Result
2:2
01/02/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 20
- Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 6, Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.69 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (428/505) | 78% (262/338) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (428/505) | 78% (262/338) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (27/52) | 44% (24/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (78/128) | 65% (64/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (6/27) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.52 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 72% (18/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.22 | -0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 13', Abdul Samed S. 🟨,
- 15', 0 - 1, Del Castillo R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 23', 0 - 2, Doumbia K. ⚽, Ajorque L. (A),
- 33', Wahi E. 🟨,
- 42', Doumbia K. 🟨,
- 44', Labeau Lascary R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Abdul Samed S. ↓, Boudache K. ↑,
- 58', Peprah K. 🟨,
- 63', 1 - 2, Abdi A. ⚽, Clauss J. (A),
- 66', Coulibaly S. 🟨,
- 67', Cho M. ↓, Kevin ↑,
- 68', Vanhoutte C. 🟨,
- 70', Labeau Lascary R. ↓, Mboup P. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 2, Wahi E. ⚽, Diop S. (A),
- 73', Vanhoutte C. ↓, Boudaoui H. ↑,
- 74', Coulibaly S. ↓, Diaz Jr. M. ↑,
- 82', Wahi E. ↓, Louchet T. ↑,
- 83', Diop S. ↓, Jansson I. ↑,
- 85', Del Castillo R. ↓, Dina Ebimbe J. ↑,
- 87', Boudaoui H. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/32bjs4mj
Chances of winning
Nice
41.4% | Draw
28.6% | Brest
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Nice - Brest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(2.15) |
3.36 ↑
(3.32) |
3.17 ↓
(3.43) |
4.6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nice - Brest?
Users Predictions:
40 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 30 - 75%). Brest will win (votes: 4 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 61.6% – 88.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Brest (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nice will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Nice (votes: 12 - 80%). Brest (votes: 3 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 14 and 12)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 2.
- Nice has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Brest has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Brest may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Nice has had a series of away games.
- Nice might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M.
(Knee Injury)
Bah J.
(Yellow Cards)
Bombito M.
(Leg Injury)
Ndayishimiye Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Brest: Balde M.
(Injury)
Locko B.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Nice: Bard M.
(Groin Injury)
Boudaoui H.
(Inactive)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Nice won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:16. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nice won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:7. (average 2.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Nice won against Brest?
Nice has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Nice?
Brest has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nice - Brest were as follows:
20.09.2025
Brest
-
Nice
4:1
17.05.2025
Nice
-
Brest
6:0
02.11.2024
Brest
-
Nice
0:1
04.02.2024
Brest
-
Nice
0:0
01.10.2023
Nice
-
Brest
0:0
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 52:19 | 33 | 54 |
| 2 | Lens | 23 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 44:20 | 24 | 52 |
| 3 | Lyon | 23 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 37:23 | 14 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 48:31 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Lille | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 36:31 | 5 | 37 |
| 6 | Rennes | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 37:35 | 2 | 37 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 39:30 | 9 | 34 |
| 8 | Monaco | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | Lorient | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 32:36 | -4 | 32 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 31 |
| 11 | Brest | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 31:34 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Angers | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
| 14 | Nice | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 30:43 | -13 | 24 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:40 | -13 | 23 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17:33 | -16 | 17 |
| 17 | Nantes | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 22:40 | -18 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 22:52 | -30 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
