Result
30/04/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 France | Amazon Prime Video |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
 United-kingdom | BT Sport |
Chances of winning
Troyes
19.5% | Draw
24.3% | Nice
56.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Troyes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-13.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Troyes - Nice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.89 ↑
(4.69) |
3.94 ↑
(3.76) |
1.7 ↓
(1.73) |
4.7%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Troyes - Nice?
Users Predictions:
41 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 4 - 9.8%). Nice will win (votes: 32 - 78%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 65.3% – 90.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 10).
- Troyes has the most likely position - 18 (60.93%), project points - 27, currently - 22, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- Nice has the most likely position - 9 (25.92%), project points - 54, currently - 45, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 51, very small importance 1, small match rating 26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Troyes won 2.
- Troyes is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Nice has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Troyes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Nice is a favorite.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Troyes won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-16.
- Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.
How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Nice?
Troyes has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nice won against Troyes?
Nice has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Nice were as follows:
09.10.2022
Nice
-
Troyes
3:2
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG ✔ | 30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 68:25 | 43 | 69 |
| 2 | Lens | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 63 |
| 3 | Lyon | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 48:32 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Lille | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 50:34 | 16 | 57 |
| 5 | Rennes | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 54:42 | 12 | 56 |
| 6 | Marseille | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 59:41 | 18 | 53 |
| 7 | Monaco | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 54:47 | 7 | 51 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 49:39 | 10 | 46 |
| 9 | Lorient | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 42:47 | -5 | 41 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 43:44 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 | Brest | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 38 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 40:47 | -7 | 38 |
| 13 | Angers | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 34 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 31 |
| 15 | Nice | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35:57 | -22 | 30 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 27:42 | -15 | 25 |
| 17 | Nantes | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 26:51 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | Metz | 31 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 31:70 | -39 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
