NLEX Road Warriors vs San Miguel Beermen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
94:101
19/04/2026 at 05:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PBA Commissioner's Cup

Official Live

Chances of winning


NLEX Road Warriors
25.1%
San Miguel Beermen
74.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.4% 56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 57.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • NLEX Road Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that NLEX Road Warriors's form might have worsened.
  • San Miguel Beermen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Miguel Beermen's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for NLEX Road Warriors than the current prediction. (+17.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for NLEX Road Warriors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel Beermen than the current prediction. (-17.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Miguel Beermen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • NLEX Road Warriors - San Miguel Beermen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.7
    (2.2)

    1.24
    (1.69)
    7.7%
    (4.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 209.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)
    What is the prediction for NLEX Road Warriors - San Miguel Beermen?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Road Warriors will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). San Miguel Beermen will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 101:109.
  • Preview Facts
    • San Miguel Beermen wins series 2-0. First leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Road Warriors won 2.
    • Road Warriors is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, San Miguel Beermen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Road Warriors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • We predict that Road Warriors will win today's game, with odds of 2.14.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Road Warriors won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 2097:2175. (average 104.9:108.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Road Warriors won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1290:1321. (average 107.5:110.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between NLEX Road Warriors - San Miguel Beermen were as follows:
    25.12.2025 NLEX Road Warriors - San Miguel Beermen 94:101
    08.10.2025 San Miguel Beermen - NLEX Road Warriors 84:85
    05.04.2025 NLEX Road Warriors - San Miguel Beermen 89:98
    08.12.2024 NLEX Road Warriors - San Miguel Beermen 104:99
    11.09.2024 NLEX Road Warriors - San Miguel Beermen 114:119
    Latest results of NLEX Road Warriors
    Philippines - Commissioners Cup Table
    2026
    PlWLPCT
    1Rain or Shine Elasto Painters9811022:9240.889
    2NLEX Road Warriors972930:8850.778
    3Barangay Ginebra San Miguel972949:8920.778
    4TNT Tropang 5G963944:8950.667
    5Meralco Bolts853840:8110.625
    6Phoenix Fuelmasters954942:9220.556
    7San Miguel Beermen10551036:10600.500
    8Magnolia Hotshots945897:8660.444
    9Converge FiberXers10461017:10190.400
    10Terrafirma Dyip936891:9190.333
    11Titan Ultra Giant Risers927872:9870.222
    12Macau Black Bears10281060:11250.200
    13Blackwater Bossing10281014:11090.200

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