Noah Yerevan vs Legia Warsaw – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Result
2:1
11/12/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Sariev B. (Kaz)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
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australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
chinaChinaZhiBo8
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 15
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 16
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.322.05
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
2111
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
83% (453/545)68% (210/307)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.322.05
xG on target (xGOT)
0.961.17
Total shots
2111
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
92
Shots inside the Box
128
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2818
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1511
Passes
83% (453/545)68% (210/307)
Long passes
48% (31/65)25% (15/60)
Passes in final third
68% (91/133)49% (54/110)
Crosses
22% (6/27)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.990.59
Throw-ins
2613
Fouls
1115
Tackles
57% (8/14)67% (6/9)
Duels won
4348
Clearances
3129
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.170.96
Goals prevented
0.17-1.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Rajovic M. ⚽,
  • 37', Matheus Aias 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 57', 1 - 1, Matheus Aias ⚽, Mulahusejnovic N. (A),
  • 72', Urbanski K. ↓, Kapustka B. ↑,
  • 72', Vinagre R. ↓, Chodyna K. ↑,
  • 72', Jakolis M. ↓, Grgic A. ↑,
  • 72', Matheus Aias ↓, Sangare G. ↑,
  • 77', Goncalves C. ↓, Augustyniak R. ↑,
  • 79', Szymanski D. 🟨,
  • 82', Krasniqi E. ↓, Bichakhchyan V. ↑,
  • 82', Rajovic M. ↓, Colak A. ↑,
  • 84', 2 - 1, Mulahusejnovic N. ⚽,
  • 88', Saintini N. ↓, Muradyan S. ↑,
  • 90+2', Thorarinsson G. ↓, Eteki Y. ↑,

Chances of winning


Noah Yerevan
30.4%		Draw
28.4%		Legia Warsaw
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.4% 28.2% 38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7% 27.6% 39.2%

Noah Yerevan - Legia Warsaw Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 3.1 ↑
(2.78)		 3.35 ↑
(3.29)		 2.3 ↓
(2.41)		 5.6%
(7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Noah Yerevan - Legia Warsaw?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Noah will win (votes: 9 - 31%). Legia will win (votes: 12 - 41.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 27.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 23.5% – 59.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Noah (votes: 1 - 25%). Legia (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Noah: Gregorio G. (Knee Injury) Zolotic N. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Legia: Elitim J. (Injury) Nsame J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Noah: Harutyunyan H. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Legia: Pankov R. (Inactive)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Noah Yerevan
    06.12.2025 Noah Yerevan - BKMA Yerevan 2:3
    02.12.2025 Van - Noah Yerevan 0:0 ✺
    27.11.2025 Aberdeen - Noah Yerevan 1:1 ✺
    22.11.2025 Noah Yerevan - Alashkert 2:2
    06.11.2025 Noah Yerevan - Sigma Olomouc 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    06.12.2025 Piast Gliwice - Legia Warsaw 2:0 ✺
    01.12.2025 Motor Lublin - Legia Warsaw 1:1 ✺
    27.11.2025 Legia Warsaw - Sparta Prague 0:1 ✺
    22.11.2025 Legia Warsaw - Lechia Gdańsk 2:2 ✺
    09.11.2025 Legia Warsaw - Termalica Nieciecza 1:2 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Strasbourg ✔ 54108:4413
    2Shakhtar Donetsk540110:5512
    3Rakow53208:2611
    4AEK Athens531111:5610
    5Samsunspor531110:4610
    6Sparta Prague53117:3410
    7Rayo Vallecano531110:7310
    8Mainz53115:3210
    9Crystal Palace53029:459
    10AEK Larnaca52306:159
    11Fiorentina53028:449
    12Celje53028:719
    13AZ Alkmaar53027:709
    14Rijeka52215:238
    15Omonia52215:328
    16Lausanne52215:328
    17Noah52216:518
    18Jagiellonia52215:418
    19Drita52214:5-18
    20Lech Poznan521210:737
    21Shkendija52124:407
    22Sigma Olomouc52126:7-17
    23Univ. Craiova52124:5-17
    24Lincoln Red Imps52126:11-57
    25KuPS51314:316
    26Zrinjski52037:9-26
    27Breidablik51225:8-35
    28Dyn. Kyiv51047:9-23
    29Hacken50325:7-23
    30Legia51044:7-33
    31Slovan Bratislava51044:9-53
    32Hamrun51043:8-53
    33Aberdeen50233:11-82
    34Shelbourne50140:7-71
    35Shamrock Rovers50144:12-81
    36SK Rapid50052:13-110

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Strasbourg is Qualified for Conference League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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