Result
1:3
06/11/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - League phase - Round 4
- Referee: Sidiropoulos A. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3 |
 Belgium | VOOsport World 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport, Free |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | ANT 1+ |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254 |
 Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 1 |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN 2, DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 6 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Turkey | Tabii |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 5, TNT Sports Extra |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 2.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (412/483) | 78% (257/331) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 2.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 2.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (412/483) | 78% (257/331) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (21/33) | 28% (14/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (87/116) | 59% (37/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 58% (15/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.86 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.14 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 25', 1 - 0, Kevin ⚽, Vanhoutte C. (A),
- 29', 1 - 1, Manzambi J. ⚽, Suzuki Y. (A),
- 39', 1 - 2, Grifo V. (Pen),
- 42', 1 - 3, Scherhant D. ⚽, Ginter M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Abdi A. ↓, Cho M. ↑,
- 51', Lienhart P. 🟨,
- 52', Vanhoutte C. 🟨,
- 66', Grifo V. ↓, Holer L. ↑,
- 66', Scherhant D. ↓, Beste J. ↑,
- 66', Manzambi J. ↓, Hofler N. ↑,
- 69', Abdul Samed S. ↓, Sanson M. ↑,
- 69', Vanhoutte C. ↓, Boudaoui H. ↑,
- 69', Gouveia T. ↓, Louchet T. ↑,
- 73', Kubler L. 🟨,
- 77', Kevin ↓, Jansson I. ↑,
- 78', Kubler L. ↓, Rosenfelder M. ↑,
- 83', Adamu J. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nice
35% | Draw
28.4% | Freiburg
36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Nice - Freiburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↑
(2.52) |
3.37 ↓
(3.41) |
2.65 ↓
(2.71) |
4%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nice - Freiburg?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 10 - 35.7%). Freiburg will win (votes: 8 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 18% – 53.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Nice (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Freiburg (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH 0 - Nice (1.92) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Nice (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Freiburg (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M.
(Knee Injury)
Bombito M.
(Leg Injury)
Clauss J.
(Red Card)
Moffi T.
(Calf Injury)
Ndayishimiye Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There are questionable in Nice: Cho M.
(Injury)
Dante
(Knee Injury)
Diop S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Freiburg: Dinkci E.
(Injury)
Osterhage P.
(Muscle Injury)
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Nice won against Freiburg?
Nice has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Nice?
Freiburg has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nice - Freiburg were as follows:
Latest results of Freiburg
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 3 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 7 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 9 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 10 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 2 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ferencvaros (12) | Braga (6) | 0 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Betis (4) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Genk (9) | Freiburg (7) | 1 : 5, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Celta Vigo (16) | Lyon (1) | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 5 | Stuttgart (11) | FC Porto (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Nottingham (13) | Midtjylland (3) | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Bologna (10) | AS Roma (8) | 4 : 3, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Aston Villa (2) | 0 : 2, 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Braga (6) | Betis (4) | |
| 2 | Freiburg (7) | Celta Vigo (16) | |
| 3 | FC Porto (5) | Nottingham (13) | |
| 4 | Bologna (10) | Aston Villa (2) | |
Semi-finalsFinal
