV	6	1	1	4	8:16	-8	4
32	Bodo/Glimt	6	0	3	3	9:13	-4	3
33	Slavia Prague	6	0	3	3	2:11	-9	3
34	Ajax	6	1	0	5	5:18	-13	3
35	Villarreal	6	0	1	5	4:13	-9	1
36	Kairat Almaty	6	0	1	5	4:15	-11	1

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