Noah Yerevan vs Legia Warsaw – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Result
2:1
11/12/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Sariev B. (Kaz)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
chinaChinaZhiBo8
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 15
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 16
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.322.05
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
2111
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
83% (453/545)68% (210/307)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.322.05
xG on target (xGOT)
0.961.17
Total shots
2111
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
92
Shots inside the Box
128
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2818
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1511
Passes
83% (453/545)68% (210/307)
Long passes
48% (31/65)25% (15/60)
Passes in final third
68% (91/133)49% (54/110)
Crosses
22% (6/27)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.990.59
Throw-ins
2613
Fouls
1115
Tackles
57% (8/14)67% (6/9)
Duels won
4348
Clearances
3129
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.170.96
Goals prevented
0.17-1.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Rajovic M. ⚽,
  • 37', Matheus Aias 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 57', 1 - 1, Matheus Aias ⚽, Mulahusejnovic N. (A),
  • 72', Urbanski K. ↓, Kapustka B. ↑,
  • 72', Vinagre R. ↓, Chodyna K. ↑,
  • 72', Jakolis M. ↓, Grgic A. ↑,
  • 72', Matheus Aias ↓, Sangare G. ↑,
  • 77', Goncalves C. ↓, Augustyniak R. ↑,
  • 79', Szymanski D. 🟨,
  • 82', Krasniqi E. ↓, Bichakhchyan V. ↑,
  • 82', Rajovic M. ↓, Colak A. ↑,
  • 84', 2 - 1, Mulahusejnovic N. ⚽,
  • 88', Saintini N. ↓, Muradyan S. ↑,
  • 90+2', Thorarinsson G. ↓, Eteki Y. ↑,

Chances of winning


Noah Yerevan
30.4%		Draw
28.4%		Legia Warsaw
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.4% 28.2% 38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7% 27.6% 39.2%

Noah Yerevan - Legia Warsaw Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 3.1 ↑
(2.78)		 3.35 ↑
(3.29)		 2.3 ↓
(2.41)		 5.6%
(7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Noah Yerevan - Legia Warsaw?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Noah will win (votes: 9 - 31%). Legia will win (votes: 12 - 41.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 27.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 23.5% – 59.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Noah (votes: 1 - 25%). Legia (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Noah: Gregorio G. (Knee Injury) Zolotic N. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Legia: Elitim J. (Injury) Nsame J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Noah: Harutyunyan H. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Legia: Pankov R. (Inactive)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Noah Yerevan
    06.12.2025 Noah Yerevan - BKMA Yerevan 2:3
    02.12.2025 Van - Noah Yerevan 0:0 ✺
    27.11.2025 Aberdeen - Noah Yerevan 1:1 ✺
    22.11.2025 Noah Yerevan - Alashkert 2:2
    06.11.2025 Noah Yerevan - Sigma Olomouc 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    06.12.2025 Piast Gliwice - Legia Warsaw 2:0 ✺
    01.12.2025 Motor Lublin - Legia Warsaw 1:1 ✺
    27.11.2025 Legia Warsaw - Sparta Prague 0:1 ✺
    22.11.2025 Legia Warsaw - Lechia Gdańsk 2:2 ✺
    09.11.2025 Legia Warsaw - Termalica Nieciecza 1:2 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Strasbourg651011:5616
    2Rakow64209:2714
    3AEK Athens641114:7713
    4Sparta Prague641110:3713
    5Rayo Vallecano641113:7613
    6Shakhtar Donetsk641110:5513
    7Mainz64117:3413
    8AEK Larnaca63307:1612
    9Lausanne63216:3311
    10Crystal Palace631211:6510
    11Lech Poznan631212:8410
    12Samsunspor631210:6410
    13Celje63128:7110
    14AZ Alkmaar63127:7010
    15Fiorentina63038:539
    16Rijeka62315:239
    17Jagiellonia62315:419
    18Omonia62225:418
    19Noah62226:7-18
    20Drita62224:8-48
    21KuPS61416:517
    22Shkendija62134:5-17
    23Zrinjski62138:10-27
    24Sigma Olomouc62137:9-27
    25Univ. Craiova62136:8-27
    26Lincoln Red Imps62137:15-87
    27Dyn. Kyiv62049:906
    28Legia62048:806
    29Slovan Bratislava62045:9-46
    30Breidablik61236:11-55
    31Shamrock Rovers61147:13-64
    32Hacken60335:8-33
    33Hamrun61054:11-73
    34Shelbourne60240:7-72
    35Aberdeen60243:14-112
    36SK Rapid60153:14-111

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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