Result
03/05/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
San Diego Wave
64.8% | Draw
20.9% | Bay FC
14.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Diego Wave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Diego Wave's performance.Bay FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Wave than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bay FC than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
San Diego Wave - Bay FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↓
(1.52) |
4.35 ↑
(3.93) |
6.34 ↑
(5.1) |
10.1%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
- San Diego Wave is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Bay has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- San Diego Wave may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, San Diego Wave is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that San Diego Wave will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Diego Wave won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Diego Wave won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has San Diego Wave won against Bay FC?
San Diego Wave has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bay FC won against San Diego Wave?
Bay FC has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Diego Wave - Bay FC were as follows:
16.08.2025
Bay FC
-
San Diego Wave
1:2
04.05.2025
San Diego Wave
-
Bay FC
2:1
20.07.2024
San Diego Wave
-
Bay FC
3:1
17.05.2024
Bay FC
-
San Diego Wave
2:1
27.04.2024
San Diego Wave
-
Bay FC
2:1
Latest results of San Diego Wave
NWSL Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portland Thorns W | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | Washington Spirit W | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | San Diego Wave W | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Gotham W | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Seattle Reign W | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Houston Dash W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Utah Royals W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Angel City W | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 9 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Kansas City Current W | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 9 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Denver Summit W | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 | Bay FC W | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Chicago W | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 6 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Boston Legacy W | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
