Nantes vs Nice – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
1:4
25/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 19
  • Referee: Ben El Hadj Salem H. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoFOX One, Fox Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.590.82
Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
207
Shots on target
54
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
42
Passes
75% (337/448)73% (271/371)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
1.590.82
xG on target (xGOT)
1.402.56
Total shots
207
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
113
Blocked shots
40
Shots inside the box
144
Shots outside the box
63
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
3415
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
03
Free kicks
1511
Passes
75% (337/448)73% (271/371)
Long passes
46% (24/52)37% (25/68)
Passes in final third
63% (111/176)52% (41/79)
Crosses
40% (14/35)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.920.37
Throw ins
2920
Fouls
1115
Tackles
68% (15/22)75% (18/24)
Duels won
6159
Clearances
1747
Interceptions
817
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
05
xGOT faced
2.561.40
Goals prevented
-1.440.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 9', Lepenant J. 🟨,
  • 16', 0 - 1, Cho M. ⚽, Clauss J. (A),
  • 17', Abdi A. 🟨,
  • 29', 0 - 2, Cho M. ⚽, Sanson M. (A),
  • 38', Abline M. 🟨,
  • 40', 0 - 3, Diop S. ⚽,
  • 45+2', 1 - 3, Mostafa Mohamed ⚽, Awaziem C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 52', Vanhoutte C. 🟨,
  • 70', Diop S. ↓, Gouveia T. ↑,
  • 70', Wahi E. ↓, Louchet T. ↑,
  • 81', Vanhoutte C. ↓, Dante ↑,
  • 81', Sissoko I. ↓, Deuff B. ↑,
  • 86', Sanson M. 🟨,
  • 87', Abline M. ↓, El Arabi Y. ↑,
  • 89', Cho M. ↓, Bernardeau G. ↑,
  • 89', Sanson M. ↓, Ndombele T. ↑,
  • 90+3', 1 - 4, Louchet T. ⚽, Ndombele T. (A),

Chances of winning


Nantes
34.5%		Draw
28.3%		Nice
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31% 27.7% 41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 27.2% 42.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+5%)
    •

    Nantes - Nice Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.76 ↓
    (3.05)    		 3.36 ↓
    (3.41)    		 2.55 ↑
    (2.29)    		 5.2%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Nantes - Nice?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 10 - 40%). Nice will win (votes: 5 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nantes: 20.8% – 59.2%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nantes (votes: 1 - 50%). Nice (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Nantes (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Nantes (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Nice (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Nantes (votes: 3 - 60%). Nice (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 2.
    • Nantes has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Nice is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Nice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Boga J. (Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Moffi T. (Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nantes: Centonze F. (Injury) Machado D. (Injury) Tabibou D. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Nice: Bard M. (Groin Injury) Bernardeau G. (Inactive) Boudaoui H. (Inactive) Coulibaly D. (Inactive) Dante (Inactive) Diop S. (Injury) Diouf Y. (Inactive) Mendy A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Nice were as follows:
    11.01.2026 Nantes - Nice 1:2
    13.09.2025 Nice - Nantes 1:0
    04.04.2025 Nice - Nantes 1:2
    20.10.2024 Nantes - Nice 1:1
    31.03.2024 Nice - Nantes 1:2
    Latest results of Nantes
    18.01.2026 Nantes - Paris FC 1:2 ✺
    11.01.2026 Nantes - Nice 1:2 ✺
    04.01.2026 Olympique Marseille - Nantes 0:2 ✺
    21.12.2025 Concarneau - Nantes 3:5 ✺
    12.12.2025 Angers - Nantes 4:1 ✺
    Latest results of Nice
    22.01.2026 Nice - Go Ahead Eagles 3:1 ✺
    17.01.2026 Toulouse - Nice 5:1 ✺
    11.01.2026 Nantes - Nice 1:2 ✺
    03.01.2026 Nice - Strasbourg 1:1 ✺
    21.12.2025 Nice - Saint-Étienne 2:1 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG27203461:233863
    2Lens28192754:272759
    3Lille29165849:341553
    4Marseille29164958:382052
    5Lyon29156843:291451
    6Rennes29148749:41850
    7Monaco291541050:43749
    8Strasbourg28127946:341243
    9Lorient29911938:44-638
    10Toulouse291071239:39037
    11Brest281061237:43-636
    12Paris FC298111037:45-835
    13Angers29961425:39-1433
    14Le Havre296111224:37-1329
    15Nice29771534:56-2228
    16Auxerre29591523:37-1424
    17Nantes28471724:45-2119
    18Metz29362026:63-3715

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