Benfica vs Nice – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
12/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Guida M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2
portugalPortugalTVI
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSolidsport TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.480.56
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
87% (472/541)80% (300/373)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.480.56
xG on target (xGOT)
1.190.09
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
85
Shots inside the Box
148
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
4518
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
138
Passes
87% (472/541)80% (300/373)
Long passes
56% (32/57)36% (10/28)
Passes in final third
73% (99/135)72% (72/100)
Crosses
50% (6/12)18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.880.60
Throw-ins
1819
Fouls
913
Tackles
69% (11/16)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4836
Clearances
2619
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.091.19
Goals prevented
0.09-0.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Aursnes F. , Schjelderup A. (A),
  • 27', 2 - 0, Schjelderup A. , Aursnes F. (A),
  • 33', Juma Bah A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Coulibaly D. , Diop S. ,
  • 63', Barrenechea E. , Florentino ,
  • 63', Ivanovic F. , Barreiro L. ,
  • 64', Schjelderup A. , Prestianni G. ,
  • 65', Clauss J. 🟨,
  • 73', Clauss J. , Koutoune H. ,
  • 73', Jansson I. , Boga J. ,
  • 73', Bouanani B. , Bernardeau G. ,
  • 81', Pavlidis V. , Araujo H. ,
  • 82', Moffi T. , Nguene B. ,
  • 84', Aursnes F. , Akturkoglu K. ,
  • 90+2', Prestianni G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Benfica
73.1%
Draw
17%
Nice
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.2% 23.1% 17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 22.5% 17.3%

Benfica - Nice Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.44
(1.62)
6.49
(4.16)
11.36
(5.42)
-6.1%
(4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Benfica - Nice?
  • Users Predictions: 73 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 57 - 78.1%). Nice will win (votes: 8 - 11%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 11%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 68.6%87.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Benfica (1.46) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -1 - Nice (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Benfica (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Nice (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Benfica will win (30 of 39 users predict this - 76.92%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 44 high ROI users predict this event. Benfica (votes: 32 - 72.7%). Nice (votes: 7 - 15.9%). Tie (votes: 5 - 11.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 2-0. 2nd leg.
    • Benfica is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Nice's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Benfica is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Benfica will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - Nice were as follows:
    06.08.2025 Nice - Benfica 0:2
    Latest results of Benfica
    06.08.2025 Nice - Benfica 0:2
    31.07.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 0:1
    26.07.2025 Benfica - Fenerbahçe 3:2
    24.06.2025 Benfica - Bayern Munich 1:0
    20.06.2025 Benfica - Auckland City 6:0
    Latest results of Nice
    06.08.2025 Nice - Benfica 0:2
    30.07.2025 Nice - Sheffield United 3:2
    26.07.2025 St. Pauli - Nice 2:0
    26.07.2025 Feyenoord - Nice 1:2
    16.07.2025 Nice - Aubagne 3:0
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    League phase
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    34Slavia Prague80355:19-143
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