Nicolas Jarry vs Nerman Fatic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
10/04/2026 at 11:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
61
Double Faults
13
1st serve percentage
78%63%
1st serve points won
86% (31/36)64% (21/33)
2nd serve points won
50% (5/10)37% (7/19)
Break Points Saved
0/01/4
1st return points won
36% (12/33)14% (5/36)
2nd return points won
63% (12/19)50% (5/10)
Break Points Converted
3/40/0
Winners
259
Unforced errors
1618
Net points won
88% (7/8)43% (3/7)
Service Points Won
78% (36/46)53% (27/51)
Return Points Won
47% (24/51)22% (10/46)
Total Points Won
62% (60/97)38% (37/97)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
100% (9/9)63% (5/8)
Return games won
38% (3/8)0% (0/9)
Total games won
71% (12/17)29% (5/17)

Chances of winning


Nicolas Jarry
70%
Nerman Fatic
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.3% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2% 27.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Nerman Fatic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nerman Fatic than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Nicolas Jarry - Nerman Fatic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.33)

    3.12
    (3)
    6.5%
    (8.5%)
    What is the prediction for Nicolas Jarry - Nerman Fatic?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Jarry will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Fatic will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jarry (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Jarry is ranked ATP: 156. Fatic is ranked ATP: 249.
    • Jarry has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Fatic is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Fatic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Jarry is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Nicolas Jarry
    Latest results of Nerman Fatic