Troyes vs Nice – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Troyes - Nice
30/04/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBT Sport

Chances of winning


Troyes
19.5%
Draw
24.3%
Nice
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.1% 25.1% 54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9% 19.5% 42.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Troyes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-13.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Troyes - Nice Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.89
    (4.69)
    3.94
    (3.76)
    1.7
    (1.73)
    4.7%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Troyes - Nice?
  • Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 4 - 9.8%). Nice will win (votes: 32 - 78%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 65.3%90.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 10).
    • Troyes has the most likely position - 18 (60.93%), project points - 27, currently - 22, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
    • Nice has the most likely position - 9 (25.92%), project points - 54, currently - 45, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for ucl.
    • This event has quality 51, very small importance 1, small match rating 26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Troyes won 2.
    • Troyes is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Nice has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Troyes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Nice is a favorite.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Troyes won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-16.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Nice were as follows:
    09.10.2022 Nice - Troyes 3:2
    Latest results of Troyes
    23.04.2023 Nantes - Troyes 2:2
    09.04.2023 Troyes - Clermont 0:2
    01.04.2023 Auxerre - Troyes 1:0
    19.03.2023 Troyes - Brest 2:2
    Latest results of Nice
    23.04.2023 Nice - Clermont 1:2
    20.04.2023 Nice - Basel 1:2
    16.04.2023 Brest - Nice 1:0
    13.04.2023 Basel - Nice 2:2
    08.04.2023 Nice - Paris Saint-Germain 0:2
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

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