Lens vs Nice – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
14/12/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 16
  • Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
italyItalyLigue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV, FOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.160.80
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
83% (346/419)86% (423/494)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.160.80
xG on target (xGOT)
0.961.44
Total shots
158
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1817
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1317
Passes
83% (346/419)86% (423/494)
Long passes
47% (23/49)55% (27/49)
Passes in final third
66% (62/94)67% (66/98)
Crosses
21% (3/14)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.051.02
Throw-ins
2324
Fouls
1713
Tackles
54% (7/13)47% (8/17)
Duels won
4260
Clearances
2411
Interceptions
1614
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.440.96
Goals prevented
1.44-1.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', Vanhoutte C. 🟨,
  • 15', 1 - 0, Edouard O. , Udol M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Vanhoutte C. , Kevin ,
  • 57', 2 - 0, Edouard O. , Udol M. (A),
  • 70', Peprah K. , Abdi A. ,
  • 70', Sanson M. , Ndombele T. ,
  • 70', Boudaoui H. , Abdul Samed S. ,
  • 70', Jansson I. , Gouveia T. ,
  • 78', Said W. , Sotoca F. ,
  • 78', Thauvin F. , Guilavogui M. ,
  • 83', Abdul Samed S. 🟨,
  • 86', Edouard O. , Fofana R. ,
  • 90+3', Thomasson A. , Bulatovic A. ,

Chances of winning


Lens
61.1%
Draw
21.2%
Nice
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.2% 22.9% 19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7% 22.3% 19.4%

Lens - Nice Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.56
(1.65)
4.49
(4.13)
5.38
(4.74)
5.2%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Lens - Nice?
  • Users Predictions: Lens will win (34 of 39 users predict this - 87.18%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.69%97.67%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lens will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lens won 0.
    • Lens is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Nice has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Lens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Lens is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Lens: Gradit J. (Thigh Injury) Jhoanner Chavez (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Boga J. (Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Dante (Injury) Louchet T. (Red Card) Moffi T. (Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury)
    • We predict that Lens will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Lens won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lens won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lens - Nice were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Nice - Lens 2:0
    28.09.2024 Lens - Nice 0:0
    16.03.2024 Lens - Nice 1:3
    20.12.2023 Nice - Lens 2:0
    01.02.2023 Lens - Nice 0:1
    Latest results of Lens
    06.12.2025 Nantes - Lens 1:2
    30.11.2025 Angers - Lens 1:2
    22.11.2025 Lens - Strasbourg 1:0
    08.11.2025 Monaco - Lens 1:4
    02.11.2025 Lens - Lorient 3:0
    Latest results of Nice
    11.12.2025 Nice - Braga 0:1
    07.12.2025 Nice - Angers 0:1
    30.11.2025 Lorient - Nice 3:1
    27.11.2025 Porto - Nice 3:0
    21.11.2025 Nice - Olympique Marseille 1:5
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens16121328:131537
    2PSG16113235:142136
    3Marseille16102436:152132
    4Lille16102433:201332
    5Lyon1683522:16627
    6Rennes1676327:24327
    7Strasbourg1672725:20523
    8Toulouse1665524:19523
    9Monaco1672726:27-123
    10Angers1664617:18-122
    11Brest1654721:27-619
    12Lorient1646619:28-918
    13Nice1652919:29-1017
    14Paris FC1644821:29-816
    15Le Havre1636713:22-915
    16Auxerre16331014:25-1112
    17Nantes1625914:28-1411
    18Metz16321117:37-2011

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2