Nice vs Montpellier – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
04/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Coupe de France - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDirecTV Sports
chinaChinaZhiBo8
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
italyItalyComo TV
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoTVC Deportes 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.721.35
Ball possession
65%35%
Total shots
2213
Shots on target
63
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
74
Passes
87% (537/616)77% (252/327)
Yellow cards
04
Expected goals (xG)
1.721.35
xG on target (xGOT)
2.291.10
Total shots
2213
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
74
Blocked shots
96
Shots inside the box
1110
Shots outside the box
113
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2822
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free kicks
1316
Passes
87% (537/616)77% (252/327)
Long passes
61% (27/44)49% (29/59)
Passes in final third
73% (132/180)59% (41/69)
Crosses
11% (4/35)45% (5/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.140.87
Throw ins
2514
Fouls
1613
Tackles
81% (17/21)77% (10/13)
Duels won
5252
Clearances
844
Interceptions
1317
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
23
xGOT faced
1.102.29
Goals prevented
0.10-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Peprah K. (Own goal),
  • 32', Mincarelli L. 🟨,
  • 44', Savanier T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Mantsounga B. , Sanson M. ,
  • 46', Peprah K. , Clauss J. ,
  • 46', Abdul Samed S. , Wahi E. ,
  • 64', El Hannach N. , Tchato E. ,
  • 64', Diallo Z. , Boudache K. ,
  • 64', Savanier T. , Issoufou Y. ,
  • 64', Jansson I. , Diop S. ,
  • 69', 0 - 2, Mendy A. ,
  • 72', 1 - 2, Boudache K. , Wahi E. (A),
  • 82', Omeragic B. , Chennahi T. ,
  • 89', 2 - 2, Mendy A. ,
  • 90+2', Junior Pereira da Silva E. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Laporte J. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 3 - 2, Diop S. , Clauss J. (A),

