Result
2:0
14/12/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 16
- Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Italy | Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258 |
 Mexico | Caliente TV, FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.80 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (346/419) | 86% (423/494) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (346/419) | 86% (423/494) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (23/49) | 55% (27/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (62/94) | 67% (66/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.02 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 47% (8/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.44 | -1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', Vanhoutte C. 🟨,
- 15', 1 - 0, Edouard O. ⚽, Udol M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Vanhoutte C. ↓, Kevin ↑,
- 57', 2 - 0, Edouard O. ⚽, Udol M. (A),
- 70', Peprah K. ↓, Abdi A. ↑,
- 70', Sanson M. ↓, Ndombele T. ↑,
- 70', Boudaoui H. ↓, Abdul Samed S. ↑,
- 70', Jansson I. ↓, Gouveia T. ↑,
- 78', Said W. ↓, Sotoca F. ↑,
- 78', Thauvin F. ↓, Guilavogui M. ↑,
- 83', Abdul Samed S. 🟨,
- 86', Edouard O. ↓, Fofana R. ↑,
- 90+3', Thomasson A. ↓, Bulatovic A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lens
61.1% | Draw
21.2% | Nice
17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Lens - Nice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.65) |
4.49 ↑
(4.13) |
5.38 ↑
(4.74) |
5.2%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Lens - Nice?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.25 - Lens (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Lens (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lens will win
(34 of 39 users predict this - 87.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.69% – 97.67%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lens will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Lens (votes: 18 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lens won 0.
- Lens is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Nice has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Lens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lens is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Lens: Gradit J.
(Thigh Injury)
Jhoanner Chavez
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M.
(Knee Injury)
Boga J.
(Injury)
Bombito M.
(Leg Injury)
Dante
(Injury)
Louchet T.
(Red Card)
Moffi T.
(Injury)
Ndayishimiye Y.
(Knee Injury)
- We predict that Lens will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Lens won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lens won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Lens won against Nice?
Lens has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nice won against Lens?
Nice has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lens - Nice were as follows:
08.02.2025
Nice
-
Lens
2:0
28.09.2024
Lens
-
Nice
0:0
16.03.2024
Lens
-
Nice
1:3
20.12.2023
Nice
-
Lens
2:0
01.02.2023
Lens
-
Nice
0:1
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 57 |
| 2 | Lens | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 45:21 | 24 | 53 |
| 3 | Lyon | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 39:26 | 13 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 51:33 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Lille | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 37:31 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Rennes | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38:35 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Monaco | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 35 |
| 9 | Brest | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 33 |
| 10 | Lorient | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33:28 | 5 | 31 |
| 12 | Angers | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 22:30 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
| 15 | Nice | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 30:44 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19:35 | -16 | 18 |
| 17 | Nantes | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
