Ugento vs Nocerina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group H Ugento - Nocerina
Result
1:2
05/01/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie D - Group H - Round 18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Marquez F. ,
  • 24', 0 - 2, Felleca F. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', 1 - 2, Sanchez J. ,

Chances of winning


Ugento
15.6%
Draw
24.5%
Nocerina
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.1% 25.3% 56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19% 24.1% 53.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ugento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Nocerina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugento than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nocerina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ugento - Nocerina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.81
    (5.04)
    3.7
    (3.59)
    1.51
    (1.61)
    10.4%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • In this match Nocerina is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Ugento won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ugento - Nocerina were as follows:
    08.09.2024 Nocerina - Ugento 1:0
    Latest results of Ugento
    15.12.2024 Matera - Ugento 1:0
    01.12.2024 Martina Calcio - Ugento 3:0
    10.11.2024 Ugento - Palmese 1914 2:0
    Latest results of Nocerina
    22.12.2024 Nocerina - Matera 2:2
    17.11.2024 Palmese 1914 - Nocerina 3:2
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1