Nice vs Olympique Marseille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Nice - Olympique Marseille
Result
2:0
26/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 19
  • Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, VOOsport World 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3, Moja TV
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport+
franceFranceDAZN 1, DAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
israelIsrael5 LIVE Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainbeIN Sports
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.130.84
Ball Possession
29%71%
Goal Attempts
1418
Shots on Goal
56
Shots off Goal
64
Blocked Shots
38
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
612
Shots inside the Box
1110
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
Free Kicks
912
Offsides
20
Fouls
129
Yellow Cards
11
Throw-ins
718
Touches in the Opposition Box
1834
Passes
76% (214/280)89% (612/686)
Passes in the final third
61% (42/69)81% (166/204)
Crosses
29% (4/14)28% (9/32)
Tackles
58% (15/26)76% (16/21)
Clearances Total
3017
Interceptions
1814

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Guessand E. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', 2 - 0, Cho M. , Guessand E. (A),
  • 61', Maupay N. , Vaz R. ,
  • 61', Brassier L. , Lirola P. ,
  • 61', Rongier V. , Rowe J. ,
  • 66', Abdi A. , Bombito M. ,
  • 73', Ndayishimiye Y. 🟨,
  • 75', Luis Henrique , Nadir B. ,
  • 81', Cho M. , Bouanani B. ,
  • 88', Laborde G. , Louchet T. ,
  • 88', Santamaria B. , Ndombele T. ,
  • 89', Bakola D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nice
35.7%
Draw
28.2%
Olympique Marseille
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.6% 27% 41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3% 29.1% 44.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olympique Marseille might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nice that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olympique Marseille could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Nice - Olympique Marseille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (3.01)
    3.38
    (3.53)
    2.64
    (2.3)
    4.6%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS
  • What is the prediction for Nice - Olympique Marseille?
  • Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 17 - 33.3%). Marseille will win (votes: 18 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 31.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 22.2%48.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Nice won 2.
    • Recent matches Nice is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Marseille is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Nice could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Nice have a series of guest games.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Nice: Boga J. (Muscle Injury) Bombito M. (Groin Injury) Diop S. (Yellow Cards) Moffi T. (Knee Injury) Orakpo V. (Groin Injury) Sanson M. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Marseille: Blanco R. (Ankle Injury) Carboni V. (Knee Injury) Harit A. (Calf Injury) Kondogbia G. (Calf Injury) Moumbagna F. (Knee Injury) Rongier V. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Nice won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 27:30 (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nice won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:15 (average 1.6:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nice - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Olympique Marseille - Nice 2:0
    24.04.2024 Olympique Marseille - Nice 2:2
    21.10.2023 Nice - Olympique Marseille 1:0
    05.02.2023 Olympique Marseille - Nice 1:3
    28.08.2022 Nice - Olympique Marseille 0:3
    Latest results of Nice
    23.01.2025 Elfsborg - Nice 1:0
    17.01.2025 Lille - Nice 2:1
    14.01.2025 Bastia - Nice 0:1
    11.01.2025 Reims - Nice 2:4
    03.01.2025 Nice - Rennes 3:2
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2