Chances of winning


Nice
53.3%
Draw
24.5%
Montpellier
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 23.2% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8% 22.4% 20.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Nice - Montpellier Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.68)
    3.83
    (4.03)
    4.32
    (4.43)
    5.8%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Nice - Montpellier?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Montpellier will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 42%87.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Nice (votes: 3 - 60%). Montpellier (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Montpellier (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Nice (votes: 3 - 50%). Montpellier (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Montpellier may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Nice is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nice won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:20. (average 1.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nice won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:6. (average 1.9:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nice - Montpellier were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Nice - Montpellier 2:0
    15.12.2024 Montpellier - Nice 2:2
    08.03.2024 Nice - Montpellier 1:2
    07.02.2024 Montpellier - Nice 1:4
    10.11.2023 Montpellier - Nice 0:0
    Latest results of Nice
    01.02.2026 Nice - Brest 2:2
    29.01.2026 Ludogorets Razgrad - Nice 1:0
    25.01.2026 Nantes - Nice 1:4
    22.01.2026 Nice - Go Ahead Eagles 3:1
    17.01.2026 Toulouse - Nice 5:1
    Latest results of Montpellier
    30.01.2026 Montpellier - Guingamp 3:1
    23.01.2026 Bastia - Montpellier 0:2
    16.01.2026 Boulogne - Montpellier 1:0
    11.01.2026 Metz - Montpellier 0:4
    05.01.2026 Montpellier - Dunkerque 1:3
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/128-finals
    1BrestBye
    3AvranchesParis 13 Atl.1 : 0
    4SA BeaumontAubervilliers4 : 7
    5StrasbourgBye
    7ES CappelleAbbeville2 : 3
    8BoulogneDunkerque2 : 3
    9Saint-JeanAngouleme CFC1 : 0
    10OrleansBayonne3 : 0
    11JA DrancyBeauvais0 : 1
    12Saint AmandDieppe0 : 3
    13AuxerreBye
    16ByeMonaco
    17Montreal-la-CluseChalon0 : 3
    18ASPTT DijonLe Puy-en-Velay0 : 1
    19FC 2 Rives 82Mazeres0 : 1
    20EBBEBordeaux0 : 1
    21IC CroixRacing CFF3 : 2
    22Etoile MatouryLe Geldar1 : 2
    23AvionTorcy0 : 2
    24OCPAMReims0 : 1
    25Etoile BobignyVilleneuve-la-Garenne1 : 2
    26IvryLe Mans1 : 2
    27Saint-MezieryPerigny1 : 2
    28MontmorillonBeaucouze0 : 1
    29CannesAnnecy1 : 2
    30Olympique de VillefontaineGrenoble0 : 3
    31SarregueminesFuriani Agliani5 : 3
    32GSA TomblaineNancy0 : 5
    33Seignosse CapbretonMarmande2 : 3
    34Bassin d'ArcachonBlagnac4 : 1
    35AndrezieuxHauts Lyonnais1 : 2
    36Savigneux MontbrisonFeurs3 : 5
    37LorientBye
    39MoulienAS Le Gosier2 : 3
    40OisselQuevilly Rouen3 : 2
    41PSGBye
    43FontenayChamalieres1 : 0
    44Biars-BretenouxChateauroux0 : 2
    45Paris FCBye
    47MutzigRaon L Etape0 : 3
    48MagentaMulhouse0 : 3
    49Les BleuetsConcarneau0 : 3
    50St. RenanStade Briochin0 : 4
    52ByeNantes
    53NiceBye
    55Nord LozereEcotay Moingt4 : 5
    56QuetignySt Etienne1 : 3
    57Strasbourg KoenigshoffenBiesheim2 : 3
    58ForbachRed Star0 : 2
    60ByeMetz
    61AuchCanet Roussillon1 : 4
    62LavaurRodez1 : 3
    63MontceauL'Etrat La Tour2 : 1
    64AgdeMontpellier0 : 2
    65Saint-Brice CourcellesBogny1 : 2
    66CamonLusitanos0 : 7
    68ByeLille
    69LyonBye
    71Saint-Cyr CollongesThonon-Evian1 : 0
    72FC RhoneGrasse2 : 1
    73SeyssinetAubagne1 : 0
    74SS AllingesIstres1 : 2
    75SA MerignacColomiers1 : 0
    76TrelissacPau FC0 : 2
    77Stade QuimperloisAncienne Chateau-Gontier0 : 9
    78St. Colomban LocmineGuingamp1 : 2
    79Le Cellier MauvesLaval0 : 6
    80Saint-PauloiseDominicaine1 : 0
    81EspoirEveil1 : 0
    82ChallansPontivy0 : 2
    83SableSaint-Malo0 : 1
    84US Chateau-MaloBastia0 : 6
    85Olympique MarcquoisAire-sur-la-Lys5 : 0
    86LonguenesseBondues0 : 2
    87TouraineEpernay2 : 1
    88AizenayTroyes0 : 3
    89Villars-l'IsleSarre Union1 : 2
    90PontarlierSochaux2 : 3
    91SteenvoordeChambly2 : 1
    92Loon PlageBethune1 : 2
    93LensBye
    95APM MetzFleury-Merogis3 : 2
    96CambraiFeignies-Aulnoye0 : 4
    97YvetotASPTT Caen2 : 1
    98BayeuxCaen3 : 2
    99Le PoinconnetRomorantin0 : 2
    100BloisClermont2 : 1
    101MarseilleBye
    103Mauguio CarnonSelongey0 : 1
    104Atlas PailladeBourg en Bresse0 : 2
    105CormontreuilPorto Portugais5 : 2
    106PremontreChantilly0 : 3
    107WittenheimFreyming2 : 3
    108BesanconThionville4 : 0
    109Pen HirLes Sables1 : 2
    110PlouvornVitre2 : 1
    112ByeRennes
    113PledranPlabennec0 : 2
    114OrvaultLes Herbiers1 : 3
    116ByeAngers
    117PierrelatteLyon - La Duchere0 : 2
    118Carnoux F.C.Pirae5 : 1
    120ByeToulouse
    121MontreuilBandrele1 : 0
    122GranvilleDinan3 : 1
    123Gouzon AvenirChauvigny1 : 5
    124LapalisseStade Poitevin1 : 2
    125Le HavreBye
    127Reims Ste AnneGFC Ajaccio2 : 1
    128AubyAmiens0 : 3

