Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Daniel Merida Aguilar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
07/05/2026 at 05:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/64-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 11

Match Stats

Aces
71
Double Faults
63
1st serve percentage
53%64%
1st serve points won
72% (34/47)62% (42/68)
2nd serve points won
41% (17/41)37% (14/38)
Break Points Saved
4/89/14
1st return points won
38% (26/68)30% (14/47)
2nd return points won
63% (24/38)59% (24/41)
Break Points Converted
5/144/8
Winners
4415
Unforced errors
4730
Net points won
67% (8/12)67% (2/3)
Service Points Won
58% (51/88)53% (56/105)
Return Points Won
47% (49/105)42% (37/88)
Total Points Won
52% (100/193)48% (93/193)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
00
Service games won
69% (9/13)64% (9/14)
Return games won
36% (5/14)31% (4/13)
Total games won
52% (14/27)48% (13/27)

Chances of winning


Nikoloz Basilashvili
41.1%
Daniel Merida Aguilar
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 59.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nikoloz Basilashvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Nikoloz Basilashvili - Daniel Merida Aguilar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.3)

    1.62
    (1.62)
    4.6%
    (5.2%)
    What is the prediction for Nikoloz Basilashvili - Daniel Merida Aguilar?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Basilashvili will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Merida Aguilar (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 117. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 86.
    • Basilashvili has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Merida Aguilar is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Basilashvili may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Merida Aguilar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Merida Aguilar will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Nikoloz Basilashvili
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Ofner S.Michelsen A.
    3Popyrin A.Berrettini M.2 : 0
    4ByeMensik J. (26)
    5Tiafoe F. (20)Bye
    6Sonego L.Buse I.
    7Pellegrino A. (Q)Nardi L. (WC)
    8ByeFils A. (15)
    9Rublev A. (12)Bye
    10Svrcina D. (Q)Kecmanovic M.0 : 2
    11Garin C. (Q)Cerundolo J. M.
    12ByeDavidovich Fokina A. (21)
    13Nakashima B. (30)Bye
    14Bautista-Agut R.Maestrelli F. (WC)
    15Basilashvili N. (Q)Merida Aguilar D. (Q)2 : 1
    16ByeShelton B. (5)
    17Auger-Aliassime F. (4)Bye
    18Shapovalov D.Navone M.
    19Medjedovic H.Royer V.
    20ByeFonseca J. (27)
    21Etcheverry T. M. (24)Bye
    22Burruchaga R. A.Bellucci M.
    23Giron M.Cilic M.
    24ByeVacherot V. (14)
    25Cobolli F. (10)Bye
    26Bergs Z.Atmane T.0 : 2
    27Tirante T. A.Cadenasso G. (WC)
    28ByeNorrie C. (17)
    29Moutet C. (28)Bye
    30Quinn E.Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)
    31Tsitsipas S.Machac T.
    32ByeMedvedev D. (7)
    33Musetti L. (8)Bye
    34Fearnley J. (Q)Mpetshi Perricard G.
    35Carreno-Busta P. (Q)Tabilo A.0 : 2
    36ByeCerundolo F. (25)
    37Ruud C. (23)Bye
    38Trungelliti M.Svajda Z.1 : 2
    39Struff J-L.Comesana F. (Q)2 : 0
    40ByeLehecka J. (11)
    41Khachanov K. (13)Bye
    42Ugo Carabelli C.Shevchenko A.1 : 2
    43Muller A.Van De Zandschulp B.0 : 2
    44ByeKovacevic A. (LL)
    45Humbert U. (31)Bye
    46Marozsan F.Kopriva V.0 : 2
    47Fucsovics M.Prizmic D. (Q)
    48ByeDjokovic N. (3)
    49De Minaur A. (6)Bye
    50Arnaldi M. (WC)Munar J.2 : 1
    51De Jong J. (Q)Borges N.0 : 2
    52ByeJodar R. (32)
    53Tien L. (19)Bye
    54Dzumhur D.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    55Brooksby J.Baez S.0 : 2
    56ByeBublik A. (9)
    57Paul T. (16)Bye
    58Vukic A.Kypson P. (Q)2 : 1
    59Hurkacz H.Hanfmann Y.1 : 2
    60ByeDarderi L. (18)
    61Griekspoor T. (29)Bye
    62Cina F. (WC)Blockx A.
    63Zhang Z. (PR)Altmaier D.1 : 2
    64ByeZverev A. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)TBD #2
    2Popyrin A.Mensik J. (26)
    3Tiafoe F. (20)TBD #6
    4TBD #7Fils A. (15)
    5Rublev A. (12)Kecmanovic M.
    6TBD #11Davidovich Fokina A. (21)
    7Nakashima B. (30)TBD #14
    8Basilashvili N.Shelton B. (5)
    9Auger-Aliassime F. (4)TBD #18
    10TBD #19Fonseca J. (27)
    11Etcheverry T. M. (24)TBD #22
    12TBD #23Vacherot V. (14)
    13Cobolli F. (10)Atmane T.
    14TBD #27Norrie C. (17)
    15Moutet C. (28)TBD #30
    16TBD #31Medvedev D. (7)
    17Musetti L. (8)TBD #34
    18Tabilo A.Cerundolo F. (25)
    19Ruud C. (23)Svajda Z.
    20Struff J-L.Lehecka J. (11)
    21Khachanov K. (13)Shevchenko A.
    22Van De Zandschulp B.Kovacevic A.
    23Humbert U. (31)Kopriva V.
    24TBD #47Djokovic N. (3)
    25De Minaur A. (6)Arnaldi M.
    26Borges N.Jodar R. (32)
    27Tien L. (19)Dzumhur D.
    28Baez S.Bublik A. (9)
    29Paul T. (16)Vukic A.
    30Hanfmann Y.Darderi L. (18)
    31Griekspoor T. (29)TBD #62
    32Altmaier D.Zverev A. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2