NJ NY Gotham vs San Diego Wave: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

16/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Red Bull Arena (Harrison, NJ).

: NWSL Women
Referee: Snyder T. (Usa)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.59	0.30
Ball Possession
38%	62%
Total shots
10	6
Shots on target
2	2
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
2	4
Passes
78% (232/297)	87% (427/492)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.59	0.30
xG on target (xGOT)
0.58	0.66
Total shots
10	6
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
7	2
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
4	4
Shots outside the Box
6	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
2	4
Touches in opposition box
15	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
8	11
Passes
78% (232/297)	87% (427/492)
Long passes
39% (11/28)	55% (23/42)
Passes in final third
63% (52/82)	80% (89/111)
Crosses
33% (5/15)	0% (0/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.38	0.38
Throw-ins
22	19
Fouls
11	8
Tackles
57% (16/28)	65% (13/20)
Duels won
49	44
Clearances
24	10
Interceptions
6	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.66	0.58
Goals prevented
-0.34	0.58

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Dali K. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Ascanio K. ⚽, Morroni P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Reale L. ↓, Torres T. ↑,
62', Leon A. ↓, Carusa K. ↑,
65', Freeman M. ↓, Bruninha ↑,
74', Carter J. ↓, Schupansky S. ↑,
74', Purce M. ↓, Harper K. ↑,
75', Geyse ↓, Nyamekye S. ↑,
78', Corley G. 🟨,
85', Ascanio K. ↓, Barcenas M. ↑,
90', Corley G. ↓, Robbe M. ↑,
90+2', Harper K. 🟨,

Chances of winning

NJ NY Gotham
47%

Draw
27.5%

San Diego Wave
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

27.2%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

28.1%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NJ NY Gotham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in NJ NY Gotham's performance.

San Diego Wave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Diego Wave might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NJ NY Gotham than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with NJ NY Gotham that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Wave than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Diego Wave could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

NJ NY Gotham - San Diego Wave Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.28)	3.36 (3.36)	3.63 ↑ (2.79)	8.1% (9.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gotham won 1.
Recent performances by Gotham have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
San Diego Wave is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Gotham has had a series of away games.
In this match, Gotham is a strong favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gotham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.6:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Gotham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has NJ NY Gotham won against San Diego Wave?

NJ NY Gotham has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has San Diego Wave won against NJ NY Gotham?

San Diego Wave has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between NJ NY Gotham - San Diego Wave were as follows:

19.06.2024 NJ NY Gotham - San Diego Wave 2:1

12.05.2024 San Diego Wave - NJ NY Gotham 1:1

15.03.2024 NJ NY Gotham - San Diego Wave 0:1

19.08.2023 San Diego Wave - NJ NY Gotham 2:1

04.06.2023 NJ NY Gotham - San Diego Wave 0:1

Latest results of NJ NY Gotham

09.05.2025 Racing Louisville - NJ NY Gotham 1:0 ✺

04.05.2025 NJ NY Gotham - Chicago Stars 0:0 ✺

26.04.2025 Washington Spirit - NJ NY Gotham 0:3 ✺

22.04.2025 Portland Thorns - NJ NY Gotham 4:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Angel City - NJ NY Gotham 0:4 ✺

Latest results of San Diego Wave

10.05.2025 San Diego Wave - Portland Thorns 1:1 ✺

04.05.2025 San Diego Wave - Bay FC 2:1 ✺

26.04.2025 Chicago Stars - San Diego Wave 0:3 ✺

19.04.2025 Racing Louisville - San Diego Wave 1:4 ✺

12.04.2025 San Diego Wave - Kansas City Current 0:2 ✺

NWSL Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kansas City Current W	13	11	0	2	29:10	19	33
2	Orlando Pride W	13	8	1	4	20:10	10	25
3	San Diego Wave W	13	7	3	3	25:16	9	24
4	Washington Spirit W	13	7	2	4	21:19	2	23
5	Portland Thorns W	13	6	4	3	19:12	7	22
6	Seattle Reign W	13	6	3	4	17:13	4	21
7	Racing Louisville W	13	6	2	5	19:22	-3	20
8	Gotham W	13	5	3	5	18:13	5	18
9	North Carolina Courage W	13	5	3	5	18:20	-2	18
10	Bay FC W	13	4	3	6	14:17	-3	15
11	Angel City W	13	4	3	6	20:24	-4	15
12	Houston Dash W	13	3	2	8	13:22	-9	11
13	Chicago W	13	1	3	9	10:27	-17	6
14	Utah Royals W	13	1	2	10	11:29	-18	5

Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of NJ NY Gotham - San Diego Wave?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Australia	Optus Sport
Netherlands	ESPN 4
Portugal	Canal 11
Usa	MSG, NWSL+ app