Result
30/04/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 France | Amazon Prime Video |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
 United-kingdom | BT Sport |
Chances of winning
Troyes
19.5% | Draw
24.3% | Nice
56.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Troyes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-13.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Troyes - Nice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.89 ↑
(4.69) |
3.94 ↑
(3.76) |
1.7 ↓
(1.73) |
4.7%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Troyes - Nice?
Users Predictions:
41 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 4 - 9.8%). Nice will win (votes: 32 - 78%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 65.3% – 90.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 10).
- Troyes has the most likely position - 18 (60.93%), project points - 27, currently - 22, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- Nice has the most likely position - 9 (25.92%), project points - 54, currently - 45, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 51, very small importance 1, small match rating 26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Troyes won 2.
- Troyes is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Nice has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Troyes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Nice is a favorite.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Troyes won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-16.
- Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.
How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Nice?
Troyes has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nice won against Troyes?
Nice has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Nice were as follows:
09.10.2022
Nice
-
Troyes
3:2
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Toulouse | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Strasbourg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Lille | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Lorient | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Monaco | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Nice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Lens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Auxerre | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Rennes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 3 |
| 14 | Brest | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Nantes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
| 17 | Paris FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Metz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