    1/64-finals
    1BrestBye
    2AvranchesAubervilliers2 : 1
    3StrasbourgBye
    4AbbevilleDunkerque0 : 5
    5Saint-JeanOrleans1 : 2
    6BeauvaisDieppe1 : 2
    7AuxerreBye
    8ByeMonaco
    9ChalonLe Puy-en-Velay0 : 1
    10MazeresBordeaux3 : 4
    11IC CroixLe Geldar2 : 1
    12TorcyReims1 : 5
    13Villeneuve-la-GarenneLe Mans2 : 3
    14PerignyBeaucouze3 : 1
    15AnnecyGrenoble1 : 2
    16SarregueminesNancy3 : 4
    17MarmandeBassin d'Arcachon0 : 1
    18Hauts LyonnaisFeurs2 : 1
    19LorientBye
    20AS Le GosierOissel3 : 2
    21PSGBye
    22FontenayChateauroux4 : 1
    23Paris FCBye
    24Raon L EtapeMulhouse3 : 2
    25ConcarneauStade Briochin1 : 0
    26ByeNantes
    27NiceBye
    28Ecotay MoingtSt Etienne1 : 11
    29BiesheimRed Star2 : 1
    30ByeMetz
    31Canet RoussillonRodez1 : 0
    32MontceauMontpellier0 : 2
    33BognyLusitanos0 : 3
    34ByeLille
    35LyonBye
    36Saint-Cyr CollongesFC Rhone1 : 0
    37SeyssinetIstres0 : 2
    38SA MerignacPau FC1 : 0
    39Ancienne Chateau-GontierGuingamp0 : 4
    40LavalSaint-Pauloise6 : 0
    41EspoirPontivy0 : 4
    42Saint-MaloBastia0 : 1
    43Olympique MarcquoisBondues2 : 0
    44TouraineTroyes0 : 2
    45Sarre UnionSochaux0 : 6
    46SteenvoordeBethune0 : 1
    47LensBye
    48APM MetzFeignies-Aulnoye0 : 2
    49YvetotBayeux0 : 1
    50RomorantinBlois2 : 3
    51MarseilleBye
    52SelongeyBourg en Bresse2 : 3
    53CormontreuilChantilly1 : 2
    54FreymingBesancon1 : 0
    55Les SablesPlouvorn2 : 1
    56ByeRennes
    57PlabennecLes Herbiers1 : 2
    58ByeAngers
    59Lyon - La DuchereCarnoux F.C.3 : 1
    60ByeToulouse
    61MontreuilGranville2 : 1
    62ChauvignyStade Poitevin4 : 3
    63Le HavreBye
    64Reims Ste AnneAmiens0 : 4

    1/32-finals
    1BrestAvranches1 : 2
    2StrasbourgDunkerque2 : 1
    3OrleansDieppe3 : 0
    4AuxerreMonaco1 : 2
    5Le Puy-en-VelayBordeaux1 : 0
    6IC CroixReims0 : 4
    7Le MansPerigny2 : 1
    8GrenobleNancy1 : 2
    9Bassin d'ArcachonHauts Lyonnais0 : 1
    10LorientAS Le Gosier7 : 0
    11PSGFontenay4 : 0
    12Paris FCRaon L Etape3 : 0
    13ConcarneauNantes3 : 5
    14NiceSt Etienne2 : 1
    15BiesheimMetz0 : 3
    16Canet RoussillonMontpellier0 : 1
    17LusitanosLille0 : 1
    18LyonSaint-Cyr Collonges3 : 0
    19IstresSA Merignac1 : 0
    20GuingampLaval0 : 1
    21PontivyBastia0 : 1
    22Olympique MarcquoisTroyes1 : 3
    23SochauxBethune4 : 2
    24LensFeignies-Aulnoye3 : 1
    25BayeuxBlois2 : 1
    26MarseilleBourg en Bresse6 : 0
    27ChantillyFreyming3 : 0
    28Les SablesRennes0 : 3
    29Les HerbiersAngers0 : 1
    30Lyon - La DuchereToulouse1 : 2
    31MontreuilChauvigny2 : 1
    32Le HavreAmiens0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1AvranchesStrasbourg0 : 6
    2OrleansMonaco1 : 3
    3Le Puy-en-VelayReims0 : 1
    4Le MansNancy1 : 0
    5Hauts LyonnaisLorient1 : 3
    6PSGParis FC0 : 1
    7NantesNice1 : 2
    8MetzMontpellier0 : 4
    9LilleLyon1 : 2
    10IstresLaval0 : 2
    11BastiaTroyes0 : 2
    12SochauxLens0 : 3
    13BayeuxMarseille0 : 9
    14ChantillyRennes1 : 3
    15AngersToulouse1 : 2
    16MontreuilAmiens2 : 4

    1/8-finals
    1StrasbourgMonaco3 : 1
    2ReimsLe Mans3 : 0
    3LorientParis FC2 : 0
    4NiceMontpellier3 : 2
    5LyonLaval2 : 0
    6TroyesLens2 : 4
    7MarseilleRennes3 : 0
    8ToulouseAmiens1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1StrasbourgReims2 : 1
    2LorientNice0 : 1
    3LyonLens2 : 3
    4MarseilleToulouse2 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1StrasbourgNice
    2LensToulouse