Niels McDonald vs Ergi Kirkin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
01/04/2026 at 07:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 balls
37

Chances of winning


Niels McDonald
42.9%
Ergi Kirkin
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48% 52%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Niels McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Ergi Kirkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niels McDonald than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Niels McDonald, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ergi Kirkin than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ergi Kirkin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Niels McDonald - Ergi Kirkin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.16)

    1.63
    (1.59)
    7.3%
    (9.2%)
    Preview Facts
    • McDonald is ranked ATP: 1034. Kirkin is ranked ATP: 581.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Kirkin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Kirkin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Niels McDonald
    Latest results of Ergi Kirkin