Francavilla vs Nocerina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
03/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Coppa Italia Serie D - Quarter-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 71', 1 - 0, Pio Carrozza G. ,

Chances of winning


Francavilla
32.4%
Draw
30.6%
Nocerina
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 29.9% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 29.8% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Nocerina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francavilla than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Francavilla - Nocerina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.83
    (2.52)
    2.95
    (3)
    2.43
    (2.61)
    10.4%
    (11.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Francavilla won 2.
    • Francavilla has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Nocerina is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Francavilla won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Francavilla won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:9. (average 1.6:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Francavilla - Nocerina were as follows:
    22.09.2024 Nocerina - Francavilla 0:0
    14.05.2023 Nocerina - Francavilla 2:1
    15.01.2023 Francavilla - Nocerina 3:2
    11.09.2022 Nocerina - Francavilla 1:1
    Latest results of Francavilla
    30.11.2025 Acerrana - Francavilla 1:0
    16.11.2025 Heraclea - Francavilla 0:1
    09.11.2025 Francavilla - Nardo 1:1
    Latest results of Nocerina
    23.11.2025 Latte Dolce - Nocerina 0:3
    19.11.2025 Nocerina - Castrumfavara 2:0
    09.11.2025 Valmontone - Nocerina 0:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1AstiChisola2 : 0
    2LigornaNovaRomentin1 : 2
    3VadoSestri Levante3 : 0
    4TauPistoiese1 : 3
    5PiacenzaSCD Progresso2 : 1
    6PaviaSant'Angelo2 : 0
    7PratoMontevarchi2 : 1
    8CorreggeseImolese2 : 1
    9SondrioBreno1 : 0
    10Folgore CarateseClub Milano2 : 3
    11AC Milan U23Varesina2 : 3
    12BrusaportoCiserano-Bergamo0 : 1
    13ChievoRovato Vertovese0 : 1
    14EsteVigasio3 : 2
    15Cjarlins MuzaneBrian Lignano1 : 2
    16LuparenseMestre0 : 1
    17FossombroneAncona0 : 1
    18FolignoAtletico Ascoli0 : 2
    19OrvietanaSiena2 : 0
    20Follonica GavorranoValmontone0 : 1
    21Notaresco CalcioTermoli2 : 0
    22AlbalongaL Aquila2 : 1
    23GrossetoUnipomezia0 : 1
    24Trastevere CalcioBudoni2 : 0
    25Martina CalcioSarnese3 : 1
    26FerrandinaFrancavilla2 : 3
    27SavoiaPaganese2 : 1
    28Citta di FasanoGravina3 : 0
    29NocerinaGelbison4 : 2
    30SambiaseReggina0 : 1
    31CastrumfavaraIgea Virtus3 : 1
    32EnnaSancataldese0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1AstiNovaRomentin3 : 2
    2VadoPistoiese0 : 3
    3PiacenzaPavia2 : 1
    4PratoCorreggese1 : 4
    5SondrioClub Milano0 : 3
    6VaresinaCiserano-Bergamo4 : 1
    7Rovato VertoveseEste1 : 3
    8Brian LignanoMestre0 : 1
    9AnconaAtletico Ascoli1 : 0
    10OrvietanaValmontone0 : 1
    11Notaresco CalcioAlbalonga2 : 1
    12UnipomeziaTrastevere Calcio3 : 1
    13Martina CalcioFrancavilla1 : 2
    14SavoiaCitta di Fasano3 : 4
    15NocerinaReggina3 : 2
    16CastrumfavaraSancataldese3 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1AstiPistoiese1 : 3
    2PiacenzaCorreggese0 : 1
    3Club MilanoVaresina1 : 0
    4EsteMestre1 : 2
    5AnconaValmontone2 : 1
    6Notaresco CalcioUnipomezia0 : 1
    7FrancavillaCitta di Fasano3 : 2
    8NocerinaCastrumfavara2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1PistoieseCorreggese2 : 0
    2Club MilanoMestre1 : 0
    3AnconaUnipomezia2 : 1
    4FrancavillaNocerina1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1PistoieseClub Milano1 : 0, 2 : 1
    2AnconaFrancavilla1 : 0, 1 : 1

    Final
    1PistoieseAncona2 : 0