Result
2:1
11/12/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - League phase - Round 5
- Referee: Sariev B. (Kaz)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1 |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | ANT 1+ |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 15 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 16 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 2.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (453/545) | 68% (210/307) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 2.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (453/545) | 68% (210/307) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (31/65) | 25% (15/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (91/133) | 49% (54/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (6/27) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | -1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Rajovic M. ⚽,
- 37', Matheus Aias 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 57', 1 - 1, Matheus Aias ⚽, Mulahusejnovic N. (A),
- 72', Urbanski K. ↓, Kapustka B. ↑,
- 72', Vinagre R. ↓, Chodyna K. ↑,
- 72', Jakolis M. ↓, Grgic A. ↑,
- 72', Matheus Aias ↓, Sangare G. ↑,
- 77', Goncalves C. ↓, Augustyniak R. ↑,
- 79', Szymanski D. 🟨,
- 82', Krasniqi E. ↓, Bichakhchyan V. ↑,
- 82', Rajovic M. ↓, Colak A. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 1, Mulahusejnovic N. ⚽,
- 88', Saintini N. ↓, Muradyan S. ↑,
- 90+2', Thorarinsson G. ↓, Eteki Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Noah Yerevan
30.4% | Draw
28.4% | Legia Warsaw
41.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Noah Yerevan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noah Yerevan than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-2%)
Noah Yerevan - Legia Warsaw Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.1 ↑
(2.78) |
3.35 ↑
(3.29) |
2.3 ↓
(2.41) |
5.6%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Noah Yerevan - Legia Warsaw?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Noah will win (votes: 9 - 31%). Legia will win (votes: 12 - 41.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 27.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 23.5% – 59.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Noah (votes: 2 - 25%). Legia (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Noah (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Noah (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Legia (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Noah: Gregorio G.
(Knee Injury)
Zolotic N.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Legia: Elitim J.
(Injury)
Nsame J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Noah: Harutyunyan H.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Legia: Pankov R.
(Inactive)
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Noah Yerevan won against Legia Warsaw?
Noah Yerevan has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Noah Yerevan?
Legia Warsaw has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Noah Yerevan - Legia Warsaw were as follows:
Latest results of Noah Yerevan
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 0 : 1 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 10 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 11 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 12 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 14 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
| 16 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
