Result
2:0
12/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals
- Referee: Guida M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2 |
 Portugal | TVI |
 United-kingdom | Solidsport TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (472/541) | 80% (300/373) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 45 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (472/541) | 80% (300/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (32/57) | 36% (10/28) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (99/135) | 72% (72/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 18% (4/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.09 | 1.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | -0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Aursnes F. ⚽, Schjelderup A. (A),
- 27', 2 - 0, Schjelderup A. ⚽, Aursnes F. (A),
- 33', Juma Bah A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Coulibaly D. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
- 63', Barrenechea E. ↓, Florentino ↑,
- 63', Ivanovic F. ↓, Barreiro L. ↑,
- 64', Schjelderup A. ↓, Prestianni G. ↑,
- 65', Clauss J. 🟨,
- 73', Clauss J. ↓, Koutoune H. ↑,
- 73', Jansson I. ↓, Boga J. ↑,
- 73', Bouanani B. ↓, Bernardeau G. ↑,
- 81', Pavlidis V. ↓, Araujo H. ↑,
- 82', Moffi T. ↓, Nguene B. ↑,
- 84', Aursnes F. ↓, Akturkoglu K. ↑,
- 90+2', Prestianni G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Benfica
73.1% | Draw
17% | Nice
10% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benfica's performance.Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-12.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benfica that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Benfica - Nice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.62) |
6.49 ↑
(4.16) |
11.36 ↑
(5.42) |
-6.1%
(4.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Benfica - Nice?
Users Predictions:
73 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 57 - 78.1%). Nice will win (votes: 8 - 11%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 11%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 68.6% – 87.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Benfica (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Nice (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 7 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 2-0. 2nd leg.
- Benfica is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Nice's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Benfica is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Benfica will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Nice?
Benfica has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nice won against Benfica?
Nice has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - Nice were as follows:
06.08.2025
Nice
-
Benfica
0:2
Latest results of Benfica
Draw
2025/261/8-finals| 1 | Rijeka | Bye | |
| 2 | Ludogorets | Din. Minsk | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Noah | Buducnost | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Ferencvaros | |
| 5 | TNS | Shkendija | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | FCSB | Inter Escaldes | 1 : 2, 3 : 1 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | Linfield | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Qarabag | |
| 9 | Lech Poznan | Bye | |
| 10 | Egnatia | Breidablik | 0 : 5, 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Vikingur | Lincoln Red Imps | 0 : 1, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | Bye | Crvena zvezda | |
| 13 | Zalgiris | Hamrun | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
| 15 | Pafos | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
| 17 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 25 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 29 | KuPS | Milsami | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 30 | O. Ljubljana | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 31 | Slovan Bratislava | Bye | |
| 32 | Virtus | Zrinjski | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 33 | Basel | Bye | |
| 37 | Levadia | RFS | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 38 | Iberia 1999 | Malmo FF | 1 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 39 | FC Copenhagen | Bye | |
| 40 | Drita | Differdange | 3 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 41 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 44 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
| 45 | Nice | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 49 | Rangers | Bye | |
| 50 | Bye | Panathinaikos | |
| 51 | Plzen | Bye | |
| 52 | Bye | Servette | |
| 53 | Brann | Bye | |
| 54 | Bye | Salzburg | |
| 56 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Rijeka | Ludogorets | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Noah | Ferencvaros | 3 : 4, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Shkendija | FCSB | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | Qarabag | 0 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan | Breidablik | 1 : 0, 7 : 1 |
| 6 | Lincoln Red Imps | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Hamrun | Dyn. Kyiv | 0 : 3, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Pafos | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 9 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 13 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 15 | KuPS | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Slovan Bratislava | Zrinjski | 2 : 2, 4 : 0 |
| 17 | Basel | Bye | |
| 19 | RFS | Malmo FF | 0 : 1, 1 : 4 |
| 20 | FC Copenhagen | Drita | 1 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 22 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
| 23 | Nice | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 25 | Rangers | Panathinaikos | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Plzen | Servette | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 27 | Brann | Salzburg | 1 : 1, 1 : 4 |
| 28 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Ludogorets | Ferencvaros | 0 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Shkendija | Qarabag | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Dyn. Kyiv | Pafos | 0 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 7 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 8 | Kairat Almaty | Slovan Bratislava | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 9 | Basel | Bye | |
| 10 | Malmo FF | FC Copenhagen | 0 : 5, 0 : 0 |
| 11 | Feyenoord | Fenerbahce | 2 : 5, 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Nice | Benfica | 0 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rangers | Plzen | 1 : 2, 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Salzburg | Club Brugge KV | 2 : 3, 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Ferencvaros | Qarabag | 1 : 3 |
| 2 | Crvena zvezda | Pafos | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | Sturm Graz | 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Celtic | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 0 |
| 5 | Basel | FC Copenhagen | 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Fenerbahce | Benfica | 0 : 0 |
| 7 | Rangers | Club Brugge KV | 1 : 3 |
