Nice vs Brest – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Football French Ligue 1 Nice - Brest
Result
6:0
17/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 34
  • Referee: Ben El Hadj Salem H. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 7
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 2
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Nova Sport 5
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN 4, DAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kosovoKosovoK Sport 2
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
4.400.93
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
91
Big Chances
91
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
81% (315/390)86% (458/534)
Yellow Cards
04
Expected Goals (xG)
4.400.93
xG on target (xGOT)
6.320.01
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
157
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
91
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
3316
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
81% (315/390)86% (458/534)
Long passes
36% (12/33)51% (26/51)
Passes in final third
65% (67/103)65% (57/88)
Crosses
63% (5/8)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.681.05
Throw-ins
1920
Fouls
1312
Tackles
64% (9/14)72% (18/25)
Duels won
5153
Clearances
1313
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.016.32
Goals prevented
0.010.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Guessand E. ⚽, Boudaoui H. (A),
  • 19', 2 - 0, Laborde G. ⚽, Guessand E. (A),
  • 26', Locko B. 🟨,
  • 28', 3 - 0, Bouanani B. (Pen),
  • 33', Lees-Melou P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 49', Ndiaye A. 🟨,
  • 64', Doumbia K. ↓, Del Castillo R. ↑,
  • 64', Pereira Lage M. ↓, Sima A. ↑,
  • 69', Bouanani B. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
  • 69', Santamaria B. ↓, Louchet T. ↑,
  • 75', 4 - 0, Laborde G. ⚽, Bard M. (A),
  • 78', Laborde G. ↓, Sanson M. ↑,
  • 78', Guessand E. ↓, Moffi T. ↑,
  • 80', Locko B. ↓, Haidara M. ↑,
  • 80', Lees-Melou P. ↓, Makalou H. ↑,
  • 82', 5 - 0, Moffi T. ⚽, Diop S. (A),
  • 83', Ajorque L. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
  • 85', Clauss J. ↓, Abdi A. ↑,
  • 90+2', Balde M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 6 - 0, Abdi A. ⚽,

Chances of winning


Nice
63.1%		Draw
20.5%		Brest
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.9% 24.1% 20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7% 23.8% 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nice's performance.
  • Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nice that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
    •

    Nice - Brest Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.51 ↓
    (1.72)    		 4.65 ↑
    (3.92)    		 5.76 ↑
    (4.52)    		 5.2%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Nice - Brest?
  • Users Predictions: Nice will win (75 of 87 users predict this - 86.21%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.96% – 93.46%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nice will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 2.
    • Nice is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Brest has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Brest may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Nice is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury) Ndombele T. (Groin Injury) Rosario P. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Brest: Amavi J. (Injury) Bourgault J. (Foot Injury) Coulibaly S. (Injury) Faivre R. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Nice: Boudaoui H. (Injury) Sanson M. (Concussion)
    • There are questionable in Brest: Balde M. (Inactive) Le Cardinal J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Nice won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:12. (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nice won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nice - Brest were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Brest - Nice 0:1
    04.02.2024 Brest - Nice 0:0
    01.10.2023 Nice - Brest 0:0
    16.04.2023 Brest - Nice 1:0
    06.11.2022 Nice - Brest 1:0
    Latest results of Nice
    10.05.2025 Rennes - Nice 2:0 ✺
    02.05.2025 Nice - Reims 1:0 ✺
    25.04.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Nice 1:3 ✺
    20.04.2025 Nice - Angers 2:1 ✺
    12.04.2025 Strasbourg - Nice 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Brest
    10.05.2025 Brest - Lille 2:0 ✺
    04.05.2025 Brest - Montpellier 1:0 ✺
    27.04.2025 Olympique Marseille - Brest 4:1 ✺
    20.04.2025 Brest - Lens 1:3 ✺
    13.04.2025 Saint-Étienne - Brest 3:3 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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