Result
2:0
26/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 19
- Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1, VOOsport World 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3, Moja TV |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport+ |
 France | DAZN 1, DAZN France |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 India | GXR World |
 Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | beIN Sports |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.84 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 29% | 71% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 18 | 34 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (214/280) | 89% (612/686) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 61% (42/69) | 81% (166/204) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 28% (9/32) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (15/26) | 76% (16/21) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 30 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Guessand E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', 2 - 0, Cho M. ⚽, Guessand E. (A),
- 61', Maupay N. ↓, Vaz R. ↑,
- 61', Brassier L. ↓, Lirola P. ↑,
- 61', Rongier V. ↓, Rowe J. ↑,
- 66', Abdi A. ↓, Bombito M. ↑,
- 73', Ndayishimiye Y. 🟨,
- 75', Luis Henrique ↓, Nadir B. ↑,
- 81', Cho M. ↓, Bouanani B. ↑,
- 88', Laborde G. ↓, Louchet T. ↑,
- 88', Santamaria B. ↓, Ndombele T. ↑,
- 89', Bakola D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nice
35.7% | Draw
28.2% | Olympique Marseille
36.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olympique Marseille might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nice that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olympique Marseille could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nice - Olympique Marseille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↓
(3.01) |
3.38 ↓
(3.53) |
2.64 ↑
(2.3) |
4.6%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS
What is the prediction for Nice - Olympique Marseille?
Users Predictions:
51 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 17 - 33.3%). Marseille will win (votes: 18 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 31.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 22.2% – 48.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Nice won 2.
- Recent matches Nice is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Marseille is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Nice could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Nice have a series of guest games.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Nice: Boga J.
(Muscle Injury)
Bombito M.
(Groin Injury)
Diop S.
(Yellow Cards)
Moffi T.
(Knee Injury)
Orakpo V.
(Groin Injury)
Sanson M.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Marseille: Blanco R.
(Ankle Injury)
Carboni V.
(Knee Injury)
Harit A.
(Calf Injury)
Kondogbia G.
(Calf Injury)
Moumbagna F.
(Knee Injury)
Rongier V.
(Thigh Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Nice won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 27:30 (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Nice won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:15 (average 1.6:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Nice won against Olympique Marseille?
Nice has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Nice?
Olympique Marseille has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nice - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
14.09.2024
Olympique Marseille
-
Nice
2:0
24.04.2024
Olympique Marseille
-
Nice
2:2
21.10.2023
Nice
-
Olympique Marseille
1:0
05.02.2023
Olympique Marseille
-
Nice
1:3
28.08.2022
Nice
-
Olympique Marseille
0:3
Latest results of Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Nice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Toulouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Rennes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Auxerre | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Brest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Metz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Nantes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Lens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Le Havre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Paris FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
