Result
4:1
20/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 5
- Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player |
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max, Sky Sport MIX |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 3 |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
 South-america | ESPN 4 South |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 2.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (290/376) | 89% (538/604) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 2.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (290/376) | 89% (538/604) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (40/74) | 54% (19/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (50/90) | 74% (139/189) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 33% (8/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 2.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | -2.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Ajorque L. ⚽, Del Castillo R. (A),
- 9', 2 - 0, Del Castillo R. ⚽, Ajorque L. (A),
- 18', Vanhoutte C. 🟨,
- 25', Bard M. 🟨,
- 30', 2 - 1, Moffi T. ⚽, Boudaoui H. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 56', Diop S. 🟨,
- 61', Mboup P. ↓, Labeau Lascary R. ↑,
- 63', Gouveia T. ↓, Jansson I. ↑,
- 63', Moffi T. ↓, Abdul Samed S. ↑,
- 67', Labeau Lascary R. 🟨,
- 70', 3 - 1, Chotard J. ⚽, Ajorque L. (A),
- 73', Vanhoutte C. ↓, Louchet T. ↑,
- 73', Boudaoui H. ↓, Sanson M. ↑,
- 76', 4 - 1, Labeau Lascary R. ⚽, Ajorque L. (A),
- 79', Doumbia K. ↓, Dina Ebimbe J. ↑,
- 79', Boga J. ↓, Cho M. ↑,
- 84', Ajorque L. ↓, Makalou H. ↑,
- 85', Del Castillo R. ↓, Guindo D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Brest
35.2% | Draw
27.6% | Nice
37.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Brest - Nice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.79 ↑
(2.41) |
3.64 ↑
(3.48) |
2.79 ↓
(2.82) |
-0.9%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Brest - Nice?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Nice will win (votes: 11 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 29.1% – 70.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nice will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 1.
- Brest has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Nice has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Brest: Balde M.
(Thigh Injury)
Majecki R.
(Red Card)
Tousart L.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M.
(Knee Injury)
Abdi A.
(Groin Injury)
Coulibaly D.
(Injury)
Dante
(Knee Injury)
Ndayishimiye Y.
(Knee Injury)
Ndombele T.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Brest won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:28. (average 0.8:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Nice?
Brest has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nice won against Brest?
Nice has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brest - Nice were as follows:
17.05.2025
Nice
-
Brest
6:0
02.11.2024
Brest
-
Nice
0:1
04.02.2024
Brest
-
Nice
0:0
01.10.2023
Nice
-
Brest
0:0
16.04.2023
Brest
-
Nice
1:0
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Marseille | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12:5 | 7 | 12 |
| 3 | Monaco | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Lyon | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Strasbourg | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Lille | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Lens | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Rennes | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Nice | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Angers | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 | Nantes | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Brest | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 | Le Havre | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 18 | Metz | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
